What if the NFL used the BCS? Week 14 2006 results
| 6
|
by user False Prophet
This weekly column has become so big that even ESPN has caught on.
Sorry, I diddn't have time to do the Divisional rankings because the way I had set it up messed up the spreadsheet. It will return next week though.
The BCS, for most college Football fans, is the one flaw in their great sport. Two small groups of people and a bunch of formulas determine who is the best team in the country, and who is on their way to some crappy bowl game that no one even knew existed until their team ended up in it.
What if the was an uproar in the NFL? Say the fans demanded they use the same formula as the BCS? What would happen? Let's find out.
Part 1: The Poll
I used ESPN's. They have multiple voters. They're ESPN. Fine. They're 50% of the ranking. They should be 33%, but I couldn't find another good human poll.
Part 2: The Computers
They're not all computers. They're objective measures -- make up a formula, stick in the data, out pops some rankings. Here are the six I used:
- CPU-1: Jeff Sagarin, because he's a BCS computer. I used his "ELO CHESS"/"PURE POINTS" mesh, which he calls "RATING."
- CPU-2: Football Outsiders, because they actually know what they're talking about.
- CPU-3: Mike Greenberg. He isn't a Mike & Mike Mike, though.
- CPU-4: Mr. Coffey, because he has been doing this for years, too.
- CPU-5: Sonny Moore, because he's been doing this for years, and still uses AOL as his web host, which is weird.
- CPU-6: Davis21wylie, ArmchairGM user and statistical dynamo.
The Rankings
Team Poll C 1 C 2 C3 C4 C5 c6 CPU AVG TOTAL Chargers 1 1 3 1 1 2 2 1.50 1.25 Ravens 2 3 2 3 4 3 1 2.17 2.08 Bears 4 2 1 2 2 1 3 1.50 2.75 Saints 3 9 7 8 8 6 7 6.17 4.58 Bengals 5 7 8 7 9 4 9 6.17 5.58 Colts 6 4 9 4 3 9 8 5.50 5.75 Patriots 8 5 6 5 5 7 5 4.67 6.33 Cowboys 7 8 5 9 7 8 6 5.67 6.33 Jaguars 9 6 4 6 6 5 4 4.17 6.58 Giants 11 10 10 10 10 12 13 9.17 10.08 Eagles 13 16 11 17 12 14 10 10.50 11.75 Chiefs 15 17 13 15 18 15 12 12.50 13.75 Seahawks 10 22 26 20 20 17 21 17.67 13.83 Falcons 12 19 24 19 19 19 15 16.00 14.00 Jets 16 12 21 11 11 13 20 12.83 14.42 Titans 14 15 17 12 17 16 25 15.00 14.50 Broncos 17 13 18 13 14 20 16 13.50 15.25 Steelers 20 14 15 18 15 11 11 11.00 15.50 Dolphins 18 18 14 16 16 18 14 13.33 15.67 Bills 19 11 19 14 13 10 22 12.50 15.75 Panthers 22 20 13 21 21 21 18 15.50 18.75 Vikings 21 21 16 22 22 22 19 16.67 18.83 Packers 23 26 20 25 26 29 24 20.83 21.92 Rams 24 27 28 27 27 27 17 21.00 22.50 Redskins 27 25 23 26 23 24 23 19.67 23.33 Cardinals 26 28 27 30 30 23 26 22.33 24.17 Texans 28 24 22 24 24 26 27 20.50 24.25 49ers 25 30 32 29 29 30 29 25.00 25.00 Browns 29 23 25 23 25 25 30 21.33 25.17 Bucs 30 29 30 29 28 32 32 25.17 27.58 Raiders 31 31 29 31 31 28 31 25.00 28.00 Lions 32 32 31 32 32 31 28 25.67 28.83
Analysis
- After getting shut out against Miami, the Pats fall out of the top 5
- D21Dub, stop hating against the Titans. Your rankings are the only one to have the Titans below 20
- I was suprised to see that the Chargers have a good lead over the Ravens for first in the rankings
- Finally, both the Bengals and the Saints moved into the top 5. I see the Saints, but the Bengals? They are not a top 5 team.
Thanks to DNL for providing me with the Spreadsheet!
