armchairgm
all sports, all you
+ Add Friends
You are not logged-in.
Sign Up - Log In
Main Page
Sports
Write
Articles
Hot Links
Images
Meet People
Fun
Explore
MLB - NFL - NBA - NHL - College Basketball - College Football - Soccer - Nascar - Other
Article - Locker Room Discussion
All Articles - New Articles - Today's Articles
Submit a Link - Approve Links
Picture Game - Ratings - Polls - Pick Game - Quiz Game - Spring Silliness
Random Page - Random Image - Random Fan
Edit
Page history Discuss pageWhat links here

Was Pedro's 97-00 run the best ever?

14
Vote

I've done some analysis, and I concluded that the seasons Pedro Martinez pitched between 1997 and 2000 was the best performance over any four year period in MLB history. Examine the numbers:



  • W/L -- 77-25
  • ERA -- 2.16
  • WHIP -- 0.92 WHIP
  • IP -- 905.33
  • K -- 1153
  • BB -- 203

While none of those numbers are probably the best ever over four years, the thing that makes this run so special is that the league ERA during this time was 4.71. The league was in the middle of the home run boom, and no other pitcher during that time came close to matching those numbers.

There are several other four-year runs I considered, including any combination of Greg Maddux seasons between 1992-98, Sandy Koufax 1963-66, Randy Johnson 1999-2002, or any combination of Walter Johnson seasons between 1912-19.

Pedro simply was the most dominant in history.


Date

Sun 07/23/06, 1:26 pm EST


Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
Twins15Varsity Captain
1226 days ago
Score 2+-
Abolutely agree. Playing in a great hitter's era, in a hitter's ballpark in Fenway, as dominant as it was, I'd agree it was the most dominant pitching stretch ever. Dominant control, lots of Ks, low ERA... Pedro was filthy.
Permalink | Reply
The sharkDraft Pick
1226 days ago
Score 1+-
I couldn't agree more. In fact, check out this article I wrote about Pedro a couple of months ago. It might surprise you. Pitching Dominance in This (or Any) Era
Permalink | Reply
Twins15Varsity Captain
1226 days ago
Score 1+-
Yeah... Pedro doesn't have the longevity of other top pitchers of all-time, but as far as peak goes, Pedro is far and away the best ever, IMO. His 2000 season could be the best of all-time.
Permalink
The sharkDraft Pick
1226 days ago
Score 0+-
He doesn't have the longevity yet, but his numbers are very hard to ignore or dismiss. One of the best pitchers of all time and a first ballot Hall-Of-Famer if he retired today.
Permalink
JoebookRed-Shirting
1226 days ago
Score 0+-
I agree that his 2000 season is the best in history. I considered writing another article on that at some point... people will argue that Gibson's 1.12 ERA season was better, but I disagree.
Permalink
Bball3345Draft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
Pedro's 2000 season was better than Gibson when you factor in Gibson relied more on his defense. Pedro struck out 16 more batters than Gibson in 87.7 LESS innings than Gibson.
Permalink
Jgov05All-American
1226 days ago
Score 1+-
Randy's run was pretty good too. So was Roger from 04-05 especially when you consider his age.
Permalink | Reply
AndersedJV Squad
1226 days ago
Score 1+-
Why look at really current players? What about Koufax from about 61-65? I think that's when his great run was.
Permalink | Reply
AndersedJV Squad
1226 days ago
Score 0+-
Oh whoops...the Koufax run is included. Pedro was also facing hitters in the middle of the steroid era, as was mentioned, so he gets credit. I would avoid the Clemens 04/05.
Permalink | Reply
ASwaffAll-American
1226 days ago
Score 1+-
Why would you avoid Clemens in 04/05?
Permalink
Jgov05All-American
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
When you consider Clemens' age, a Cy Young and ERA title is pretty damn good for two seasons.
Permalink
ASwaffAll-American
1226 days ago
Score 0+-
Those are very good points, but I still think Koufax's was better. His win percentage was better (.782 to Pedro's .755). His ERA was better at 1.86. And yes, he didn't pitch in the hitter's era Pedro pitched in, but 1.86 was still stellar in the '60s. In the four years we're talking about, Pedro had 11 shutouts. Koufax had that many in 1963 alone. Combine his four years, and he had 31 shutouts. Not to mention all the no-hitters. I'll give this to Pedro - he had more strikeouts per nine, he had about the same WHIP in a more offensive period, and he had a better K to BB ratio. But, I still think Koufax was more dominant.
Permalink | Reply
Twins15Varsity Captain
1226 days ago
Score 2+-
One thing I think that's in Pedro's favor was that Koufax was pitching in arguably the best pitcher's era ever (they lowered the mounds just a few years later), in a pitcher's park. Pretty much the opposite of Pedro. Which doesn't take away the dominance of Koufax, just puts Pedro on another level, IMO.
Permalink
ASwaffAll-American
1226 days ago
Score -4+-
True, but I guess when you're talking about dominance, I have to look at what really matters - wins. As great as ERA is and strikeouts are and everything, Koufax was more dominant when it came to wins. In his four years, he won 20 more games than Pedro did, and lost just two more. There was one year that Pedro didn't lead the league in ERA, but Koufax led the league in ERA in all four of his years. That's huge.
Permalink
Twins15Varsity Captain
1226 days ago
Score 3+-
Well the wins can be attributed to different things such as Koufax getting more starts because of a 4-man rotation... which could be a point in his favor as well, I guess. In addition to looking at leading the league in ERA is looking at the ERA in comparison to the rest of the league, where Pedro comes out ahead of Koufax. (League ERA in Koufax's time was in low 3s, league ERA in Pedro's years was mid-to-high 4s.
Permalink
JoebookRed-Shirting
1226 days ago
Score 3+-
Thank you all for the comments... I can't look at wins as the deciding factor. Pedro's teams in 1997-00 didn't finish in first place, although the Red Sox teams did win many games. Like I said, the difference in league ERA was the deciding point for me. Koufax was phenomenal, but I still think Pedro was the best.
Permalink
SteaksammichRed-Shirting
1226 days ago
Score 3+-
Wins mean absolutely nothing when talking about a pitcher's dominance. Teams win or lose a game, not one player. I could list half a dozen pitchers in the last two years to prove that, but I'm sure you can think of them yourself. Koufax was incredible during his run, but Pedro was better.
Permalink
The sharkDraft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
Yes he was. Especially 1999 and 2000. No one has every had better back-to-back years.
Permalink
ASwaffAll-American
1225 days ago
Score -1+-
The wins weren't JUST because of the four-man rotation, though. As I pointed out, Koufax also had a higher winning percentage. And how can you say that wins have absolutely nothing to do with a pitcher's dominance? True, teams win the games and not the pitchers, but the pitchers are in there to give their teams chances to win. Which would you take - a pitcher that strikes out more batters, or a pitcher with a higher winning percentage? The answer is a no-brainer to me.
Permalink
ASwaffAll-American
1225 days ago
Score -2+-
Let me put it to you another way. Let's say you have a pitcher that has a great ERA, but he averages 5 innings per start. You have another pitcher with a higher ERA, but he gets more wins because he averages 7 innings per start. Wouldn't you say the pitcher that has more wins, despite his higher ERA, is the more dominant pitcher? Of course he is. His numbers might now show it, but he's getting the wins because he's giving his team more opportunities to win than the pitcher that pitches just 5 innings per start.
Permalink
SteaksammichRed-Shirting
1225 days ago
Score 3+-
Ok, apparently you do need examples. Roger Clemens, '05. Had a 1.87 ERA and was, by far, the best pitcher in baseball. Won 13 games. Kevin Millwood, '05. Lead the league in ERA with 2.86. Had a losing record at 9-11. Bartolo Colon, '05. Had a 3.48 ERA and didn't deserve any consideration for the Cy Young, but won it because his team scored a lot of runs and he won 21 games. Jake Peavy, '04. Lead the league with a 2.88 ERA and had just a 13-7 record. Randy Johnson, '04. Had a 2.60 ERA and still got tagged for 14 losses. Wins and losses are about 95% useless when looking at a pitcher's performance. They don't mean he was good or he was bad. They mean that he played for a good team or a bad team.
Permalink
Jgov05All-American
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
Peavy's ERA was actually 2.27 that year I think.
Permalink
ASwaffAll-American
1225 days ago
Score -1+-
First of all, I've been respectful to you, and I'd appreciate it if you'd not talk down to me. I'm not an idiot. I know the examples you're going to bring up. Clemens was dominant in the innings he pitched. Yes, he got very little run support, but he also didn't pitch deep into games. He tended to pitch just 6 innings. And he was dominant for six innings, but if you're only going 6 innings, you don't give your team the best chance to win. True, he got no run support, but he was also relying to much on the bullpen with those short starts. In '05, Millwood had that record because of his home ERA. He led the league in ERA, but as with Clemens, he wasn't going deep into games, so he didn't give his team the best chances to win. He averaged less than 6 and a half innings per start. He also didn't win at home, going 3-7. Only so much of that is because of run support, unless you're actually going to say that Millwood was the AL's best pitcher last year. Is that really the argument you want to make? The point is, there's more to a pitcher's dominance than ERA. ERA can be very deceiving. I want a pitcher out there that's going to get me wins. Don't you? Isn't that the point to playing the game?
Permalink
JoebookRed-Shirting
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
ASwaff -- would you rather have a guy who gives up 0 or 1 runs in 6 innings, or a guy who goes into the 8th or 9th but gives up 3 or 4 runs? To me, if my pitcher can guarantee me 6 innings and 1 run, I'd take it all day. If my offense can't score more than one run, then I won't win games. If the bullpen can't hold a lead, what good are they?
Permalink
ASwaffAll-American
1225 days ago
Score -1+-
I would agree, except that it's not just about offense. We're talking about a whole season, not just one game. If I'm talking about one game, yeah, I'll take a guy that can give me 6 innings with one run. But over the span of a season, I'd rather have the guy that consistently goes 8 innings and gives up three or four runs. Because it's not just about the offense. You also have to consider the bullpen. If a pitcher goes out there and gives you 8 innings with three runs, you can hand the ball to your closer with a great chance to win. If a pitcher just goes six, you have to go deeper into a bullpen you might not have. If he does it consistently, you also have to worry about your bullpen getting worn out. It's what I call the Reds syndrome, because it's happened to Cincy each season for the last six years. Their starting pitching stinks, so their bullpen gets overused and worn out.
Permalink
BarkingclamVarsity
1225 days ago
Score 1+-
As much as I want to disagree here - and that's mostly my anti-Red Sox bias coming into effect - the numbers speak volumes. Pedro, if he wasn't the best ever, is absolutely one of the best. Didn't Orel Hershiser have some really good years back with the Dodgers, too? I seem to recall a stretch of something like 40 innings he went without a run scored against him.
Permalink | Reply
Bball3345Draft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
Hershiser had a very strong stretch from 87-89.
Permalink
The sharkDraft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
Actually, Hershiser pitched 59 1/3 consecutive scorless innings.
Permalink
Bball3345Draft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 1+-
I think Clemens' 1997 season is a close rival with Pedro's 2000 season for the best all-time. Clemens went 21-7 with a 2.05 ERA in 264.0 innings with 292 strikeouts and only 68 walks and 9 home runs allowed.
Permalink | Reply
SteaksammichRed-Shirting
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
There have been better seasons than Pedro's best, but there has never been a better run than the one he had.
Permalink
Bball3345Draft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 1+-
Maddux had a great five-year run from 1994-98. His ERA ranged from 1.56 to 2.72.
Permalink | Reply
BarkingclamVarsity
1225 days ago
Score 1+-
But that's NL, though - ERA's in that league tend to be lower then those in the AL in general (Isn the common solution something like adding .5 to an ERA when going from NL to AL?).
Permalink
Bball3345Draft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
It has been more like .3 over the last few seasons at least.
Permalink
Bball3345Draft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 2+-
Maddux's ERA in 1994 was 1.56, which was 173% above the average ERA for the National League. Pedro's 1.74 ERA in 2000 was 185% better than the league average. Both are in the top 5 all-time for ERA's compared to average.
Permalink | Reply
Bball3345Draft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
Pedro's 2000 and Maddux's 1994 and 1995 are the best ERA's compared to average since 1914.
Permalink
The Widening GeierSoccer Kid
1225 days ago
Score 1+-
Unit's 2000-2002 was incomprable.2002- 24-5 2.32 ERA 343K . and 373 K the year before.
Permalink | Reply
Jgov05All-American
1225 days ago
Score 1+-
Randy won 4 straight Cy Youngs...that's hard to beat.
Permalink
JoebookRed-Shirting
1225 days ago
Score 1+-
I think some of you are missing the point. The comparison was done for 4 years... I agree that some of these other guys had great two or three year runs, but Pedro's was the best for 4 years. I also agree that wins are completely useless... see steaksammich's posts.
Permalink | Reply
ASwaffAll-American
1225 days ago
Score -1+-
How can y'all keep saying wins are useless? You play the game to win, not to record strikeouts or post a good ERA. By that standard, Millwood was the most dominant pitcher in the AL last year. Does anyone actually believe that? Wins aren't useless in the equation, nor are they the only thing. That was never my argument. My point is just that I'd prefer a pitcher with a slightly higher ERA, but does what he needs to help my team win. There's more to it than just ERA and strikeouts. It's about fielding your position and pitching in a way that keeps your team motivated. Millwood wasn't the most dominant pitcher in the AL last year, and as good as Clemens was, he wasn't the most dominant pitcher in the NL.
Permalink
Bball3345Draft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
I don't think they mean "winning" is useless, but they mean "pitcher's wins" are useless to look at. I prefer the pitcher who gives his team the better chance of winning. The pitcher who gives me the best chance is the one who pitches a lot of innings with the lowest ERA. Clemens went 211.3 innings with a 1.87 ERA. Millwood may have had an ERA lower than Santana, but Santana went about forty more innings, so his season was better than Millwood's.
Permalink
UfgatorsDiv-I Stud
1225 days ago
Score -2+-
you totally contradicted yourself. "...the seasons Pedro Martinez pitched between 1997 and was the best performance over any four year period in MLB history." Then you said, "While none of those numbers are probably the best ever over four years," well, which is it?
Permalink | Reply
JoebookRed-Shirting
1225 days ago
Score -1+-
oh brother... here we go again. Gators, read the rest of the posts. I'm saying that together, his performance was the best four-year run ever. 77 wins isn't the most wins in four years, nor is 905 innings, but together, he was the best ever for those years. It's simple.
Permalink | Reply
UfgatorsDiv-I Stud
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
thank you. but if others had the same question, maybe you should revise that part...
Permalink
The Widening GeierSoccer Kid
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
has anyone checked Santana's last 4?
Permalink | Reply
Bball3345Draft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
This would include 2003, when Santana only started 18 games, so not yet.
Permalink
The Widening GeierSoccer Kid
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
also, Doc Gooden 84-87
Permalink | Reply
Bball3345Draft Pick
1225 days ago
Score 0+-
Yeah, outside of 1985, which was Tremendous, they weren't all that historic like Pedro.
Permalink
Add your Comment
ArmchairGM welcomes all comments. If you don't want to be anonymous, Register or Login. It's free


Retrieved from "http://armchairgm.wikia.com/Was_Pedro%27s_97-00_run_the_best_ever%3F"

This page was last modified 11:45, 14 August 2006. Content is available under the GFDL.

Contribute

ArmchairGM's pages can be edited.
Is this page incomplete? Is there anything wrong?
Change it!

Edit this page Discuss this page Page history

Recent contributors to this page

The following people recently contributed to this article.

Embed this on your site

Main Page About Special Pages Help Terms of Use Advertise