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How the Celtics Can Make the Most of Yet Another Lottery Flop

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by user Sportsbrief

-Besse

I watched Tuesday night’s NBA Draft Lottery on the edge of my seat. I watched with this sense of nervous energy as if I was climbing into the Octagon against Chuck Liddell; as if I was stepping into the batter’s box against Joel Zumaya in his pre-Guitar Hero days; as if I was plugging the C gap only to see Jerome Bettis turn the corner. Simply put, I was defecating in my pants. I had spoken with Keefe about an hour earlier as we ran down all the possibilities of what could happen. “Hey, the worst they can do is the 5th pick,” he assured me. “I guarantee they get the 5th pick,” I immediately replied. We would’ve been remiss to not discuss the possibility of getting screwed again, 10 years fresh off the Tim Duncan debacle back in ’97. After losing a franchise record 19 straight games, watching D-League players log significant time and our star sit out most of the season en route to the 2nd worst record in the league, an entire season rested on a stupid lottery system. The thing is so ridiculous I think I even had 0.00000389% chance to win the Greg Oden sweepstakes. And when the Celtics drew the 5th pick, I couldn’t help but feel the same emotions of panic, distress and frustration that have been the proverbial wet blanket over the TD Banknorth Garden in recent years.

I was bullsh*t. I was irate. I was speechless, thoughtless, emotionless, depressed, suicidal…alright it didn’t get that serious, but you can understand that I felt like someone was squeezing my testicles like a stress test outside of K-Mart and Shaw’s. Pop in a quarter and see how over the top you are. I mean honestly, how does that happen? The Trailblazers might as well have been all-in on a draw with 3, 4 suited against some poor saps’ pocket rockets only to pull a one-outer on the river. Ridiculous, and after steaming all night and into the morning, I finally took some time to reflect on what happened and where the Celtics should go from here. My thoughts have led to following: Danny Ainge & Co. must decide if the future shall be now or if they want to sign it to another 3-year extension.

Should the Celtics opt for the latter, then Ainge should place a call over to Yawkey Way and ask Theo Epstein how he worked up the intestinal (and testicular) fortitude in 2004 to trade away the face of the franchise in Nomar Garciaparra. As crazy as it sounds, and it did in ’04, it may be in their interest to put captain and five-time NBA All-Star Paul Pierce on the trading block. Look at it this way, Pierce will play all of next season as a 30 year old in his ninth season in the NBA. Should the Celtics use that fifth pick on a young player like [[]]Al Horford from Florida, Brandon Wright from UNC or Yao Ming’s fellow brethren there from China, it will still most likely take the Celtics another two or three years to become contenders in the diluted Eastern Conference, and even that is wishful thinking, especially when you have to acknowledge that first-rounders aren’t always a lock. Besides, the top-seeded Detroit Pistons would have only finished 4th in the Western Conference last year. Think there’s any sort of disparity or variance there? A couple years to even think about mixing it up with the best of the East which isn’t even on the same level of it’s adversary out West. By that time, Pierce will be 32 or 33 and either finishing up the back nine of his heralded and arguably Hall of Fame career or just simply impossible to re-sign. And if that was the case, that would leave us with a group of still maturing NBA players who just recently earned the right to drink legally; yet their fearless, exemplary leader will be out the door and Doc Rivers not too far behind when he realizes his already sunken ship has been discovered. So let’s do this: dangle Pierce in the collective face of the Portland or Seattle franchises, along with that 5th pick and see if they’ll take the bait. If they do, the Celtics take home either Oden or collegiate Player of the Year Kevin Durant to add to a nice stable of developing NBA players. They’d probably miss the playoffs again next year, but could end up with another lottery pick or close to it and continue Ainge’s 30-year re-building effort. A guard rotation of Delonte West, Rajon Rondo and Gerald Green with a front-court of Perkins/Gomes, Big Al and another impact type player, ideally Durant or Oden, later on looks to a promising future. Or if you send Pierce straight up for another pick to a team looking to add a veteran player, you can keep that 5th pick and select another first-rounder. We’d have the second coming of the Fab Five, or Six, just older and in the NBA. The franchise would continue to experience growing pains, but like last year the team would be fun to watch and times and exciting for talk-radio and writers/readers/fans like ourselves to talk about in anticipation of what’s to come. All it would take is the continued patience of Celtic Pride to understand that Ainge and the Celtics are like Matt Amorello and Big Dig. We said the project was going to be completed seven years ago, but we suck at what we’re doing yet we’re still excited about the future of this organization and where it’s heading.

Meanwhile, Pierce could do what other great athletes have done in this area. Like Ray Bourque, he could amicably part ways with the franchise and go elsewhere to try and win a championship. If he ends up on Portland, Zack Randolph, Jarrett Jack, Brandon Roy and Co. wouldn’t object to Pierce’s arrival. They could probably make a run out West immediately. Or if he went to Seattle, how about the tandem of Ray Allen and Pierce with Rashard Lewis, pending the SuperSonics re-sign him which they say they will, and Nick Collison. That’s not too shabby, either. Or like Nomar, he could ungraciously go where the Celtics send him, although I think Pierce would take the high road and make the most of a fresh start.

But of course that all depends on whether or not teams would be willing to take Pierce for any of those options. Which brings us to the former. The future is now and Pierce stays in Boston. Ainge could look at the 5th pick as a lost cause and dish it away. After getting of the phone with Keefe today, he left me feeling optimistic about this alternative when he suggested the likes of Jermaine O’Neal or Ron Artest. O’Neal might make the most sense for the Pacers. They forked over their 11th pick to the Hawks as part of the Al Harrington deal, so Larry Bird would’ve been better off as a no-show at that brutal live Draft Lottery. More importantly, he could’ve been spared the awkward dialogue between he and Fred Hickman which was embarrassing just to watch. It was even bad enough to have Tom Heinsohn and Jerry West leaning over to exchange pleasantries and derisions at Hickman’s expense.

But back to the Pacers and O’Neal. In O’Neil you’re getting an athletic big man that can score 20 ppg and be a double-double threat every night washing the boards. And with 2.6 blocks per game last season, he’d add a defensive presence to alleviate some of the pressure down low on Big Al, who would be a bit of an undersized center. Meanwhile, the Pacers could draft in the top five for the first time since 1988 when they selected Rik Smits second overall. Smits, of course, went on to average almost 15 ppg over 12 NBA season.

Another option for the C’s would be Ron Artest, who really knows how to wear out a welcome wherever he goes. But as Keefe mentioned on the phone, him and Pierce are boys and that might make him a welcome fit in the locker room. Besides, Artest would probably get Pierce on his next album and be a staple at Mirage on Tremont St. That alone is worth the price of admission. On the court, he’d be like that nut job in White Men Can’t Jump, taking his gun around the corner to rob a convenience because he lost a bet in the middle of the game. He’s a raw dude like Corey Dillon and would bang bodies down low and seriously aid a defense that allowed opponents to score just a shade over 99 ppg last season.

And of course there’s the ever-desirable Kevin Garnett, whom many are comparing Durant to this year. Although he may not be on the trading block for Kevin Mchale et al, I would be remiss not to drool over the thought of him, Pierce and Big Al. After Tuesday night’s “worst-case scenario,” that would easily be the “best-case scenario.”

All in all, these are obviously hypothetical situations that may or may not be feasible for Ainge to execute using either his star player or the “coveted” 5th pick in this year’s draft. Essentially, the point I’m trying to make is although we got the raw end of the deal, landing the “worst-case scenario” on Tuesday night, it’s actually not all that bad. If Ainge can finally play his cards right, the Celtics should absolutely make tremendous headway by the time the 2007 draft has completed on June 28. But the most important thing they must do is commit to one or the other. If the Celtic brass decides that the future is now, trade that pick for a big-time veteran that can turn the Celtics into a venerable playoff contender. But if the Celtics choose to take the alternate route, you can’t keep Pierce leading a group of young, underdeveloped talent that is still a few years away from being much of anything. It’s unfair to him and an impediment to the overall status of this esteemed yet recessed franchise. You can’t get caught in the middle for yet another season because the current value of their assets is as high as they will be. You don’t need to be an avid reader of the Wall Street Journal to know that you buy low and sell high. But I suppose with his history, Ainge could probably use a subscription.

And us fans? Let’s just relax knowing that although Tuesday night was certainly not a Utopian wet dream , we are still in a substantial position. Let’s just hope Ainge doesn’t pull a Pitino.

If you have any thoughts, comments or suggestions, please send them to Keefe, Besse and Sharkey at sportsbrief@gmail.com. -Besse


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Clayton St. John Smythe Esq.Varsity
920 days ago
Score 2+-
Well at least this isn't in all caps...
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DNLLegend
920 days ago
Score 2+-
That's what the edit button is for! ArmchairGM - where the readers are the writers and editors too!
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Clayton St. John Smythe Esq.Varsity
920 days ago
Score 3+-
"my bad" I didn't know if breaking something down into paragraphs was "vandalism" or not.  :)
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JuTMSY4Legend
920 days ago
Score 1+-
I was about to read it...and then i saw that its probably a 1000 word paragraph...
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SportsbriefVarsity
920 days ago
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Sorry, the formatting didn't go through properly when I first put it up. Should be fine now.
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Anonymous Fanatic #1
920 days ago
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Portland and the Sonics would not trade Oden/Durant for a max contract guy who plays the same position that they are strong at Brandon Roy/Ray Allen. There is not much value in the 5 pick.
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SportsbriefVarsity
920 days ago
Score 0+-
How can you say there's no value in the 5th pick? Of course there's value...even though you can't pick up the "lock" of this year's draft in Oden or Durant at 1 or 2, with enough homework you can pick up an impact player if they develop like your scouts anticipate. Every pick has some value...just look at Vince Carter ’98, Mike Miller ’00, Jason Richardson ’01, Dwayne Wade ’03, and Ray Felton ’05. I didn't realize any of those guys had no value as the 5th pick in their respective drafts.
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DNLLegend
920 days ago
Score 1+-
I think there's value in the #5, but it's not as much as a top 2 by any stretch. And #5 plus Pierce won't be enough to get it done, partially because of what you said, but also because both Seattle and Portland aren't win-now teams. That is, the reason the Celtics should trade Pierce is the same reason the Blazers and Sonics won't want him. I'd be looking toward trading Pierce for a role player/project and a mid-level #1.
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Anonymous Fanatic #2
920 days ago
Score 0+-
I agree, neither Portland nor Seattle right now are "win-now" teams...but if they added Pierce to their roster I have to argue that they certainly would become "win-now" teams. If you put Pierce with a top-notch #2 guy and a couple solid role players he can lead you to deep into the playoffs. Look at what he and Walker did with the C's for four straight years: Eastern Conference finals in '01-'02, Conference semi-finals in '02-'03, and then two more consecutive playoff appearances thereafter. Delk and Wally were injured most of the season, but neither of those guys are #2 caliber but rather role players. I definitely think the C's can find some leverage with this pick though.
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SportsbriefVarsity
920 days ago
Score 0+-
Forgot to sign back in but that's my reply above.
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Willf123JV Squad
920 days ago
Score 0+-
that was me above...sorry forgot to sign in again
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JuTMSY4Legend
920 days ago
Score 1+-
Chuck Lidell is in red...crap, someone is getting beat up...
Permalink | Reply
JuTMSY4Legend
920 days ago
Score 1+-
BTW, I used to live down the street from Mirage...Hollywood liquors used to be my liquor hub...
Permalink | Reply
SportsbriefVarsity
920 days ago
Score 2+-
Mirage is ultimate thug club...shootings and stabbings regularly. My buddy was about to get robbed of his beer ball outside of there but cops were following the suspect and apprehended him on the spot. He had to testify against the guy.
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JuTMSY4Legend
920 days ago
Score 1+-
Classic...I've never been inside...but then again, I probably couldn't have gotten in at the time...

That's great...if a cop had strolled by while i had a ball, i def woulda peaced before that cop decided bustin me was easier than the guy running...

lucky him...hahaha
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Willf123JV Squad
920 days ago
Score 0+-
quoting myself "There is not much value in the 5 pick." I didn't say no value. DNL said it before I could #5 and Pierce is not enough to facilitate a trade for #1 or #2.
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SportsbriefVarsity
920 days ago
Score 0+-
Okay so now you want to get into semantics. You said "not much" which is pretty much saying the pick isn't valuable. Unless you want to clarify what exactly you mean by "not much," cause I'd love to hear it. And read the article again, because I went on the record to say that I am not sure Portland or Seattle would bite at the Pierce trade, but that it would be worth at least putting it on the table and seeing if they wanted to work on it. So if you wanna go ahead and tell people to re-check quotes, go ahead and check mine too, pal.
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JuTMSY4Legend
920 days ago
Score 0+-
Obviously its worth a shot...but its not worth it...not for either of those teams who's developing right now, especially portland...
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Willf123JV Squad
920 days ago
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The Celtics have to stick with an organizational philosophy. It's either trade away young players to win now or keep them and develop them. Their win now philosophy win the made the Eastern Conference Finals a few years ago was to trade away the Joe Johnson's to acquire the Kenny Anderson's, Rodney Rodgers, and Tony Delks to win games in the short term. That only works for a year. Miami did the same thing in getting Shaq but it worked because they got their championship. Ainge has made some mistakes but has also done some good things. Ainge realized that the team that he acquired with aging vets was not good enough to win a title and beat a team in the West.
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Willf123JV Squad
920 days ago
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Exploring trading Pierce is certainly an option.
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Anonymous Fanatic #2
920 days ago
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I totally agree. The Wally Szcerbiak's and Tony Delk's of the world are great, but Ainge made the mistake of bringing them in to be a #2/#3 for Pierce and neither one of them are capable of shouldering that load on a consistent basis. I'd rather they keep Pierce and bring in O'Neal, Artest or someone of that nature. But like we both said, they have to make a decision and fully commit to how they wanna approach the next 3 years.
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SportsbriefVarsity
920 days ago
Score 0+-
Damnit I forgot to log-in again. Ridiculous.
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Willf123JV Squad
920 days ago
Score 0+-
Suffering injuries hasn't helped Pierce's trade value and to acquire a Garnett, Pierce would almost certainly have to be involved in the trade to make the salaries work.
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JuTMSY4Legend
920 days ago
Score 1+-
Pierce wasn't hurt at the end of the season...he was "hurt"
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Willf123JV Squad
920 days ago
Score 1+-
Pierce had elbow surgery...
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JuTMSY4Legend
920 days ago
Score 0+-
Again...didn't he have it last season and he happened to have an infection this season. I wasn't aware he went under the knife for it in '07...
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Willf123JV Squad
920 days ago
Score 0+-
After the season ended, surgery again...then he was withdrawn from USA Basketball consideration because of it.
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Anonymous Fanatic #1
920 days ago
Score 0+-
You are correct he did have the surgery in 06' offseason and got the infection in 07'...just clarifying- willf123
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JuTMSY4Legend
920 days ago
Score 0+-
Wait, so just the foot injury and infection in '07?
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Willf123JV Squad
920 days ago
Score 0+-
He had a stress reaction, soft tissue injury in his foot this past season too.
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KelsdadAll-Star
920 days ago
Score 0+-
Danny Ainge used to play in Portland. Danny Ainge is infatuated with Kevin Durant. He will overpay big time to get the #1 pick. Of course, David Stern will likely decline any attempt by Portland (or Seattle) to trade their picks, considering how much work he had to do to fix the draft for their benefit in the first place.
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