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2006 World Cup Scenarios (6/19/2006)

14
Vote

by user Thecrookedcap

Going into the last set of matches, here's what's at stake:

Group A: Ecuador and Germany have clinched the knockout spots. Germany can take first place with a win against Ecuador, while an Ecuador win or draw will give them the group.

Group B: England has clinched, and Paraguay is out of contention. Sweden will advance with a win or tie, while Trinidad & Tobago needs a win and to make up a three goal difference.

Group C: Argentina and Netherlands have clinched, and their game will decide first place. Argentina holds goal differential, so they would be first in case of a draw.

Group D: Iran is out, and Portugal is in. Mexico can get through with a win or draw, while Angola will need a win, a Mexico loss and to make up 4 goals on Mexico.

Group E: Every team is still alive. Italy needs just a draw, and the Czech Republic and Ghana can both clinch with a win. For the United States to get out of the group, they must win, and have one of a number of possible scenarios happen from there, with the most simple being an Italy win vs. Czech Republic (all others will require a major offensive effort).

Group E: Brazil is in the next round. Australia can make it with a win, or they could draw and have a Japan loss or draw. Croatia must beat Australia to have a berth. For Japan to make it through, they must beat Brazil by a good margin to overcome either Australia (if AUS-CRO is a draw) or Croatia (if they win).

Group F: Togo is out. Here's how it will work through the South Korea-Switzerland Result: if Switzerland wins, it will advance. South Korea would advance only if France draws or loses to Togo. If South Korea wins, it is the reverse.

If they draw, Switzerland will advance, and South Korea would need France not win by more than two goals (which would put France head in goal differential, at least +2 to +1). If France wins by one, then the number of goals scored would be used as a tiebreaker. Remember though, a draw or loss by France makes any scenario a moot point, and would put Switzerland and South Korea through to the next round.

Group H: Spain is through, with a draw clinching first place. Ukraine will make it through with a win or with a draw (provided the Saudis don't beat Spain by 5). Tunisia can make it through with a win if Saudi Arabia cannot make up the 2 goal difference between them.


Date

Mon 06/19/06, 9:06 pm EST

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ChachiOSUDraft Pick
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
Thursday is a huge day for the U.S. My only complaint is that the U.S. vs. Ghana match and Italy vs. Czech Republic are on at the same time. Atleast the team will have to play with intensity not knowing the result of the other game before hand.
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Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
It is done deliberately, for the reasons you state. It leads to teams deliberately fielding weak teams, which wouldn't be a good spectacle. Also, it's interesting to see the qualifying teams change as the afternoon wears on. For example, Group A finishes this afternoon. Thecrookedcap explained the permetations. The Winner of Group A plays the Runner Up of Group B in Round 2, and vice versa. So England, who can choose to qualify in first or second place, may lose deliberately (hush, hush, nudge, nudge, wink, wink...) to avoid playing Germany in Round 2 if they only draw against Ecuador. Because we'd rather play Ecuador than the stronger, host nation, and great rivals, Germany.
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ChachiOSUDraft Pick
1290 days ago
Score 1+-
I'm not sure you would really want Ecuador right now, they are playing strong. I understand why they do it, it just stinks that I can't watch both games (as a great grandson of Italian immigrants I usually root for Italy as my secondary team, that is till I saw how unsportsman-like and whiney they played against the U.S.). Perhaps it is just an American thing because every major sporting event here is timed to produce the maximum tlelvision audience.
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Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
I'd rather play Ecuador than Germany!
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JuTMSY4Legend
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
If the scenario falls into the favor of the US, then, my understanding is that they play Brazil. Now, of course Brazil is the perenial contender for the WC every 4 years, but I think this is great for USA Soccer. A) Americans will be forced to watch a very good team. b) Americans love the underdog and c) if the US could upset brazil, it would not only be a great accomplishment but it would really...really boost USA soccer...
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Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
And really...really boost England's chances...
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JuTMSY4Legend
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
I'm assuming England would be next on the list? I think its most appropriate I don't comment further...
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Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
I think we were on target to meet Brazil in the Semis, so if USA beat Brazil, then USA-England could be a Semi Final. In 1994, Brazil beat USA 1-0 in the last 16.
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ThecrookedcapAll-Star
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
1st Place in B is on the same half as 1st Place F.
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Patrickburke1980All-American
1290 days ago
Score 1+-
I couldn't believe how into the US-Italy match I was. It says a lot about the program that people are this excited about it. Most people probably still aren't paying attention, but I feel like it's moving in the right direction.
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JuTMSY4Legend
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
I agree PB. I'm not much of a soccer fan (I like most sports though) and I was very into it. I've said this before, but i'll say it again. I think this diving crap really ruins the game...Of course, these were the same people who were led by Mussolini...
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Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
This has absolutely nothing to do with sports, but now you mention Mussolini... his grand-daughter is an Italian MP, and she argued in a court of law she should have her children take her name not her husbands (i.e. to keep the name Mussolini). Two points, 1. What must her husband think?, 2. I bet the children were delighted.
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JuTMSY4Legend
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
That's like the germans taking hitler's name or the russians taking stalin...very interesting...
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PeanMajor Leaguer
1290 days ago
Score 1+-
i was running around my apt screaming when i thought we scored to go up 2-1...then yelling some more when the goal got taken away. the wc is amazing
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CoreyisarealboyMajor Leaguer
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
Yeah, I didn't think I'd ever get that excited about a soccer goal. Turns out it was a false alarm. How disappointing.
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ChristofMVP
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
The US team has yet to score a goal on their own. How many scoring chances have they really had in 2 games also? It will take a miracle for the US to first beat Ghana. Then you need to see Italy, who loves to play for ties and not wins, beat the Cech Republic. That is really too much to hope for.
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Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
Italy will want to win their group, so it might be a blessing in diguise. Anthing else, as Thecrookedcap explains will mean USA win by lots of goals to improve their goal difference.
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Patrickburke1980All-American
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
" I think this diving crap really ruins the game..." - I had actually said the same thing while watching that match. My girlfriend, who's European, went crazy. She thinks it's all just part of the game, tradition, to fall like a little pussy like that. In our John Wayne, tough guy culture, that will just never go over well.
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Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
1290 days ago
Score 0+-
Diving is atrocious, you have to laugh at them sometimes. The worst is Didier Drogba, of Ivory Coast. When interviewed, he was accused of diving, and was asked bluntly, if he dives on purpose. Expecting a reply of "no" and an explanation, it was a bit of a shock that he said "Sometimes I dive, sometimes I don't." Outrageous. I agree that footballers in Europe ACT like wimps - they do it deliberately to win a free kick/penalty/get the other guy sent off. It's funny how a player is stretchered off, and when he sees nothing has happened, is sprinting back onto the field seconds later...
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CoreyisarealboyMajor Leaguer
1290 days ago
Score 2+-
Diving is prevalent in the NBA too and people seem to be OK with it most of the time. How often have you seen guys take falls while taking a half-assed shoulder in the post? I look at this the same way, it's just a legal way to gain an advantage. However, that doesn't mean it's always cool with me to see guys writhing on the ground holding their ankles, only to be running at full speed 20 seconds later. I think if you're going to act like you're hurt, you should be treated like you're hurt and have to sit out of the game for 10 minutes or so before you can come back in.
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