Minnesota Vikings +1.5 (-110) NFL Odds - Sunday, September 14th ‘08 1:00p At first glance, this looks like a short line for the Indianapolis Colts when they visit the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, but the reason for this line is the matchup of Adrian Peterson against the horrible Colts run defense, and we feel that will decide this contest. Peterson managed 109 yards vs. a good Green Bay Packers run defense on Monday night when we actually felt AP was underutilized, so we are fairly confident that he will top the century mark again here. Also do not forget about his backup Chester Taylor, as the Minnesota offense produce an impressive total of 187 rushing yards against the Pack. Meanwhile, it is apparent that the Colts did not improve their shaky run defense during the off season, as they were shredded in their opener for 189 rushing yards on 4.7 yards per carry by a Chicago Bears offense that is not exactly an offensive juggernaut. Furthermore, they cannot really put eight men in the box vs. the Vikings, because as bad as Minnesota quarterback Tarvaris Jackson is mechanically, he does have the arm strength to stretch a defense. Now Peyton Manning is obviously the better quarterback here, but he was not himself in the opener after missing the entire preseason, and he looks to be in need of another few games to work the kinks out, Now granted, he was under pressure from the Bears defense, but that should be the case again this week, as Minnesota probably has the best defensive line in football and the Colts are still without All-Pro center Jeff Saturday. Finally, the X-factor here just may be Vikings defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier, who who served that same role for the Colts until 2006. Well, Indianapolis has not had much turnover in personnel the last two years, so the Vikings should have a great idea of what the Colts want to run. NFL Free Pick: Vikings +1.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
Miami Dolphins @ Arizona Cardinals u39.0 (-110) Football Odds - Sunday, September 14th ‘08 4:15p Neither the Miami Dolphins nor the Arizona Cardinals did much offensively last week, and we expect little to change this time around. Now granted, the Cardinals did manage 23 points, but Kurt Warner has rather ordinary numbers, passing for just 197 yards on 6.6 yards per pass attempt. They did get over 100 yards rushing from Edgerrin James, but keep in mind this was vs. a San Francisco 49ers defense that is not as good as this Miami defensive unit. The problems of the Miami offense were more apparent in a 20-14 loss to the New York Jets. The Dolphins did absolutely nothing on the ground, rushing for a measly 49 yards on a microscopic 2.9 yards per carry. This forced new quarterback Chad Pennington to hoist 43 passes, and most of those were of the dink and dunk variety, as he averaged a low 5.8 yards per attempt. We look for both teams to employ similar game plans this week, resulting in a combined point output in the low 30s. NFL Free Pick: Dolphins, Cardinals Under 39 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks u38.0 - Sun September 14th ‘08 4:05p The Seahawks offense is a complete disaster area right now. We’re talking about a West Coast attack featuring a quarterback with a bad back throwing to a receiving corps that has been positively decimated with injuries. Bobby Engram, Deion Branch and Ben Obomanu were all out of action last week (and this week as well). Their lone remaining proven receiving threat, Nate Burleson, got hurt last week, out for the year. That leaves Courtney Taylor, Jordan Kent and Logan Payne, a trio with nine career catches between them, to be the difference makers in this timing based offense. To make matters even worse, the Seahawks have shown no signs of improving a subpar running game from last year. Their big free agent signee, RB Julius Jones, managed only 45 yards on the ground last week, 24 of them coming on a single carry. Starter Maurice Morris got hurt last week and won’t play this time around. The Seahawks offensive line was mediocre at best in their opener, with Hasselbeck taking five sacks and the runners consistently getting stuffed at the line of scrimmage. This is not an offense poised to score points in bunches. The 49ers offense isn’t exactly poised to light up the scoreboard either. JT O’Sullivan will be making only his second career start here, facing a talented and aggressive, blitz happy defense. It’s worth noting that O’Sullivan completed only 14 passes in his debut as the starter last week, with only four of those passes going to wide receivers downfield. In a hostile road environment expect a steady diet of Frank Gore runs to protect their inexperienced quarterback. This has all the makings of a very low scoring ballgame. Take the Under - Courtesy of Ted Sevransky
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