Why Trade Santana?
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by Tyduffy
In a delightful dallop of divination, Buster Olney has stated that the Twins have received the best offers they will get for Johan Santana from both the Yankees and the Red Sox.
The Angels and the Mets could also theoretically sign Santana to an extension, but, let's face it. The Angels only open the purse strings for mediocre talent (ahem... Torii Hunter) and the Mets operate in some sort of la la land where they trade a big name prospect for junk from the Nationals and don't need a competent front line starter.
The Yankees offer would include young pitcher Phil Hughes, center fielder Melky Cabrera, and a second tier prospect.
The Red Sox offer would include young pitcher Jon Lester, center fielder Coco Crisp, minor league infield prospect Jed Lowrie, and a fourth player.
If you choose the Yankees, you get their third choice young pitching prospect and a decent young center fielder. If you choose the Red Sox, you get, at best, their third choice young starter, their backup center fielder who was one of the worst offensive outfielders in the AL last season, and a good infield prospect. It is hardly a king's ransom.
Why make these deals? Yes, the Twins will not be able to resign Santana. But, if this is the best they are going to get for him, why bother?
They can keep him for next season, pair him with Liriano and their young offensive talent and try to make a playoff push.
If they stay in contention, they can let him go at the end of the season and get the compensation draft picks. The value is at least comparable, and potentially better than either of the offers on the table.
If they fall out of contention, they could probably get similar deals at the deadline from the Yankees and Red Sox, potentially more if either of them panics.
Santana may not be pleased to come back to Minnesota for another season, but he isn't going to mope around, become a cancer, and torch the clubhouse or anything like that.
Neither of these offers are blowing anybody away. Why bother trading him?
Originally published at OddsandSods
