What if the NFL used the BCS? Week 8 results 2006
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by user False Prophet
The BCS, for most college Football fans, is the one flaw in their great sport. 2 small groups of people, and a bunch of formulas determine who is the best team in the Country, and who is on their way to some crappy bowl game that no one even knew existed untill their team ended up in it.
What if the was an uproar in the NFL? Say the fans demanded they use the same formula as the BCS? What would happen? Lets find out.
Part 1: The Poll
I used ESPN's. They have multiple voters. They're ESPN. Fine. They're 50% of the ranking. They should be 33%, but I couldn't find another good human poll.
Part 2: The Computers
They're not all computers. They're objective measures -- make up a formula, stick in the data, out pops some rankings. Here are the six I used:
- CPU-1: Jeff Sagarin, because he's a BCS computer. I used his "ELO CHESS"/"PURE POINTS" mesh, which he calls "RATING."
- CPU-2: Football Outsiders, because they actually know what they're talking about.
- CPU-3: Sonny Moore, because he's been doing this for years, and still uses AOL as his web host, which is weird.
- CPU-4: Mike Greenberg. He isn't a Mike & Mike Mike, though.
- CPU-5: Mr. Coffey, because he has been doing this for years, too.
- CPU-6: Davis21wylie, ArmchairGM user and statistical dynamo.
The "computers," so to speak, count for 50% of the end result total. So, each one counts for about 8.33% of the whole.
Results
Team Poll 1 C1 C 2 C3 C4 C5 c6 CPU AVG TOTAL Bears 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1.17 1.08 Colts 2 2 9 1 2 5 6 4.17 3.08 Patriots 3 5 6 3 3 2 4 3.83 3.42 Giants 4 3 2 4 4 6 8 4.50 4.25 Chargers 5 6 4 8 6 3 2 4.83 4.92 Ravens 8 4 5 6 5 4 4 4.67 6.33 Broncos 6 7 12 5 7 13 11 9.17 7.58 Falcons 7 8 16 7 9 11 9 10.00 8.50 Cowboys 11 9 8 10 10 10 5 8.67 9.83 Saints 9 11 15 9 8 9 13 10.83 9.92 Jaguars 12 10 7 15 11 7 10 10.00 11.00 Bengals 10 13 13 12 12 12 15 12.83 11.42 Eagles 17 12 3 16 13 8 7 9.83 13.42 Chiefs 14 16 11 17 16 16 17 15.50 14.75 Seahawks 13 17 22 14 17 13 21 17.33 15.17 Vikings 16 14 18 11 14 15 16 14.67 15.33 Panthers 15 15 17 13 15 20 20 16.67 15.83 Rams 18 20 14 18 18 19 12 16.83 17.42 Steelers 21 19 10 24 19 17 14 17.17 19.08 Jets 19 21 25 19 20 18 22 20.83 19.92 Packers 20 24 19 23 22 28 18 22.33 21.17 Redskins 23 22 20 22 24 25 19 22.00 22.50 Bucs 24 18 23 20 21 21 28 21.83 22.92 Browns 26 23 21 21 23 22 25 22.50 24.25 Titans 22 26 31 26 28 27 26 27.33 24.67 Bills 27 25 24 25 25 26 27 25.33 26.17 Texans 25 30 28 28 27 31 30 29.00 27.00 Raiders 28 28 29 27 26 24 31 27.50 27.75 Lions 30 27 27 30 31 30 23 28.00 29.00 49ers 29 29 30 29 29 32 32 30.17 29.58 Dolphins 31 32 26 32 32 31 18 28.50 29.75 Cardinals 32 31 32 31 30 28 24 29.33 30.67
Thanks goes out to DNL for supplying the spreadsheat and formula, and to User:Davis21wylie for hammering out his ratings for me
