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Article:Win Probability - 2008 NCAA Men's Championship Game

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Using Ed Kupfer's WinEx formula and ESPN's Play by Play, I kept track of each team's Win Probability during tonight's amazing game, and I thought I'd share with you the graph (a la Fan Graphs) and the raw data...

2K8NCAAChampionshipWinEx

The key plays (big swings in Win Expectancy) noted above are:

  1. Chris Douglas-Roberts made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Derrick Rose.
  2. Antonio Anderson made Three Point Jumper.
  3. Derrick Rose made Two Point Jumper.
  4. Sherron Collins made Two Point Layup.
  5. Shawn Taggart made Two Point Layup. Assisted by Robert Dozier.
  6. Sherron Collins made Three Point Jumper.
  7. Darrell Arthur made Two Point Jumper.
  8. Mario Chalmers made Three Point Jumper!!! (+60.0% WPA)
  9. Chris Douglas-Roberts made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Derrick Rose.

KU2008

And here's the full PBP with Win Probability. "Time" is simply minutes remaining (including OT); "BigPlay" is the swing in WinEx caused by that play. Initial probabilities were computed using Ken Pomeroy's Ratings and the log5 formula.

PBP						Time 	KU Lead	Kansas	Memphis BigPlay
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tip Off						45.0	0	61.2%	38.8%	0.0%
Joey Dorsey made Two Point Jumper.		44.8	-2	54.6%	45.4%	6.6%
Darrell Arthur missed Two Point Jumper.		44.4	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Antonio Anderson Defensive Rebound.		44.4	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Foul on Antonio Anderson			44.1	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Brandon Rush missed Free Throw.			44.1	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Brandon Rush made Free Throw.			44.1	-1	57.9%	42.1%	3.3%
Antonio Anderson missed Three Point Jumper.	43.9	-1	57.9%	42.1%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur Defensive Rebound.		43.9	-1	57.9%	42.1%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Two Point Layup.	43.7	-3	51.2%	48.8%	6.7%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Two Point Jumper.	43.2	-3	51.2%	48.8%	0.0%
Derrick Rose Offensive Rebound.			43.2	-3	51.2%	48.8%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur made Two Point Dunk Shot.	43.0	-1	57.9%	42.1%	6.7%
Robert Dozier made Two Point Jumper.		42.6	-3	51.2%	48.8%	6.7%
Darnell Jackson missed Two Point Jumper.	42.5	-3	51.2%	48.8%	0.0%
Derrick Rose Defensive Rebound.			42.5	-3	51.2%	48.8%	0.0%
Foul on Mario Chalmers				42.4	-3	51.2%	48.8%	0.0%
Derrick Rose missed Three Point Jumper.		42.1	-3	51.2%	48.8%	0.0%
Mario Chalmers Defensive Rebound.		42.1	-3	51.2%	48.8%	0.0%
Derrick Rose made Two Point Jumper.		41.7	-5	44.6%	55.4%	6.6%
Foul on Russell Robinson			41.7	-5	44.6%	55.4%	0.0%
Derrick Rose made Free Throw.			41.7	-6	41.4%	58.6%	3.2%
Foul on Robert Dozier				41.3	-6	41.4%	58.6%	0.0%
Brandon Rush missed Three Point Jumper.		41.0	-6	41.4%	58.6%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur Offensive Rebound.		41.0	-6	41.4%	58.6%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur missed Two Point Layup.		40.8	-6	41.4%	58.6%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur Offensive Rebound.		40.8	-6	41.4%	58.6%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur made Two Point Tip Shot.		40.8	-4	47.9%	52.1%	6.5%
Shawn Taggart missed Three Point Jumper.	40.6	-4	47.9%	52.1%	0.0%
Kansas Defensive Rebound.			40.6	-4	47.9%	52.1%	0.0%
Official TV Timeout.				40.6	-4	47.9%	52.1%	0.0%
Sasha Kaun made Two Point Dunk Shot.		40.4	-2	54.6%	45.4%	6.7%
Derrick Rose missed Two Point Jumper.		39.8	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Brandon Rush Defensive Rebound.			39.8	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur made Two Point Jumper.		39.6	0	61.3%	38.7%	6.7%
Darrell Arthur missed Two Point Jumper.		39.0	0	61.3%	38.7%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts Defensive Reboun.		39.0	0	61.3%	38.7%	0.0%
Foul on Darrell Arthur				38.7	0	61.3%	38.7%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Free Throw.		38.7	-1	58.0%	42.0%	3.3%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Free Throw.		38.7	-2	54.6%	45.4%	3.4%
Sherron Collins made Two Point Layup.		38.5	0	61.3%	38.7%	6.7%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Two Point Jumper.	38.2	-2	54.6%	45.4%	6.7%
Mario Chalmers missed Three Point Jumper.	37.9	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Robert Dozier Defensive Rebound.		37.9	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Two Point Jumper.	37.8	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Darnell Jackson Defensive Rebound.		37.8	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Foul on Shawn Taggart				37.8	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Foul on Shawn Taggart				37.3	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Foul on Robert Dozier				37.1	-2	54.6%	45.4%	0.0%
Darnell Jackson made Free Throw.		37.1	-1	58.0%	42.0%	3.4%
Darnell Jackson made Free Throw.		37.1	0	61.3%	38.7%	3.3%
Robert Dozier missed Two Point Jumper.		36.9	0	61.3%	38.7%	0.0%
Darnell Jackson Defensive Rebound.		36.9	0	61.3%	38.7%	0.0%
Official TV Timeout.				36.6	0	61.3%	38.7%	0.0%
Shawn Taggart missed Two Point Jumper.		36.2	0	61.3%	38.7%	0.0%
Brandon Rush Defensive Rebound.			36.2	0	61.3%	38.7%	0.0%
Brandon Rush made Two Point Layup.		36.0	2	67.6%	32.4%	6.3%
Foul on Sherron Collins				35.6	2	67.7%	32.3%	0.0%
Shawn Taggart missed Two Point Jumper.		35.5	2	67.7%	32.3%	0.0%
Shawn Taggart Offensive Rebound.		35.5	2	67.7%	32.3%	0.0%
Shawn Taggart missed Two Point Jumper.		35.2	2	67.7%	32.3%	0.0%
Russell Robinson Defensive Rebound.		35.2	2	67.7%	32.3%	0.0%
Mario Chalmers made Three Point Jumper.		35.0	5	76.0%	24.0%	8.3%
Derrick Rose missed Two Point Jumper.		34.7	5	76.0%	24.0%	0.0%
Darnell Jackson Defensive Rebound.		34.7	5	76.0%	24.0%	0.0%
Foul on Joey Dorsey				34.7	5	76.0%	24.0%	0.0%
Joey Dorsey made Two Point Dunk Shot.		34.5	3	70.6%	29.4%	5.4%
Mario Chalmers made Two Point Layup.		34.0	5	76.0%	24.0%	5.4%
Foul on Russell Robinson			33.8	5	76.1%	23.9%	0.0%
Doneal Mack missed Three Point Jumper.		33.6	5	76.1%	23.9%	0.0%
Sherron Collins Defensive Rebound.		33.6	5	76.1%	23.9%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur made Two Point Dunk Shot.	33.5	7	80.7%	19.3%	4.6%
Antonio Anderson made Three Point Jumper.	33.1	4	73.5%	26.5%	7.2%
Mario Chalmers made Two Point Layup.		32.9	6	78.5%	21.5%	5.0%
Robert Dozier made Three Point Jumper.		32.8	3	70.7%	29.3%	7.8%
Official TV Timeout.				32.4	3	70.7%	29.3%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Two Point Layup.	32.1	1	64.6%	35.4%	6.1%
Sasha Kaun missed Two Point Layup.		31.6	1	64.6%	35.4%	0.0%
Robert Dozier Defensive Rebound.		31.5	1	64.6%	35.4%	0.0%
Antonio Anderson missed Two Point Jumper.	31.5	1	64.6%	35.4%	0.0%
Derrick Rose Offensive Rebound.			31.5	1	64.6%	35.4%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Three Point Jumper. 	31.4	-2	54.5%	45.5%	10.1%
Sherron Collins made Two Point Jumper.		31.1	0	61.3%	38.7%	6.8%
Robert Dozier missed Two Point Layup.		30.7	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Mario Chalmers Defensive Rebound.		30.7	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Sherron Collins missed Three Point Jumper.	30.5	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Mario Chalmers Offensive Rebound.		30.5	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Sasha Kaun made Two Point Dunk Shot. 		30.4	2	67.8%	32.2%	6.4%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Two Point Jumper.	29.9	0	61.4%	38.6%	6.4%
Antonio Anderson missed Three Point Jumper.	28.9	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Kansas Defensive Rebound.			28.9	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Official TV Timeout.				28.8	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Sherron Collins missed Two Point Jumper.	28.4	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Darnell Jackson Offensive Rebound.		28.4	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Brandon Rush missed Three Point Jumper.		28.4	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Derrick Rose Defensive Rebound.			28.4	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Three Point Jumper.27.8	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Sherron Collins Defensive Rebound.		27.8	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Brandon Rush made Two Point Jumper.		27.5	2	67.9%	32.1%	6.5%
Foul on Joey Dorsey				27.5	2	67.9%	32.1%	0.0%
Brandon Rush made Free Throw.			27.5	3	70.9%	29.1%	3.0%
Mario Chalmers missed Two Point Layup.		27.0	3	70.9%	29.1%	0.0%
Sasha Kaun Offensive Rebound.			27.0	3	70.9%	29.1%	0.0%
Mario Chalmers missed Three Point Jumper.	26.8	3	70.9%	29.1%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur Offensive Rebound.		26.8	3	70.9%	29.1%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur made Two Point Jumper. 		26.5	5	76.5%	23.5%	5.6%
Mario Chalmers missed Two Point Jumper.		26.0	5	76.6%	23.4%	0.0%
Robert Dozier Defensive Rebound.		26.0	5	76.6%	23.4%	0.0%
Foul on Darrell Arthur				26.0	5	76.6%	23.4%	0.0%
Memphis Full Timeout.				26.0	5	76.6%	23.4%	0.0%
Antonio Anderson missed Three Point Jumper.	25.5	5	76.6%	23.4%	0.1%
Shawn Taggart Offensive Rebound.		25.5	5	76.6%	23.4%	0.0%
End of the 1st Half.				25.0	5	76.7%	23.3%	0.0%
Robert Dozier made Two Point Dunk Shot.		24.6	3	71.0%	29.0%	5.6%
Antonio Anderson made Three Point Jumper.	24.0	0	61.4%	38.6%	9.6%
Foul on Antonio Anderson			23.4	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Mario Chalmers made Free Throw.			23.4	1	64.8%	35.2%	3.4%
Mario Chalmers made Free Throw.			23.4	2	68.0%	32.0%	3.2%
Antonio Anderson made Two Point Layup.		23.3	0	61.4%	38.6%	6.6%
Foul on Darnell Jackson				23.2	0	61.4%	38.6%	0.0%
Antonio Anderson made Free Throw.		23.2	-1	58.0%	42.0%	3.5%
Darrell Arthur made Two Point Layup.		22.8	1	64.8%	35.2%	6.8%
Robert Dozier missed Two Point Layup.		22.4	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Joey Dorsey Offensive Rebound.			22.4	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Two Point Jumper.	22.2	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Russell Robinson Defensive Rebound.		22.2	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Mario Chalmers missed Two Point Jumper.		22.0	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Antonio Anderson Defensive Rebound.		22.0	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Two Point Layup.	21.9	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Robert Dozier Offensive Rebound.		21.9	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Robert Dozier missed Two Point Layup.		21.8	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Robert Dozier Offensive Rebound.		21.8	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Mario Chalmers missed Three Point Jumper.	21.7	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Antonio Anderson Defensive Rebound.		21.7	1	64.8%	35.2%	0.0%
Joey Dorsey made Two Point Dunk Shot.		21.6	-1	58.0%	42.0%	6.9%
Foul on Chris Douglas-Roberts			21.3	-1	57.9%	42.1%	0.0%
Foul on Joey Dorsey				21.1	-1	57.9%	42.1%	0.0%
Russell Robinson made Two Point Layup.		21.1	1	64.8%	35.2%	6.9%
Derrick Rose missed Two Point Jumper.		20.5	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Brandon Rush Defensive Rebound.			20.5	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Official TV Timeout.				20.3	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Robert Dozier missed Two Point Layup.		19.7	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Sasha Kaun Defensive Rebound.			19.7	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Derrick Rose missed Two Point Layup.		19.5	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Russell Robinson Defensive Rebound.		19.5	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Sasha Kaun missed Two Point Jumper.		19.1	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur Offensive Rebound.		19.1	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur missed Two Point Layup.		19.0	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Derrick Rose Defensive Rebound.			19.0	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Foul on Sherron Collins				19.0	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Antonio Anderson missed Free Throw.		19.0	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Antonio Anderson missed Free Throw.		19.0	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Darnell Jackson Defensive Rebound.		19.0	1	64.9%	35.1%	0.0%
Darnell Jackson made Two Point Jumper. 		18.6	3	71.5%	28.5%	6.6%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Two Point Jumper.	18.3	1	64.9%	35.1%	6.5%
Darnell Jackson made Two Point Layup. 		18.1	3	71.5%	28.5%	6.6%
Antonio Anderson missed Three Point Jumper.	17.5	3	71.6%	28.4%	0.1%
Brandon Rush Defensive Rebound.			17.5	3	71.6%	28.4%	0.0%
Sherron Collins missed Two Point Jumper.	17.3	3	71.6%	28.4%	0.0%
Robert Dozier Defensive Rebound.		17.3	3	71.6%	28.4%	0.0%
Derrick Rose made Two Point Layup.		17.2	1	65.0%	35.0%	6.6%
Official TV Timeout.				16.6	1	65.0%	35.0%	0.0%
Mario Chalmers made Two Point Jumper.		16.1	3	71.8%	28.2%	6.7%
Derrick Rose made Two Point Layup.		15.5	1	65.1%	34.9%	6.7%
Sherron Collins missed Three Point Jumper.	14.9	1	65.1%	34.9%	0.0%
Joey Dorsey Defensive Rebound.			14.9	1	65.1%	34.9%	0.0%
Foul on Sasha Kaun				14.5	1	65.1%	34.9%	0.0%
Brandon Rush made Two Point Layup.		14.3	3	72.0%	28.0%	6.9%
Robert Dozier made Two Point Jumper.		13.8	1	65.2%	34.8%	6.9%
Foul on Sasha Kaun				13.8	1	65.2%	34.8%	0.0%
Robert Dozier missed Free Throw.		13.8	1	65.2%	34.8%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur Defensive Rebound.		13.8	1	65.2%	34.8%	0.0%
Sasha Kaun missed Two Point Layup.		13.5	1	65.2%	34.8%	0.0%
Robert Dozier Defensive Rebound.		13.5	1	65.2%	34.8%	0.0%
Derrick Rose made Three Point Jumper.		13.2	-2	53.8%	46.2%	11.4%
Kansas Full Timeout.				13.1	-2	53.8%	46.2%	0.0%
Foul on Chris Douglas-Roberts			12.9	-2	53.7%	46.3%	0.0%
Official TV Timeout.				12.9	-2	53.7%	46.3%	0.0%
Derrick Rose made Two Point Jumper.		12.6	-4	44.9%	55.1%	8.8%
Sherron Collins missed Three Point Jumper.	12.1	-4	44.6%	55.4%	0.3%
Antonio Anderson Defensive Rebound.		12.1	-4	44.6%	55.4%	0.0%
Derrick Rose missed Two Point Jumper.		11.6	-4	44.3%	55.7%	0.3%
Russell Robinson Defensive Rebound.		11.6	-4	44.3%	55.7%	0.0%
Foul on Chris Douglas-Roberts			11.3	-4	44.2%	55.8%	0.2%
Mario Chalmers missed Two Point Layup.		10.9	-4	43.8%	56.2%	0.3%
Derrick Rose Defensive Rebound.			10.9	-4	43.8%	56.2%	0.0%
Derrick Rose missed Three Point Jumper.		10.2	-4	43.2%	56.8%	0.6%
Robert Dozier Offensive Rebound.		10.2	-4	43.2%	56.8%	0.0%
Derrick Rose made Two Point Layup.		10.2	-6	31.6%	68.4%	11.7%
Foul on Mario Chalmers				10.2	-6	31.6%	68.4%	0.0%
Kansas Full Timeout.				10.2	-6	31.6%	68.4%	0.0%
Derrick Rose made Free Throw.			10.2	-7	25.4%	74.6%	6.1%
Sherron Collins made Two Point Layup.		9.9	-5	37.1%	62.9%	11.7%
Derrick Rose made Two Point Jumper.		9.1	-7	22.2%	77.8%	14.9%
Foul on Derrick Rose				8.8	-7	21.1%	78.9%	1.1%
Official TV Timeout.				8.8	-7	21.1%	78.9%	0.0%
Brandon Rush missed Two Point Layup.		8.6	-7	20.2%	79.8%	0.8%
Darrell Arthur Offensive Rebound.		8.6	-7	20.2%	79.8%	0.0%
Foul on Joey Dorsey				8.6	-7	20.2%	79.8%	0.1%
Darrell Arthur made Free Throw.			8.6	-6	27.2%	72.8%	7.0%
Darrell Arthur made Free Throw.			8.6	-5	34.2%	65.8%	7.0%
Derrick Rose missed Three Point Jumper.		8.1	-5	32.3%	67.7%	1.9%
Robert Dozier Offensive Rebound.		8.1	-5	32.3%	67.7%	0.0%
Shawn Taggart made Two Point Layup. 		7.6	-7	14.9%	85.1%	17.5%
Sherron Collins missed Two Point Layup.		7.5	-7	14.0%	86.0%	0.9%
Shawn Taggart Defensive Rebound.		7.5	-7	13.7%	86.3%	0.2%
Foul on Sherron Collins				7.2	-7	12.0%	88.0%	1.7%
Foul on Brandon Rush				7.2	-7	11.9%	88.1%	0.1%
Robert Dozier made Free Throw.			7.2	-8	6.3%	93.7%	5.6%
Robert Dozier made Free Throw.			7.2	-9	2.9%	97.1%	3.5%
Darrell Arthur made Two Point Jumper. 		7.0	-7	9.9%	90.1%	7.0%
Kansas Full Timeout.				6.9	-7	9.5%	90.5%	0.4%
Sherron Collins made Three Point Jumper.	6.8	-4	33.7%	66.3%	24.2%
Foul on Russell Robinson			6.7	-4	32.3%	67.7%	1.4%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Free Throw.		6.7	-5	22.9%	77.1%	9.5%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Free Throw.		6.7	-6	14.1%	85.9%	8.8%
Foul on Joey Dorsey				6.4	-6	10.9%	89.1%	3.2%
Mario Chalmers made Free Throw.			6.4	-5	19.5%	80.5%	8.6%
Mario Chalmers made Free Throw.			6.4	-4	29.5%	70.5%	10.0%
Foul on Mario Chalmers				6.3	-4	27.7%	72.3%	1.8%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Free Throw.	6.3	-4	27.7%	72.3%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur Defensive Rebound.		6.3	-4	27.7%	72.3%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur made Two Point Jumper.		6.0	-2	45.1%	54.9%	17.4%
Memphis Full Timeout.				5.7	-2	41.6%	58.4%	3.5%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Two Point Jumper.	5.5	-2	35.6%	64.4%	6.0%
Sherron Collins Defensive Rebound.		5.5	-2	35.6%	64.4%	0.0%
Foul on Darrell Arthur				5.3	-2	21.6%	78.4%	13.9%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Free Throw.	5.3	-2	21.6%	78.4%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Free Throw.	5.3	-2	21.6%	78.4%	0.0%
Robert Dozier Offensive Rebound.		5.3	-2	21.6%	78.4%	0.0%
Foul on Brandon Rush				5.2	-2	10.2%	89.8%	11.4%
Kansas Full Timeout.				5.2	-2	10.2%	89.8%	0.0%
Derrick Rose missed Free Throw.			5.2	-2	10.2%	89.8%	0.0%
Derrick Rose made Free Throw.			5.2	-3	1.7%	98.3%	8.5%
Mario Chalmers made Three Point Jumper.		5.2	0	61.6%	38.4%	60.0%
Robert Dozier missed Three Point Jumper.	5.1	0	61.6%	38.4%	0.0%
Brandon Rush Defensive Rebound.			5.1	0	61.6%	38.4%	0.0%
End of the 2nd Half.				5.0	0	61.6%	38.4%	0.0%
Brandon Rush made Two Point Layup.		4.5	2	69.7%	30.3%	8.1%
Memphis Full Timeout.				4.4	2	69.8%	30.2%	0.1%
Robert Dozier missed Two Point Jumper.		4.2	2	69.8%	30.2%	0.1%
Darnell Jackson Defensive Rebound.		4.2	2	69.8%	30.2%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur made Two Point Dunk Shot.	3.7	4	78.7%	21.3%	8.9%
Antonio Anderson missed Three Point Jumper.	3.2	4	79.4%	20.6%	0.7%
Darnell Jackson Defensive Rebound.		3.2	4	79.4%	20.6%	0.0%
Darnell Jackson made Two Point Layup. 		2.6	6	89.9%	10.1%	10.5%
Memphis Full Timeout.				2.5	6	90.4%	9.6%	0.5%
Foul on Brandon Rush				2.4	6	90.7%	9.3%	0.3%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Free Throw.		2.4	5	86.3%	13.7%	4.5%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Free Throw.		2.4	4	81.3%	18.7%	4.9%
Mario Chalmers missed Three Point Jumper.	1.8	4	83.5%	16.5%	2.2%
Memphis Defensive Rebound.			1.8	4	83.5%	16.5%	0.0%
Derrick Rose missed Three Point Jumper.		1.7	4	84.4%	15.6%	0.8%
Antonio Anderson Offensive Rebound.		1.7	4	84.4%	15.6%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Three Point Jumper.1.4	4	86.3%	13.7%	1.9%
Darnell Jackson Defensive Rebound.		1.4	4	86.3%	13.7%	0.0%
Brandon Rush missed Two Point Layup.		1.2	4	87.4%	12.6%	1.2%
Brandon Rush Offensive Rebound.			1.2	4	87.4%	12.6%	0.0%
Brandon Rush made Two Point Layup.		1.2	6	96.8%	3.2%	9.4%
Chris Douglas-Roberts made Three Point Jumper. 	1.0	3	83.0%	17.0%	13.8%
Memphis 30 Second Timeout.			0.9	3	83.6%	16.4%	0.5%
Foul on Chris Douglas-Roberts			0.8	3	85.9%	14.1%	2.4%
Mario Chalmers made Free Throw.			0.8	4	92.4%	7.6%	6.5%
Mario Chalmers made Free Throw.			0.8	5	96.8%	3.2%	4.4%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Two Point Layup.	0.6	5	98.1%	1.9%	1.4%
Darrell Arthur Defensive Rebound.		0.6	5	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts missed Three Point Jumper.0.5	5	99.2%	0.8%	1.1%
Sherron Collins Defensive Rebound.		0.5	5	99.2%	0.8%	0.0%
Foul on Antonio Anderson			0.3	5	99.9%	0.1%	0.7%
Sherron Collins made Free Throw.		0.3	6	100.0%	0.0%	0.1%
Sherron Collins made Free Throw.		0.3	7	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Derrick Rose missed Three Point Jumper.		0.3	7	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Darrell Arthur Defensive Rebound.		0.3	7	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
End Game					0.0	7	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%

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