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About the Author

Behbigben15
The name's Ben Heck. I am 16-years old, a Junior at Queen Anne's County High School in Centreville, MD. I stand at 5 feet 8 inches and weigh 140 pounds. I am a Marylander, but I have been a Pittsburgh Steelers fan my entire life (my dad is from Pittsburgh).

I love writing, and talking about sports here on AGM, and I plan on going to a University to major in communications and/or sports management.

2007 AGM Most Improved Writer

2008 AGM Fantasy Football Champion

2008-09 AGM Fantasy Basketball Third Place Finisher

Also check out my work at http://www.badnewsbloggers.com//

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Early AFC East Preview (5/24/08)

by Behbigben15
created May 24, 2008, last edited March 19, 2009
23
Vote

A few days ago I started my Early Preview Article series with the AFC North, and I now present to you part two of eight, the Early AFC East Preview, which may not even be close.

Will the Brady-Moss combo have another great season??? Will Pennington finally shut the haters up??? Will Buffalo find the QB their looking for in Trent Edwards??? And, what about Miami??? Find out what BBB15 thinks about all this in his Early AFC East Preview...

Buffalo Bills (2007: 7-9, 2nd place):

Key Additions: Marcus Stroud (DT), Courtney Anderson (TE), Kawika Mitchell (LB)

Key Losses: Larry Tripplett (DT; released), Kiwaukee Thomas (CB; released)

Offense

With a year under the young backfield's belt, I believe Marshawn Lynch will breakout for a 1200+ yards, taking the pressure off the QB. Speaking of the QB, the Bills seem to be having a situation. Second-year QB, Trent Edwards is expected to be the opening day starter, taking over for the benched J.P. Losman, who has a career completion % of 59.1. But, in Edwards' rookie season last year he threw just 7 TD's, and 8 INT's with a of 56.1 COMP %. So, it really wouldn't take much for him to improve this year. But, having Lynch in the backfield could limit his pass attempts.

Lynch will have another big year in Buffalo.
Lynch will have another big year in Buffalo.

Better or Worse in 08??? I would expect this Bills running game to improve, maybe jump a few spots in rushing offense. But, as a team, I really don't see this team improving their 07 record of 7-9. I don't see Edwards helping this team out all that much, and prehaps sharing some time with Losman. Hopefully Lee Evans, and Josh Reed will stay healthy for the below-par QB's.

Defense

This defense isn't a defense that should get overlooked. They have a two-time Pro Bowler at one end of the Line (Aaron Schobel), and another solid DE on the other side in Chris Kelsay. Not to mention that Buffalo added 6 foot 6, 310-pound DT Marcus Stroud from Jacksonville. Buffalo upgraded at LB this offseason, as well. Adding Kawika Mitchell from the defending Super Bowl Champs. MItchell could end up being 'the guy' in Buffalo as far as LB's go. Paul Posluszny needs to stay healthy this year after missing 13 games last year, and not recording a single sack in his 3 games played. The starting 4 in the secondary combined for just 7 INT's in 2007, and will have to do it a little more often this year to win some games, and get the defense off the field to rest.

Better or Worse in 08??? Last year's 31st ranked defense will, in fact, improve this year. I expect some solid production from the D-Line, and if the LB's stay healthy, I will expect Posluszny to breakthrough this year. I see the Bills jumping up to a 25th spot in Total Defense, at least.

Don't be Surprised if...

  • Edwards is benched halfway through the season in favor of Losman.
  • Buffalo's Defense experiences more injuries, particularly at the LB position.

Miami Dolphins (2007: 1-15, 4th place):

Key Additions: Josh McCown (QB), Ernest Wilford (WR), Anthony Fasano (TE)

Key Losses: Zach Thomas; Dallas Cowboys (LB)

Offense

John Beck, the 'Phins second-year QB out of BYU, is currently second on the depth chart to new Dolphin, Josh McCown. I don't expect that to last very long, though. Ronnie Brown absolutely NEEDS to stay healthy, and gain 1200+ yards on the ground to keep it out of the QB's hands, (whomever that may be). Ernest Wilford, the former Jaguar, will be a nice target, standing at 6 foot 4. Wilford will most likely be the go-to guy in Miami, and dominate his opponents in the AFC East.

Better or Worse in 08??? Well, this offense really can't get much worse than 07. So, I gonna say yes, they will be better than last year. Maybe win 4 or 5 games, and improve from their 28th overall position on offense. Ronnie Brown should stay healthy this year, and the 'Phins upgraded their Line by drafting OT, Jake Long at first overall in this year's draft.

Will Jason Taylor be a Dolphin this season???
Will Jason Taylor be a Dolphin this season???

Defense

This defense will definitely struggle this year. Veteran LB, and tackling machine, Zach Thomas, left for Dallas, and All-Pro D-End, Jason Taylor could be gone soon, as well. You know what that means...Joey Porter is going to have to lead this rather weak defense. But, it's not the LB's, or D-Line that I'm worried about. That would be the secondary. Miami was 4th in the NFL in passing defense last year, but SS, Yeremiah Bell played just 1 game last year, and Jason Allen is still young, and in the learning process. In 15 games, 28-year old CB Mike Lehan recorded just 59 tackles, and 1 INT. But, if Miami wants to have a successful D, they are going to have to stop the run better than last year, as they gave up 153.5 Rushing YPG, could enough for dead-last in the NFL. The loss of Zach Thomas, and maybe Jason Taylor doesn't help the cause any.

Better or Worse in 08??? Worse. The passing game will do just as good as last year, I believe. But, their run-stopping won't improve a bit, and may end up being 32nd in the NFL for a second consecutive season. As a team, the Dolphins D will be worse in 08, I just don't think Porter will be able to lead this defense as well as he did in Pittsburgh.

Don't be surprised if...

  • Ernest Wilford becomes the go-to guy in Miami, like I said above.
  • Jason Taylor isn't a Dolphin come opening day, especially since he says he boycotting Miami's training camp. I think he'll stay true to his word.

New England Patriots (2007: 16-0, 1st place):

Key Additions: Marcus Pollard (TE), Kelley Washington (WR)

Key Losses: Asante Samuel (CB; Philly), Junior Seau (LB; Free Agency)

Offense

Obviously NE is still the team to beat in this Division. New England went 16-0 last year, and was number one in passing, and overall offense. They have the number 1 QB in the league, and last year's MVP, Tom Brady. Brady to Randy Moss will still be a huge threat for opposing teams, obviously, and I don't see this team having any trouble defeating the rest of the AFC East teams. New England's rushing offense isn't anything to sneeze at either. Running Back Laurence Maroney ran for 835 yards in just 13 games (4.3 YPC), and the rushing offense didn't hesitate to gain yards while he sat out. The Offensive Line is pretty much the same line as last year, meaning not too many defenses are going to get to Brady.

Better or Worse in 08??? Well, this offense probably won't get much better, since they were number 1 in total offense last year. But, they won't be significantly worse either. Brady's offense didn't have a single big loss over the offseason, meaning Brady still has his line, and weapons. Look out NFL!! New England is ready to show the world why they were 16-0 last year.

Asante Samuel's absence will be felt in the secondary.
Asante Samuel's absence will be felt in the secondary.

Defense

While the Offense is still running on all cylinders, the defense may struggle a little more. The Pats LB's are another year older, and they lost their all-pro CB, Asante Samuel, who's headed for Philly. Tedy Bruschi still has the leadership skills, but can he still perform?? We probably won't know until the season starts, but it makes you wonder. Junior Seau is now a free agent, and will be missed in the defensive backfield for New England. Rodney Harrison is another one of those question marks surrounding the Pats D. Bottom Line: Secondary will struggle.

Better or Worse in 08??? I'm gonna go with 'about the same' despite a few big losses, and aging LB's. I still think Bruschi has the skill to lead this team to victory on the defensive side of the ball. Plus, with an offense like they have, who needs Defense?!?!

Don't be surprised if...

  • Brady, and Moss have another monster year.
  • New England rolls to an easy Division title, and goes deep into the playoffs.

New York Jets (2007: 4-12, 3rd place):

Key Additions: Alan Faneca (G), Jesse Chatman (RB), Tony Richardson (FB), Kris Jenkins (DT), Calvin Pace (LB)

Key Losses: Jonathan Vilma (LB; New Orleans Saints)

Offense

Without a proven QB, not many teams can succeed, and I believe that may be the case in New York. Chad Pennington has yet to prove he can start all 16 regular season games, and take his team to the playoffs. So, I believe Kellen Clemens may start some games for New York, so he can gain more experience, and maybe lead NY to a WIld Card. But, Clemens managed to complete just 52% of his passes for 5 TD's, and 10 INT's in his rookie season last year. In 9 games last year Clemens accumulated a horrific 60.9 QB Rating, but did show some hope in a week 17 win over the Kansas City Chiefs. Clemens threw for only 115 yards, and completed half his passes, but didn't throw an INT, and had zero fumbles. Unfortunately for New York, I believe Pennington's time is done, and Clemens is the future. But, if Thomas Jones, and Leon Washington run well behind new FB, Tony Richardson, Pennington/Clemens may perform a little better. Despite the iffy QB situation, look for wideout Jerricho Cotchery to have a big impact on fantasy teams.

Better or Worse in 08???  I think the QB situation looks to be a little better than last year, especially since Clemens has had a chance to learn the offense a little better. The running game will improve because of the fact that they now have all-pro FB, Tony Richardson blocking for them.

Will Pennington finally prove he can carry the Jets???
Will Pennington finally prove he can carry the Jets???

Defense

New York lost the 2004 Defensive POY in Jonathan Vilma, but added Calvin Pace to take his place at the LB position (From Arizona. David Harris, the second-year ILB from Michigan looks to have a big season after racking up 126 total tackles, and 5 sacks in his rookie season. So, I don't think NY will miss Vilma a bit. Darrelle Revis (age 22), and Kerry Rhodes (age 25) lead NY's young secondary which ranked 9th in the NFL in passing defense. Look for that to improve with age.

Better or Worse in 08???  I think this team has nowhere to go, but up. The defense will do just fine with the leadership of David Harris, and Kris Jenkins. I think this secondary will be overlooked, and will jump to maybe the 6th or 7th spot on passing defense. Especially if Jenkins is able to get to the QB.

Don't be surprised if...

  • David Harris is a Pro Bowler come February.
  • NY's run game jumps from 19th to inside the top 10 this year. I'm telling you, Richardson is highly underrated as a FB.

All in all, NE will run away with the AFC East, and NY will come in second, with Buffalo a close 3rd. Miami....Well, let's just wait til the season kicks off in September to find out how they do without Thomas, and Taylor roaming the defensive backfield.

UP NEXT: AFC South Early Preview!!! Have a great Memorial Day weekend!!


Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
CrackajgDraft Pick
406 days ago
Score 5+-
Good stuff, Ben. Looking forward to the future editions.
Permalink | Reply
CrackajgDraft Pick
406 days ago
Score 4+-
I think the biggest off season addition for the entire division is a tie between Marcus Stroud going to the Bills and Kris Jenkins going to the Jets. I can't decide which one would have more impact... but if I had to go with one I'd probably go with Jenkins.
Permalink
RomiezzoLegend
406 days ago
Score 4+-
Nicely done, BBB15. I love this very thorough previews.
Permalink | Reply
Falcon02520Legend
406 days ago
Score 6+-
My two-dollars (as opposed to sense)...

Will Brady-Moss have another great season? Well, it will be interesting to see if the video-cameras did actually help the Patriots or not...

Pennington won't shut the haters up because, well, he sucks...

Buffalo is just waiting on a relocation. This is unfortunate because the team is a big part of the city...

What about Miami? Nothing...

Buffalo's defense will be decent this season. The front line will play well...

Paul Posluszny is going to be a great linebacker. Picking him to have a breakout season is a safe pick, but one I am making too...

Buffalo at 7-9 is a good prediction...

Miami should just be looking for consistency at this point. Parcells will build a winning team soon enough, but consistent play is all that can be asked for at this moment...

Ronnie Brown was huge offensively last season, but they were still bad even when he played well. You are completely right in saying he needs to be healthy...

Even without the inevitable loss of Jason Taylor, this defensive line has some [rookie] potential. Their first two draft picks were defensive ends...

Their secondary sucks major ass...

How can you not say the running game won't be better? If Brown is healthy for the entire season, along with the addition of Jake Long, would that not make them better on the ground?

Reports say that Taylor will be gone. Reports also say that few teams have a lot of interest. I wouldn't be surprised if he is still in Miami (whether he plays for the team or is sitting on the beach)...

New England, a sticky subject because of all the Patriots fans on this site...

Upon the revelation of spygate, I realized that karma may just be real. It appears the Patriots losing the Super Bowl is what they deserved...

It will be interesting to see how they fair without tapes. I'm still not convinced recording the signals did too much...

I can't see Moss breaking 15 touchdowns this season. He is getting old and has to slow down... eventually...

The Patriots may be short-staffed on the defensive end...

Who is that rookie linebacker? I can't remember his name. If he can learn this complicated defense quickly, he could be vital in making a run deep into the playoffs...

Like you said, they can't get much better...

14-2 seems like an achievable (and very respectable) record...

Now, the J-E-T-S...

The loss of Vilma is going to kill this defense...

Pennington has done a lot in his career with no arm strength. Kudos for that but he just sucks ever since his injuries...

Maybe they should just let Richardson run the ball. He'd do better than Jones/Washington...

You make some good points about the linebackers. I retract my statement about Vilma's loss killing the defense...

A healthy Jenkins would be good for this team...

New England is the clear favorite to win the division. The question remains, will they have any competition from with-in the division?

Can't wait for more BB15...

Have a great Memorial Day-Weekend (Day-Weekend, a bit contrdicting?)

...
Permalink | Reply
CrackajgDraft Pick
406 days ago
Score 3+-
Excellent points, Falcon. I'd give you more plusses if I could. Put all those ideas into an article!
Permalink
CrackajgDraft Pick
406 days ago
Score 2+-
LB's name is Jerrod mayo. He's in my avatar.
Permalink
KelsdadAll-Star
406 days ago
Score 1+-
He just did.
Permalink
OvertheedgeVarsity
406 days ago
Score -1+-
write a longer comment next time, geeze, just tell the kid he did a good job then shut up
Permalink
Tmil42Draft Pick
405 days ago
Score 6+-
What's wrong with such a long comment? He's responding to an excellent article with his thoughts on the matter. So what if he doesn't have it as short as possible? The man clearly has a lot of thoughts on the AFC East, and I don't see what's wrong with him answering this way. Is your attention span really that short?
Permalink
Xman2008Varsity
406 days ago
Score 2+-
Excellent stuff.
I'm waiting to see if the whole Spygate/Injured Reservists practicing will affect the Patriots any. I think not. They're still head and shoulders ahead of the rest of the division, and quite honestly, I think only the Colts will give them any problems on the road to the Super Bowl
Permalink | Reply
Sj-hypocycloidAll-American
405 days ago
Score 2+-
The thing with the Pats that should worry their opponents is that even after being caught cheating and even after they proved they were one of the league's elite teams...they still manage to play with a chip on their shoulder. It was interesting to hear the chatter last year. Almost like they were out to prove that they could beat the crap out of most teams without the taping. I did think it was amusing that the Pats almost made it seem like they felt they had been wronged. If they maintain this perspective, I don't see any reason they can't go 16-0 again. Barring injuries, of course.
Permalink | Reply
False ProphetAll-Star
405 days ago
Score 1+-
they definitely could, but I doubt there's going to be the same push as there was last year (i.e. not treating every game like a playoff game). I think they'll pace themselves next season so they don't collapse in the playoffs due to fatigue three seasons in a row
Permalink
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Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Behbigben15 | May 24, 2008 | May 2008 | NFL Opinions | Football Opinions | New England Patriots Opinions | New York Jets Opinions | Buffalo Bills Opinions | Miami Dolphins Opinions

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