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About the Author

AKittell
I'm a lifelong Packer season ticket holder, with passion for baseball, football and college basketball. Most recently became 20 game ticket holder for the Milwaukee Brewers, since I live about five minutes from Miller Park.

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Brewers/Reds Series Analysis

by AKittell
created April 11, 2008, last edited February 10, 2009
9
Vote

Games Recap:
April 8th: Milwaukee Brewers 3 Cincinnati Reds 2
April 9th: Milwaukee Brewers 4 Cincinnati Reds 12
April 10th: Milwaukee Brewers 1 Cincinnati Reds 4

MVP of the Series:
Jason Kendall: 7/11; 2B, RBI, R
Corey Patterson: 5/15, 2 2B, 2 HR, 3 R, 4 RBIs

While it doesn't look like Kendall was responsible for most of the Brewers eight runs, he was. He knocked in JJ Hardy in the first game and got him to third with a single in the 10th, when he was driven in by Rickie Weeks. He also called a quality game on Tuesday and Thursday.

Corey Patterson was pretty much unbelievable all series. Yes, his plate numbers were impressive, his defense was more impressive. The Brewers were smashing balls to dead center all weak and Patterson was running and jumping all over them. I can remember four vividly that are doubles with other center fielders out there. Gabe Gross has the most reasons to be upset. He ripped at least three balls near the gap that turned into routine plays. Toss in Corey's game tying home-run in game one, and you've definitely got the player of the series.

What was the difference?
On Base Percentage. This sits very badly with me. The Reds walked 19 times in three games, while only striking out 13 times. The Brewers on the other hand, walked 2 times while striking out 19 times. Throw in the fact that the Brewers were out hit in every game, I can't believe the Brewers won one game. That's kind of awkward to say isn't it? This, unfortunately, is a trend that has plagued the Brewers for the past five years. They have guys with great talent, but have poor pitch selection, which often results in them looking quite over matched, which was the case on Tuesday and Thursday versus Cueto and Harang.

To get a gauge of how important OBP can be. The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees have combined for the most regular season wins over the last 4-5 years and during that time, they are always in the top 3 in team OBP, usually between .350-.360. Where do the Brewers match up? Over the last three years the Brewers have never surpassed a .331 OBP. It's a glaring problem for this team. If they jump just 15 more points they will definitely push themselves over the top.

Causes for Concern:
See Above. I'm too frustrated to elaborate even more.

For the Reds... it was a good series overall. Nothing about their play over the last three days should concern them.

Causes for Excitement:
I can't really say I'm on the Jason Kendall band wagon since I predicted this onslaught. I never thought he'd be this good, but when they're falling, they're falling. Throw in Jason's ability to keep this young pitching crew mentally stable and you have a very invaluable player. A friend of mine who happens to be Cub fan asked me last night if we'd sign him on for another five years. I just laughed in his face and said, "Two years is enough,". Nevertheless, it's a breath of fresh air to have a guy back there who can run and is actually athletic.

The Reds can be excited about Corey Patterson while he lasts. Corey has a career OBP of .298 and he's Dusty Baker's lead-off hitter. Somehow he managed to roll and smoke Brewers pitching and walk in the process. For Reds fans who don't know, Dusty Baker has a knack for being in love with veteran players who aren't any good, including Patterson, whose best year resulted in a .298/329/.511, which a lot of people would take, but that's not who Corey is. His career numbers explain it all: .259/.298/.417. Sadly, Johnny Estrada is better at the plate: .280/.320/.406, so ride the train and put Keppinger in that lead-off spot when the ride is over.


Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
CheezerAll-Star
579 days ago
Score 2+-
Nice recap.

I agree that the Brewer batters need to improve their pitch selection, but it's mainly two guys. On the season, Rick Braun has OBB and 7SO and Bill Hall has 1 BB and 12 SO.
Permalink | Reply
AKittellVarsity
579 days ago
Score 1+-
Bill Hall has always been a problem. I'm not that worried about Braun because he's so young and has yet to master the strike zone. If he could develop the patience a guy like Adam Dunn has, he could turn into HOFer in no time. Thanks for the comment even though my sentence structure and grammar have been atrocious lately. I am a perfectly capable writer, just not when I'm writing as quickly as I can in the morning before work.
Permalink
Niteowl049AAA-er
579 days ago
Score 1+-
If the Brewers are still batting Kendall 9th it is working well. He has no pressure at all since he is batting in front of the pitcher.
Permalink | Reply
AKittellVarsity
579 days ago
Score 1+-
I agree, but at this point he would be better utilized in the 2 hole since Gross has been faltering and Mike Cameron is still 16 games out. Unfortunately the numbers show that you need a high OBP guy in the 9 hole for it pay off, so they're going to have to stick with it while Cameron struggles through his suspension.
Permalink
Niteowl049AAA-er
579 days ago
Score 1+-
With Kendall's history if he was moved up he would probably go into a slump. He hasn't hit a home run in a long time.
Permalink | Reply
RomiezzoLegend
579 days ago
Score 1+-
I definitely agree with you, Niteowl. Kendall is known to get into slumps if he is moved up more. IMO, he should just stay where he is, since things are working for him. He's getting good pitches, and it's working to his and the Brewers' advantage.
Permalink
Niteowl049AAA-er
579 days ago
Score 0+-
Very interesting AKittell...nice article.
Permalink | Reply
Niteowl049AAA-er
579 days ago
Score 0+-
Kendall doesn't hit for any power at all...doesn't even hit that many doubles....at least didn't last season.
Permalink | Reply
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Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User AKittell | April 11, 2008 | April 2008 | Milwaukee Brewers Opinions | Cincinnati Reds Opinions | MLB Opinions

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