Home Cooking

Rutgers is pretty much a lock to cover the 7 point spread against Louisville tomorrow, and will probably win the game outright. Here's Louisville's home/road splits since 2003.

2003 Home

Record: 5-1
Points per Game: 36.2
Points Allowed per Game: 24.3
Close Games (decided by 8 points or less): 0

2003 Road

Record: 4-2
Points per Game: 34.2
Points Allowed per Game: 27.7
Close Games: 3

2004 Home

Record: 5-0
Points per Game: 50.6
Points Allowed per Game: 10.2
Close Games: 0

2004 Road

Record: 5-1
Points per Game: 50.0
Points Allowed per Game: 24.2
Close Games: 2

2005 Home

Record: 6-0
Points per Game: 55.3
Points Allowed per Game: 15.5
Close Games: 0

2005 Road

Record: 3-2
Points per Game: 33.0
Points Allowed per Game: 31.4
Close Games: 2

2006 Home

Record: 4-0
Points per Game: 39.3
Points Allowed per game: 21.5
Close Games: 1

2006 Road

Record: 4-0
Points per Game: 39.5
Points Allowed per Game: 9.0
Close Games: 0

Analysis

At home Louisville has been nigh-invulnerable going 20-1 in nearly 4 seasons. On the road they have been a different team, albeit one that still sports a stellar 16-5 record. At home, Louisville has played only one nail-biter--the game against Cincinnati earlier this season. On the road, Louisville has had 7 games comes down to the wire. Things do appear to be changing this season as Louisville has actually been more impressive on the road. Ah, but check the schedule. Every home game this season has been against a team that currently sports a winning record. The best team they have played on the road was a mediocre Kansas State team. Their road slate also includes a date against Temple (a 62-0 thrashing that skews the data). Against teams with winning records at home, Louisville is 7-1 since 2003. Against winning teams on the road, Louisville is only 3-4, with 2 of the wins coming this season against Kansas State and Middle Tennessee State. And what ofheir most famous road setback? That South Florida team was only 6-6.

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False ProphetAll-Star

1146 days ago

Score 1

Meanwhile, Ohio St. and Michigan prepare for the National championship game this weekend

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I am a cpcpMajor Leaguer

1145 days ago

Score 2

Actually Ohio State and Michigan play next weekend, the 18th.

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False ProphetAll-Star

1145 days ago

Score 0

my bad, but their still prepping for it now, as they play cupcake oppenents this weekend

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MadmoochSoccer Kid

1145 days ago

Score 0

If Rutgers wins and wins out, will they have a shot at the Championship? If Louisville wins and wins out, will they?

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TartanVarsity Captain

1145 days ago

Score 1

Louisville will, Rutgers I believe will not. Only one way to find out though, win the rest of the games. And Rutgers is hardly a lock to cover the spread, especially since the same players got beat by 50 last year.

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ASwaffAll-American

1145 days ago

Score 0

I agree. Louisville definitely would have had a chance, Rutgers will not. This win really helps them, but they're just coming back from way too far down. They're not going to come back from 13th with three weeks to play and move up to the second spot. Not to mention that they still have to make it through West Virginia. The Big East could still end up being the incredibly mediocre conference I've believed it to be all season.

AF #3 is right - the team that benefits most from this win is the University of Texas.

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