What if the NFL used the BCS? Week 9 2006 results
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by user False Prophet
The BCS, for most college Football fans, is the one flaw in their great sport. Two small groups of people and a bunch of formulas determine who is the best team in the country, and who is on their way to some crappy bowl game that no one even knew existed until their team ended up in it.
What if the was an uproar in the NFL? Say the fans demanded they use the same formula as the BCS? What would happen? Let's find out.
Part 1: The Poll
I used ESPN's. They have multiple voters. They're ESPN. Fine. They're 50% of the ranking. They should be 33%, but I couldn't find another good human poll.
Part 2: The Computers
They're not all computers. They're objective measures -- make up a formula, stick in the data, out pops some rankings. Here are the six I used:
- CPU-1: Jeff Sagarin, because he's a BCS computer. I used his "ELO CHESS"/"PURE POINTS" mesh, which he calls "RATING."
- CPU-2: Football Outsiders, because they actually know what they're talking about.
- CPU-3: Sonny Moore, because he's been doing this for years, and still uses AOL as his web host, which is weird.
CPU-4: Mike Greenberg. He isn't a Mike & Mike Mike, though.This page hasn't been updated as of Thursday night, so I'm not using it this week
- CPU-5: Mr. Coffey, because he has been doing this for years, too.
- CPU-6: Davis21wylie, ArmchairGM user and statistical dynamo.
The "computers," so to speak, count for 50% of the end result total. So, each one counts for about 10% of the total ranking for this week.
Part 2: Results
Team P1 C1 C 2 C3 C4 C5 c6 CPU AVG TOTAL Colts 1 1 7 0 1 2 4 2.50 1.75 Bears 3 4 1 0 2 1 1 1.50 2.25 Patriots 4 2 8 0 4 5 5 4.00 4.00 Broncos 2 3 9 0 6 10 10 6.33 4.17 Chargers 5 7 2 0 7 3 2 3.50 4.25 Giants 6 6 3 0 3 7 9 4.67 5.33 Ravens 7 6 5 0 5 4 3 3.83 5.42 Saints 8 8 13 0 8 8 11 8.00 8.00 Jaguars 10 9 6 0 9 6 7 6.17 8.08 Falcons 9 12 20 0 13 15 12 12.00 10.50 Chiefs 11 11 11 0 12 13 13 10.00 10.50 Cowboys 15 10 10 0 10 14 6 8.33 11.67 Eagles 16 14 4 0 11 9 8 7.67 11.83 Bengals 13 13 15 0 14 11 17 11.67 12.33 Seahawks 12 15 23 0 15 12 21 14.33 13.17 Panthers 14 16 16 0 16 19 23 15.00 14.50 Vikings 18 17 17 0 17 18 16 14.17 16.08 Rams 17 21 14 0 20 23 14 15.33 16.17 Jets 19 18 26 0 19 16 24 17.17 18.08 Redskins 20 20 19 0 18 22 22 16.83 18.42 Steelers 24 19 12 0 21 17 15 14.00 19.00 Bills 21 22 22 0 22 20 26 18.67 19.83 Packers 22 25 18 0 26 30 20 19.83 20.92 Dolphins 25 28 21 0 27 29 18 20.50 22.75 49ers 23 30 29 0 28 25 29 23.50 23.25 Lions 26 26 25 0 30 26 21 21.33 23.67 Bucs 27 24 27 0 23 24 30 21.33 24.17 Browns 30 23 24 0 24 21 27 19.83 24.92 Texans 28 27 28 0 25 31 28 23.17 25.58 Titans 29 29 31 0 29 32 31 25.33 27.17 Raiders 31 31 30 0 31 27 32 25.17 28.08 Cardinals 32 32 32 0 32 28 25 24.83 28.42
