The current Vegas spread on Memphis-Kansas has the Tigers a 1.5 point favorite with a total ranging from 145.5 to 146.5. This is consistent with the offshore sportsbooks betting odds for the NCAA Championship game.
Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy previews the contest from a betting standpoint. Kansas is 36-3 straight up and 20-15 to the pointspread. Memphis is 38-1 straight up, yet actually a game below .500 according to the online casinos at 18-19.
Kansas enters having covered 8-of-11. They’ve gone under the total in four straight. Memphis has covered their last three, but they are just 7-13 in their last 20 against the spread. The Tigers have exceeded the total in five straight contests.
The Jayhawks shoot an uncanny 50.8 percent to teams normally giving up 43.1. They score 12.8 points per game above their opponent’s normal points per game defensive average.
Memphis is not nearly as effective on offense as they get 46.8 percent versus squads that normally give up 42.3. They scored 12.3 more points per game than their opponents normally allow.
On defense, Memphis allows 61.6 points per game to teams normally getting 71.4 on 38.7 shooting, which is holding foes to 5.9 percent below their season to date mark. Kansas allows 61.3 points per game teams normally getting 71.1 while the shooting percentage against is 37.9 to a normal average of 44.8.
Tom Murray of the top sports betting blog Lines-Maker.com reminds square players what sharp players have known for years. “Points per game stats on offense and defense are very deceptive. Such measures pace as much as it contrasts competence level.”
Here are some more spread betting trends. All records are against the spread. Kansas is 7-1 their last eight as an underdog. They are 6-1 their last seven to Conference USA. Memphis is 2-6 off a spread win. Tell me why Memphis doesn’t like Mondays, they want to shoot the whole day down as they are 1-7 their last eight Monday contests.
Kansas has gone under the Vegas total at a 36-16 rate in non-conference games. Memphis has gone under 7-1 to the Big 12. Get the spread winners on the only sports betting website to find out who will cover the pointspread: OffshoreInsiders.com