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Week 15 NCAA Projections Scores and final regular season standings for every FBS team

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

August 25th, 2008

We will preview a college football week each day for 15 days, including scores and updated standings for each week. At the conclusion of those previews, we will present our bowl match-ups with results and final updated pre-season Power Rankings (see original rankings below).

Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of August 1, 2008. A schedule of upcoming college football preview content including links to other previews that have already been posted is located here.

Also, see below for details on how you can run your own college football program for FREE.

For more information on how we generate the results and the definitions of Absolute and Expected Records, click here.

Today we preview Week 15 and conference championship games. Please note the final regular season standings below.

Game of the Week: #17 VTech 24 (10-3) vs #7 Clemson 27 (12-1) Ohio State is in the BCS Championship game, but its opponent is still definitely up for grabs entering conference championship week. Clemson, Virginia Tech, Oklahoma, Missouri, West Virginia and Georgia have all been favored in each of their games up to this point. Each of those teams, except Virginia Tech, can also expect to have one-loss by Week 15. Based on its schedule, being #2 in the power rankings and having the lowest expected loss value, Georgia controls its own destiny. If the Bulldogs beat LSU, they are in. We say they do for the second time this year, but it's very close. What if they don't win? Oklahoma, Missouri and Clemson have the most to gain because they face teams in the conference championship of equally elite stature. The ACC Championship is our game of the week because of what it means. They do not play during the regular season, so, like Oklahoma and Missouri, Clemson and Virginia Tech could both be undefeated before the game. If it wins, Clemson could have a real shot at the BCS title. But if they lose, the Tigers could be bumped out of the BCS picture completely. 1,000 simulations say that Clemson squeaks by the Hokies 65.3% of the time and by an average score of 27-24. All of our bowl results will be posted tomorrow.

Matchup Home Win% Avg Score

LSU vs. Georgia 75.5 21-25

Missouri vs Oklahoma 66.1 32-37

Virginia Tech vs Clemson 65.3 24-27

Miami (OH) vs Ball State 57.9 26-27

Houston vs UCF 52.1 30-31

South Florida @ W. Virginia 83.6 23-40

Washington @ California 67.2 26-37

Mid Tenn @ LA-Laf 49.2 27-28

Pittsburgh @ Connecticut 47.5 24-23

Louisville @ Rutgers 39.3 35-36

Arkansas St. @ Troy 37.7 23-19

Arizona St. @ Arizona 32.8 31-28

Western Kentucky @ Fla. Int. 16.4 24-16

Cincinnati @ Hawaii 16.4 29-20

Navy @ Army 5 31-14

USC @ UCLA 5 34-11


Final FBS Regular Season Standings


Conference Team Abs Record Exp Record

Atlantic Coast Clemson 13 - 0 12 - 1

Atlantic Coast Virginia Tech 12 - 1 10 - 3

Atlantic Coast WF 11 - 1 10 - 2

Atlantic Coast Maryland 6 - 6 8 - 4

Atlantic Coast North Carolina 10 - 2 8 - 4

Atlantic Coast Florida State 8 - 4 7 - 5

Atlantic Coast Boston College 4 - 8 5 - 7

Atlantic Coast Duke 3 - 9 5 - 7

Atlantic Coast GA Tech 5 - 7 5 - 7

Atlantic Coast Miami (FL) 6 - 6 5 - 7

Atlantic Coast Virginia 2 - 10 3 - 9

Atlantic Coast NC St. 1 - 11 2 - 10

Big East W. Virginia 12 - 0 11 - 1

Big East South Florida 10 - 2 8 - 4

Big East Cincinnati 9 - 4 8 - 5

Big East Connecticut 7 - 5 7 - 5

Big East Louisville 7 - 5 7 - 5

Big East Pittsburgh 10 - 2 7 - 5

Big East Rutgers 4 - 8 7 - 5

Big East Syracuse 2 - 10 2 - 10

Big Ten Ohio State 12 - 0 12 - 0

Big Ten Illinois 9 - 3 9 - 3

Big Ten Wisconsin 11 - 1 9 - 3

Big Ten Indiana 8 - 4 7 - 5

Big Ten Michigan 8 - 4 7 - 5

Big Ten Penn State 7 - 5 7 - 5

Big Ten Purdue 11 - 1 7 - 5

Big Ten Iowa 5 - 7 6 - 6

Big Ten Michigan State 4 - 8 6 - 6

Big Ten Northwestern 5 - 7 5 - 7

Big Ten Minn. 3 - 9 4 - 8

Big Twelve Oklahoma 13 - 0 12 - 1

Big Twelve Missouri 12 - 1 10 - 3

Big Twelve Texas Tech 9 - 3 9 - 3

Big Twelve Texas 10 - 2 9 - 3

Big Twelve Kansas 9 - 3 8 - 3

Big Twelve Oklahoma State 8 - 4 8 - 4

Big Twelve Kansas State 7 - 5 7 - 5

Big Twelve Nebraska 5 - 7 6 - 6

Big Twelve Colorado 5 - 7 5 - 7

Big Twelve Texas A&M 4 - 8 5 - 7

Big Twelve Baylor 2 - 10 3 - 9

Big Twelve Iowa State 1 - 11 2 - 10

Conference USA Houston 11 - 2 9 - 4

Conference USA UCF 11 - 2 10 - 3

Conference USA East Carolina 9 - 3 8 - 4

Conference USA Tulsa 8 - 4 8 - 4

Conference USA Rice 8 - 4 7 - 5

Conference USA S. Miss 7 - 5 6 - 6

Conference USA Memphis 3 - 9 5 - 7

Conference USA SMU 5 - 7 5 - 7

Conference USA UTEP 3 - 9 4 - 8

Conference USA Marshall 3 - 9 3 - 9

Conference USA Tulane 2 - 10 3 - 9

Conference USA UAB 1 - 11 2 - 10

Independents (FBS) Notre Dame 7 - 5 7 - 5

Independents (FBS) Navy 6 - 6 6 - 6

Independents (FBS) Western Kentucky 4 - 8 5 - 7

Independents (FBS) Army 1 - 11 2 - 10

Mid-American Ball State 11 - 2 9 - 4

Mid-American C. Michigan 9 - 3 8 - 4

Mid-American Miami (OH) 9 - 4 7 - 6

Mid-American Temple 6 - 6 7 - 5

Mid-American W. Michigan 8 - 4 7 - 5

Mid-American Bowling Green 6 - 6 6 - 6

Mid-American Kent St. 6 - 6 6 - 6

Mid-American Ohio 5 - 7 6 - 6

Mid-American Buffalo 3 - 9 5 - 7

Mid-American E. Michigan 2 - 10 4 - 8

Mid-American Northern Illinois 3 - 9 4 - 8

Mid-American Toledo 3 - 9 4 - 8

Mid-American Akron 2 - 10 3 - 9

Mountain West Brigham Young 11 - 1 10 - 2

Mountain West TCU 10 - 2 9 - 3

Mountain West Utah 10 - 2 9 - 3

Mountain West Air Force 7 - 5 7 - 5

Mountain West New Mexico 8 - 4 7 - 5

Mountain West Wyoming 6 - 6 7 - 5

Mountain West Colorado St. 3 - 9 4 - 8

Mountain West UNLV 3 - 9 4 - 8

Mountain West San Diego State 1 - 11 2 - 10

Pacific-10 USC 11 - 1 11 - 1

Pacific-10 Arizona St. 10 - 2 8 - 4

Pacific-10 Arizona 7 - 5 7 - 5

Pacific-10 California 10 - 2 7 - 5

Pacific-10 Oregon 8 - 4 7 - 5

Pacific-10 UCLA 5 - 7 6 - 6

Pacific-10 Oregon State 3 - 9 4 - 8

Pacific-10 Washington 3 - 9 4 - 8

Pacific-10 Washington St. 3 - 10 4 - 9

Pacific-10 Stanford 1 - 11 2 - 10

Southeastern Georgia 13 - 0 12 - 1

Southeastern LSU 11 - 2 11 - 2

Southeastern Florida 10 - 2 10 - 2

Southeastern Alabama 9 - 3 8 - 4

Southeastern Auburn 8 - 4 8 - 4

Southeastern Tennessee 8 - 4 7 - 5

Southeastern Kentucky 7 - 5 6 - 6

Southeastern Mississippi State 5 - 7 6 - 6

Southeastern S. Carolina 6 - 6 6 - 6

Southeastern Arkansas 5 - 7 5 - 7

Southeastern Mississippi 4 - 8 5 - 7

Southeastern Vanderbilt 0 - 12 2 - 10

Sun Belt Florida Atlantic 10 - 2 9 - 3

Sun Belt LA-Monroe 8 - 4 7 - 5

Sun Belt Arkansas St. 7 - 5 6 - 6

Sun Belt LA-Laf 3 - 9 5 - 7

Sun Belt Mid Tenn 5 - 7 4 - 8

Sun Belt North Texas 2 - 10 4 - 8

Sun Belt Troy 3 - 9 4 - 8

Sun Belt Fla. Int. 0 - 12 1 - 11

Western Athletic Boise State 9 - 3 9 - 3

Western Athletic Fresno State 11 - 1 9 - 3

Western Athletic Nevada 9 - 3 8 - 4

Western Athletic Hawaii 7 - 6 7 - 6

Western Athletic Idaho 5 - 7 5 - 7

Western Athletic New Mexico State 5 - 7 5 - 7

Western Athletic Louisiana Tech 4 - 8 4 - 8

Western Athletic San Jose State 3 - 9 4 - 8

Western Athletic Utah State 0 - 12 1 - 11

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