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Davis21wylie's Week 7 NFL Player -- And Team! -- Rankings

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by user Davis21wylie

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Since I'm hard at work at school, etc. (and I'm also hammering out the lovely NBA Preview), I'll limit the Pulitzer-worthy material this week and simply focus on some of my random thoughts from the week that was... Week 7.

Sorry, this week I've got some sticky orange stuff on my fingers...
Sorry, this week I've got some sticky orange stuff on my fingers...


  • Was Pittsburgh-Atlanta the best game so far this year? You could certainly make a case: it featured the best career single-game passing performance by the NFL's most exciting player, versus a superstar QB in his own right on the other sideline -- the latter of which got injured and replaced by a journeyman, who proceeded to pick up exactly where the starter left off. And, oh yeah, you can't forget six lead changes, a game-winning Atlanta FG that was negated by a timeout, a missed opportunity for a similar game-winner by Pittsburgh because of a false start, and finally a true GW kick in overtime by a 46-year-old guy who was sitting at home a month ago. All in all, a fantastic game.
Question_dropshade.png
don't know what these numbers mean?
Plays are the number of opportunities the player consumes. Rushes count as a full play, while passes and receptions are worth half a play each.

TAY stands for Total Adjusted Yards, an attempt to scale all players' yards equally.

Net Points is an estimate of the number of points the player produced through his passes, rushes, and receptions. It is equal to TAY / 12.

Pts/Play is the number of points the player produced per play consumed.

PAR means Points Above Replacement; it's a rough estimate of the number of extra points the player produced over what a random minimum-wage free agent would have if given the same opportunity.

PAR/G is the average number of points above replacement the player puts up per game.

WARP stands for Wins Above Replacement Player, and is the theoretical number of wins the player has added to his team over that which a random waiver-wire player would produce.

Click Here for further explanation of all of the advanced stats seen here.


  • Houston beat Jacksonville, 27-7. They gained 349 yards against one of the NFL's top defenses. Their own defense, easily considered among the worst in the league, allowed only a single TD, and held the Jags to only 118 yards through the air (that's 4.1 ypa). This is one of the reasons I love the NFL -- the old "any given Sunday" quote is trite, but it's largely true. Now Houston is in a position to grab another win next week against Tennessee; meanwhile, has there been a less consistent team than Jacksonville this year? For that matter, has there ever been a less consistent team than the '06 Jags? That weekly DVOA variance of 44.8% is simply astonishing.
  • Peyton Manning is Week 6's MVP after tossing for 342 yards and 4 touchdowns in Indy's Sunday-afternoon win over Washington. Don't look now, but he's closing the gap on Donovan McNabb as the 2006 MVP, especially after that Ronde Barber love-fest against Tampa.
  • Speaking of which, that 62-yard FG by Tampa's Matt Bryant was the longest game-winning kick of all time. Also speaking of which, Bruce Gradkowski is not that bad of a starting QB. Take that, Chris Simms! (I just realized I was seriously lagging behind on my Simms-bashing in recent weeks. And, no, his being injured is not an excuse.)
  • Props to Chester Taylor for making the column, thanks to his downright unconscious 169-yard explosion against Seattle. Why did I want him to do something column-worthy? So I could say something like "Chester Taylor was dangerously cheesy on Sunday." What? He was.
  • As much as I love Tecmo, I just can't get excited about Knobbe's SNES Tecmo ROM competition. Because, to me, it's NES or nothing. Those ports to the SNES were just plain legacy-tarnishing, like Jordan's Wizards stint, or when Evander Holyfield kicked an insurance salesman's ass. That doesn't impress me, and neither do TSB ports.
  • Week 6's Least Valuable Player is Edgerrin James. How in the hell do you lose to Oakland? Oakland? Is there even a punch line here? Is that the punch line? I'm confused.

The Rankings (sorted by PAR):

 Name  		Team  	G  	Plays	TAY	Net Pts	Pts/Ply	PAR	PAR/G	WARP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Donovan McNabb PHI 	7	144.5	1148.5	95.71	0.662	62.04	8.86	1.55
 Peyton Manning IND 	6	111.0	820.0	68.33	0.616	42.47	7.08	1.06
 M. Westbrook 	PHI 	6	99.0	683.5	56.96	0.575	33.89	5.65	0.85
 Michael Vick 	ATL 	6	124.5	750.0	62.50	0.502	33.49	5.58	0.84
 Tiki Barber 	NYG 	6	142.0	758.0	63.17	0.445	30.08	5.01	0.75
 Mark Brunell 	WAS 	7	112.0	672.5	56.04	0.500	29.95	4.28	0.75
 Damon Huard 	KAN 	6	86.5	587.5	48.96	0.566	28.80	4.80	0.72
 Philip Rivers 	SDG 	6	110.5	630.0	52.50	0.475	26.75	4.46	0.67
 Jake Delhomme 	CAR 	7	127.5	676.5	56.38	0.442	26.67	3.81	0.67
 Frank Gore 	SFO 	6	124.0	651.0	54.25	0.438	25.36	4.23	0.63
 Carson Palmer 	CIN 	6	109.0	606.0	50.50	0.463	25.10	4.18	0.63
 Drew Brees 	NOR 	6	117.5	627.5	52.29	0.445	24.91	4.15	0.62
 Kevin Jones 	DET 	7	128.5	652.0	54.33	0.423	24.39	3.48	0.61
 Larry Johnson 	KAN 	6	145.5	695.5	57.96	0.398	24.06	4.01	0.60
 Alex Smith 	SFO 	6	106.5	581.5	48.46	0.455	23.64	3.94	0.59
 L. Tomlinson 	SDG 	6	142.0	676.5	56.38	0.397	23.29	3.88	0.58
 Jon Kitna 	DET 	7	145.0	678.5	56.54	0.390	22.76	3.25	0.57
 Tatum Bell 	DEN 	6	130.5	632.5	52.71	0.404	22.30	3.72	0.56
 Chester Taylor MIN 	6	147.5	678.5	56.54	0.383	22.17	3.70	0.55
 Tom Brady 	NWE 	6	110.5	572.0	47.67	0.431	21.92	3.65	0.55
 Reggie Brown 	PHI 	7	14.5	302.5	25.21	1.739	21.83	3.12	0.55
 David Carr 	HOU 	6	107.0	560.5	46.71	0.437	21.78	3.63	0.54
 C. Pennington 	NYJ 	7	111.0	570.0	47.50	0.428	21.64	3.09	0.54
 Warrick Dunn 	ATL 	6	122.0	600.0	50.00	0.410	21.57	3.60	0.54
 Clinton Portis WAS 	6	105.5	551.5	45.96	0.436	21.38	3.56	0.53
 D. McAllister 	NOR 	6	97.5	528.5	44.04	0.452	21.32	3.55	0.53
 Santana Moss 	WAS 	7	21.0	314.5	26.21	1.248	21.32	3.05	0.53
 Roy Williams 	DET 	7	19.0	305.5	25.46	1.340	21.03	3.00	0.53
 L. Coles 	NYJ 	7	22.0	313.0	26.08	1.186	20.96	2.99	0.52
 Javon Walker 	DEN 	6	19.5	305.5	25.46	1.306	20.91	3.49	0.52
 Brett Favre 	GNB 	6	123.0	594.5	49.54	0.403	20.88	3.48	0.52
 Steve Smith 	CAR 	5	20.5	305.0	25.42	1.240	20.64	4.13	0.52
 Torry Holt 	STL 	6	18.5	298.0	24.83	1.342	20.52	3.42	0.51
 Steven Jackson STL 	6	145.5	653.0	54.42	0.374	20.52	3.42	0.51
 Andre Johnson 	HOU 	6	23.5	310.5	25.88	1.101	20.40	3.40	0.51
 Julius Jones 	DAL 	6	122.5	587.0	48.92	0.399	20.37	3.40	0.51
 D. Jackson 	SEA 	6	16.5	286.5	23.88	1.447	20.03	3.34	0.50
 Ronnie Brown 	MIA 	7	134.5	612.0	51.00	0.379	19.66	2.81	0.49
 Anquan Boldin 	ARI 	7	24.0	300.5	25.04	1.043	19.45	2.78	0.49
 Brad Johnson 	MIN 	6	109.0	531.5	44.29	0.406	18.89	3.15	0.47
 Reggie Wayne 	IND 	6	14.0	262.0	21.83	1.560	18.57	3.10	0.46
 M. Harrison 	IND 	6	19.5	272.5	22.71	1.165	18.16	3.03	0.45
 B. Berrian 	CHI 	6	11.5	247.0	20.58	1.790	17.90	2.98	0.45
 Fred Taylor 	JAC 	6	114.5	534.5	44.54	0.389	17.86	2.98	0.45
 Eli Manning 	NYG 	6	108.0	511.0	42.58	0.394	17.42	2.90	0.44
 Joseph Addai 	IND 	6	77.0	422.5	35.21	0.457	17.27	2.88	0.43
 J.P. Losman 	BUF 	7	117.5	535.0	44.58	0.379	17.21	2.46	0.43
 K. Johnson 	CAR 	7	19.0	254.0	21.17	1.114	16.74	2.39	0.42
 Willis McGahee BUF 	7	157.0	637.5	53.13	0.338	16.54	2.36	0.41
 L. Washington 	NYJ 	7	73.5	404.0	33.67	0.458	16.54	2.36	0.41
 P. Burress 	NYG 	6	12.0	232.0	19.33	1.611	16.54	2.76	0.41
 Rudi Johnson 	CIN 	6	134.5	571.0	47.58	0.354	16.24	2.71	0.41
 J. Norwood 	ATL 	6	38.5	300.0	25.00	0.649	16.03	2.67	0.40
 Donald Driver 	GNB 	6	21.0	249.0	20.75	0.988	15.86	2.64	0.40
 J. Cotchery 	NYJ 	7	16.0	234.0	19.50	1.219	15.77	2.25	0.39
 M. Colston 	NOR 	6	13.5	227.0	18.92	1.401	15.77	2.63	0.39
 Travis Henry 	TEN 	4	84.5	425.5	35.46	0.420	15.77	3.94	0.39
 Willie Parker 	PIT 	6	131.5	554.5	46.21	0.351	15.57	2.59	0.39
 Chris Chambers MIA 	7	19.0	239.5	19.96	1.050	15.53	2.22	0.39
 Ladell Betts 	WAS 	7	70.5	381.5	31.79	0.451	15.37	2.20	0.38
 Antonio Bryant SFO 	6	10.5	212.5	17.71	1.687	15.26	2.54	0.38
 Terry Glenn 	DAL 	6	15.5	226.0	18.83	1.215	15.22	2.54	0.38
 Ahman Green 	GNB 	4	84.5	417.0	34.75	0.411	15.06	3.77	0.38
 M. Hasselbeck  SEA 	6	96.0	448.5	37.38	0.389	15.01	2.50	0.38
 L. Maroney 	NWE 	6	89.5	429.5	35.79	0.400	14.94	2.49	0.37
 Mike Furrey 	DET 	7	18.5	230.5	19.21	1.038	14.90	2.13	0.37
 Hines Ward 	PIT 	6	13.0	214.0	17.83	1.372	14.80	2.47	0.37
 Michael Turner SDG 	6	46.0	305.0	25.42	0.553	14.70	2.45	0.37
 Greg Jennings 	GNB 	6	10.5	204.0	17.00	1.619	14.55	2.43	0.36
 Marion Barber 	DAL 	6	47.0	305.0	25.42	0.541	14.47	2.41	0.36
 Terrell Owens 	DAL 	6	14.0	212.5	17.71	1.265	14.45	2.41	0.36
 D. Culpepper 	MIA 	4	77.0	384.5	32.04	0.416	14.10	3.53	0.35
 Charlie Batch 	PIT 	3	28.5	248.0	20.67	0.725	14.03	4.68	0.35
 Lee Evans 	BUF 	7	18.5	220.0	18.33	0.991	14.02	2.00	0.35
 Rex Grossman 	CHI 	6	103.5	457.5	38.13	0.368	14.01	2.33	0.35
 DeShaun Foster CAR 	7	136.5	547.0	45.58	0.334	13.78	1.97	0.34
 M. Jones-Drew 	JAC 	6	49.0	301.5	25.13	0.513	13.71	2.28	0.34
 Joe Horn 	NOR 	6	13.0	200.5	16.71	1.285	13.68	2.28	0.34
 Isaac Bruce 	STL 	6	13.5	199.0	16.58	1.228	13.44	2.24	0.34
 Chad Johnson 	CIN 	6	17.0	205.5	17.13	1.007	13.16	2.19	0.33
 L.J. Smith 	PHI 	7	14.0	196.5	16.38	1.170	13.11	1.87	0.33
 Randy Moss 	OAK 	6	12.0	190.5	15.88	1.323	13.08	2.18	0.33
 Joey Galloway 	TAM 	6	11.5	185.0	15.42	1.341	12.74	2.12	0.32
 B. Edwards 	CLE 	6	11.0	183.5	15.29	1.390	12.73	2.12	0.32
 Houshmandzadeh CIN 	4	16.0	196.0	16.33	1.021	12.61	3.15	0.32
 Byron Leftwich JAC 	6	116.5	475.5	39.63	0.340	12.48	2.08	0.31
 Bryant Johnson ARI 	7	8.5	172.5	14.38	1.691	12.39	1.77	0.31
 Marty Booker 	MIA 	6	11.0	177.0	14.75	1.341	12.19	2.03	0.30
 Alge Crumpler 	ATL 	6	11.0	175.5	14.63	1.330	12.06	2.01	0.30
 Eric Parker 	SDG 	6	11.0	174.5	14.54	1.322	11.98	2.00	0.30
 L. Fitzgerald 	ARI 	5	12.5	178.0	14.83	1.187	11.92	2.38	0.30
 R. Williams 	JAC 	6	15.0	184.5	15.38	1.025	11.88	1.98	0.30
 Wes Welker 	MIA 	7	19.5	196.5	16.38	0.840	11.83	1.69	0.30
 Antonio Gates 	SDG 	6	13.5	179.0	14.92	1.105	11.77	1.96	0.29
 Amani Toomer 	NYG 	6	14.5	181.0	15.08	1.040	11.70	1.95	0.29
 Corey Dillon 	NWE 	6	82.0	368.0	30.67	0.374	11.56	1.93	0.29
 M. Muhammad 	CHI 	6	13.5	173.0	14.42	1.068	11.27	1.88	0.28
 C. Williams 	TAM 	6	111.5	442.0	36.83	0.330	10.85	1.81	0.27
 Tony Gonzalez 	KAN 	6	13.5	167.5	13.96	1.034	10.81	1.80	0.27
 R. McMichael 	MIA 	7	15.5	173.0	14.42	0.930	10.81	1.54	0.27
 Desmond Clark 	CHI 	6	10.0	157.5	13.13	1.313	10.80	1.80	0.27
 Thomas Jones 	CHI 	6	123.5	474.5	39.54	0.320	10.77	1.79	0.27
 Drew Bennett 	TEN 	6	10.5	157.5	13.13	1.250	10.68	1.78	0.27
 N. Washington 	PIT 	6	9.5	153.5	12.79	1.346	10.58	1.76	0.26
 Eddie Kennison KAN 	6	12.0	158.0	13.17	1.097	10.37	1.73	0.26
 Brandon Jacobs NYG 	6	44.0	247.0	20.58	0.468	10.33	1.72	0.26
 Derrick Mason 	BAL 	6	11.5	155.0	12.92	1.123	10.24	1.71	0.26
 Kellen Winslow CLE 	6	16.5	168.5	14.04	0.851	10.20	1.70	0.25
 D. Stallworth 	PHI 	3	6.0	134.0	11.17	1.861	9.77	3.26	0.24
 Deion Branch 	SEA 	4	10.5	145.0	12.08	1.151	9.64	2.41	0.24
 Eric Moulds 	HOU 	6	12.5	150.0	12.50	1.000	9.59	1.60	0.24
 Travis Taylor 	MIN 	6	11.0	144.0	12.00	1.091	9.44	1.57	0.24
 T. Williamson 	MIN 	6	9.5	137.0	11.42	1.202	9.20	1.53	0.23
 Justin Fargas 	OAK 	6	43.0	230.0	19.17	0.446	9.15	1.52	0.23
 B. Gradkowski 	TAM 	5	66.5	295.5	24.63	0.370	9.13	1.83	0.23
 Ben Watson 	NWE 	6	10.5	135.5	11.29	1.075	8.85	1.47	0.22
 Bryan Gilmore 	SFO 	6	6.0	122.5	10.21	1.701	8.81	1.47	0.22
 M. Clayton 	TAM 	6	11.5	137.0	11.42	0.993	8.74	1.46	0.22
 Jeremy Shockey NYG 	6	10.0	132.5	11.04	1.104	8.71	1.45	0.22
 Reggie Bush 	NOR 	6	84.0	338.5	28.21	0.336	8.64	1.44	0.22
 S. Holmes 	PIT 	6	8.0	124.0	10.33	1.292	8.47	1.41	0.21
 Todd Heap 	BAL 	6	13.5	137.5	11.46	0.849	8.31	1.39	0.21
 LaMont Jordan 	OAK 	5	87.5	343.5	28.63	0.327	8.24	1.65	0.21
 Arnaz Battle 	SFO 	6	10.0	126.5	10.54	1.054	8.21	1.37	0.21
 M. Robinson 	MIN 	5	6.5	115.0	9.58	1.474	8.07	1.61	0.20
 Roscoe Parrish BUF 	7	6.0	110.5	9.21	1.535	7.81	1.12	0.20
 Kurt Warner 	ARI 	4	69.5	288.0	24.00	0.345	7.81	1.95	0.20
 Cedrick Wilson PIT 	6	7.0	113.0	9.42	1.345	7.79	1.30	0.19
 Hank Baskett 	PHI 	7	4.5	106.0	8.83	1.963	7.78	1.11	0.19
 Mark Clayton 	BAL 	6	15.5	136.5	11.38	0.734	7.76	1.29	0.19
 Greg Lewis 	PHI 	7	6.0	109.0	9.08	1.514	7.69	1.10	0.19
 K. McCardell 	SDG 	6	11.0	122.5	10.21	0.928	7.65	1.27	0.19
 Drew Carter 	CAR 	7	9.5	117.5	9.79	1.031	7.58	1.08	0.19
 Jamal Lewis 	BAL 	6	97.0	362.0	30.17	0.311	7.57	1.26	0.19
 Jason Witten 	DAL 	6	10.0	118.5	9.88	0.988	7.55	1.26	0.19
 Dominic Rhodes IND 	6	97.5	363.0	30.25	0.310	7.53	1.26	0.19
 Chris Cooley 	WAS 	7	10.5	119.0	9.92	0.944	7.47	1.07	0.19
 M. Jenkins 	ATL 	6	7.5	108.5	9.04	1.206	7.29	1.22	0.18
 Ashley Lelie 	ATL 	6	6.0	104.0	8.67	1.444	7.27	1.21	0.18
 Heath Miller 	PIT 	6	6.0	104.0	8.67	1.444	7.27	1.21	0.18
 D. Williams 	CAR 	5	29.5	169.5	14.13	0.479	7.25	1.45	0.18
 Drew Bledsoe 	DAL 	6	92.5	345.0	28.75	0.311	7.20	1.20	0.18
 A. Randle El 	WAS 	7	19.0	137.5	11.46	0.603	7.03	1.00	0.18
 Ernest Wilford JAC 	6	8.0	106.5	8.88	1.109	7.01	1.17	0.18
 C. Buckhalter 	PHI 	7	46.5	214.0	17.83	0.384	7.00	1.00	0.17
 Josh Reed 	BUF 	7	12.0	117.5	9.79	0.816	7.00	1.00	0.17
 Chris Henry 	CIN 	3	5.5	98.5	8.21	1.492	6.93	2.31	0.17
 Doug Gabriel 	NWE 	5	7.5	102.0	8.50	1.133	6.75	1.35	0.17
 Troy Brown 	NWE 	6	8.5	104.5	8.71	1.025	6.73	1.12	0.17
 Bobby Engram 	SEA 	4	10.0	108.0	9.00	0.900	6.67	1.67	0.17
 Dallas Clark 	IND 	6	6.5	97.5	8.13	1.250	6.61	1.10	0.17
 Noah Herron 	GNB 	6	30.5	164.5	13.71	0.449	6.60	1.10	0.17
 Peerless Price BUF 	7	13.5	115.0	9.58	0.710	6.44	0.92	0.16
 Rod Smith 	DEN 	6	11.0	107.5	8.96	0.814	6.40	1.07	0.16
 P. Crayton 	DAL 	6	6.0	91.0	7.58	1.264	6.19	1.03	0.15
 Mack Strong 	SEA 	6	23.0	138.5	11.54	0.502	6.18	1.03	0.15
 Samie Parker 	KAN 	6	10.0	102.0	8.50	0.850	6.17	1.03	0.15
 Rashied Davis 	CHI 	6	5.0	87.5	7.29	1.458	6.13	1.02	0.15
 Bo Scaife 	TEN 	6	5.5	87.0	7.25	1.318	5.97	0.99	0.15
 M. Pittman 	TAM 	6	16.0	115.5	9.63	0.602	5.90	0.98	0.15
 C. Anderson 	OAK 	6	5.5	86.0	7.17	1.303	5.89	0.98	0.15
 Bobby Wade 	TEN 	6	6.0	87.0	7.25	1.208	5.85	0.98	0.15
 R. Droughns 	CLE 	5	86.0	309.0	25.75	0.299	5.71	1.14	0.14
 D. Henderson 	NOR 	3	5.0	81.0	6.75	1.350	5.59	1.86	0.14
 Mewelde Moore 	MIN 	6	15.5	110.0	9.17	0.591	5.56	0.93	0.14
 Brandon Lloyd 	WAS 	7	5.5	82.0	6.83	1.242	5.55	0.79	0.14
 Kevan Barlow 	NYJ 	7	79.0	286.0	23.83	0.302	5.43	0.78	0.14
 Dan Campbell 	DET 	7	4.0	76.0	6.33	1.583	5.40	0.77	0.14
 Chad Jackson 	NWE 	4	4.5	77.0	6.42	1.426	5.37	1.34	0.13
 Matt Schobel 	PHI 	7	3.5	73.5	6.13	1.750	5.31	0.76	0.13
 Derek Hagan 	MIA 	7	6.5	80.0	6.67	1.026	5.15	0.74	0.13
 J. McCareins 	NYJ 	7	3.5	70.5	5.88	1.679	5.06	0.72	0.13
 Kenny Watson 	CIN 	6	11.5	92.5	7.71	0.670	5.03	0.84	0.13
 Tim Carter 	NYG 	6	5.0	74.0	6.17	1.233	5.00	0.83	0.13
 N. Davenport 	PIT 	3	15.5	103.0	8.58	0.554	4.97	1.66	0.12
 Wali Lundy 	HOU 	4	36.0	160.0	13.33	0.370	4.95	1.24	0.12
 J. Wiggins 	MIN 	6	9.0	84.0	7.00	0.778	4.90	0.82	0.12
 Mike Bell 	DEN 	6	40.5	172.0	14.33	0.354	4.90	0.82	0.12
 Eric Johnson 	SFO 	6	8.5	82.5	6.88	0.809	4.89	0.82	0.12
 Klopfenstein 	STL 	6	3.5	64.0	5.33	1.524	4.52	0.75	0.11
 Matt Leinart 	ARI 	4	64.0	233.0	19.42	0.303	4.50	1.13	0.11
 Verron Haynes 	PIT 	6	23.0	118.0	9.83	0.428	4.47	0.75	0.11
 Musa Smith 	BAL 	6	24.5	121.5	10.13	0.413	4.42	0.74	0.11
 G. Wrighster 	JAC 	6	9.0	77.0	6.42	0.713	4.32	0.72	0.11
 Kevin Curtis 	STL 	6	6.5	70.0	5.83	0.897	4.32	0.72	0.11
 Daniel Wilcox 	BAL 	6	6.0	68.5	5.71	0.951	4.31	0.72	0.11
 Matt Jones 	JAC 	4	7.5	72.5	6.04	0.806	4.29	1.07	0.11
 Reche Caldwell NWE 	6	8.5	75.0	6.25	0.735	4.27	0.71	0.11
 Mike Anderson 	BAL 	6	20.0	107.0	8.92	0.446	4.26	0.71	0.11
 Alex Smith 	TAM 	6	7.5	71.0	5.92	0.789	4.17	0.69	0.10
 K. Washington 	CIN 	5	4.5	62.5	5.21	1.157	4.16	0.83	0.10
 D. Northcutt 	CLE 	5	7.5	70.0	5.83	0.778	4.09	0.82	0.10
 Kevin Faulk 	NWE 	6	14.0	87.5	7.29	0.521	4.03	0.67	0.10
 Az-Zahir Hakim DET 	6	9.5	74.5	6.21	0.654	3.99	0.67	0.10
 Tony Fisher 	STL 	6	9.5	74.5	6.21	0.654	3.99	0.67	0.10
 Chris Baker 	NYJ 	7	7.0	67.5	5.63	0.804	3.99	0.57	0.10
 Troy Walters 	ARI 	7	6.5	66.0	5.50	0.846	3.99	0.57	0.10
 Roethlisberger PIT 	5	77.5	264.5	22.04	0.284	3.98	0.80	0.10
 Ben Troupe 	TEN 	6	3.5	57.5	4.79	1.369	3.98	0.66	0.10
 D.J. Hackett 	SEA 	4	4.0	58.5	4.88	1.219	3.94	0.99	0.10
 Alvis Whitted 	OAK 	6	6.0	64.0	5.33	0.889	3.94	0.66	0.10
 Nate Burleson 	SEA 	6	3.5	57.0	4.75	1.357	3.93	0.66	0.10
 Reggie Kelly 	CIN 	6	3.5	57.0	4.75	1.357	3.93	0.66	0.10
 Ronald Curry 	OAK 	6	7.5	67.5	5.63	0.750	3.88	0.65	0.10
 Daniel Graham 	NWE 	4	4.0	57.5	4.79	1.198	3.86	0.96	0.10
 Brandon Jones 	TEN 	6	5.0	60.0	5.00	1.000	3.84	0.64	0.10
 Maurice Hicks 	SFO 	6	6.0	62.0	5.17	0.861	3.77	0.63	0.09
 Bubba Franks 	GNB 	6	6.0	61.5	5.13	0.854	3.73	0.62	0.09
 Owen Daniels 	HOU 	6	4.5	57.0	4.75	1.056	3.70	0.62	0.09
 Ben Utecht 	IND 	5	5.0	57.5	4.79	0.958	3.63	0.73	0.09
 Kyle Boller 	BAL 	2	25.5	113.0	9.42	0.369	3.48	1.74	0.09
 Malcom Floyd 	SDG 	6	2.5	48.5	4.04	1.617	3.46	0.58	0.09
 David Givens 	TEN 	4	5.0	55.0	4.58	0.917	3.42	0.85	0.09
 Joe Jurevicius CLE 	4	5.0	55.0	4.58	0.917	3.42	0.85	0.09
 LenDale White 	TEN 	4	26.0	111.0	9.25	0.356	3.19	0.80	0.08
 Ike Hilliard 	TAM 	6	6.0	55.0	4.58	0.764	3.19	0.53	0.08
 Shawn Bryson 	DET 	6	6.0	55.0	4.58	0.764	3.19	0.53	0.08
 Edgerrin James ARI 	7	173.0	520.5	43.38	0.251	3.07	0.44	0.08
 Cedric Benson 	CHI 	5	47.0	168.0	14.00	0.298	3.05	0.61	0.08
 V. Jackson 	SDG 	6	2.5	43.5	3.63	1.450	3.04	0.51	0.08
 Maurice Morris SEA 	6	76.5	249.0	20.75	0.271	2.93	0.49	0.07
 Koren Robinson GNB 	4	3.5	44.5	3.71	1.060	2.89	0.72	0.07
 Zack Crockett 	OAK 	6	10.5	64.0	5.33	0.508	2.89	0.48	0.07
 Robert Royal 	BUF 	7	4.5	47.0	3.92	0.870	2.87	0.41	0.07
 David Tyree 	NYG 	6	2.5	41.0	3.42	1.367	2.83	0.47	0.07
 J. Griffith 	ATL 	6	8.0	55.5	4.63	0.578	2.76	0.46	0.07
 David Martin 	GNB 	6	5.5	48.5	4.04	0.735	2.76	0.46	0.07
 Shaun McDonald STL 	6	3.0	41.0	3.42	1.139	2.72	0.45	0.07
 Tab Perry 	CIN 	2	4.5	44.5	3.71	0.824	2.66	1.33	0.07
 Billy McMullen MIN 	6	3.0	39.0	3.25	1.083	2.55	0.43	0.06
 B. Stokley 	IND 	2	3.0	38.5	3.21	1.069	2.51	1.25	0.06
 Cedric Houston NYJ 	2	14.0	69.0	5.75	0.411	2.49	1.24	0.06
 Bryan Fletcher IND 	6	4.0	41.0	3.42	0.854	2.48	0.41	0.06
 Dante Hall 	KAN 	5	7.0	48.5	4.04	0.577	2.41	0.48	0.06
 Kevin Walter 	HOU 	6	4.0	40.0	3.33	0.833	2.40	0.40	0.06
 Aaron Brooks 	OAK 	2	12.0	61.0	5.08	0.424	2.29	1.14	0.06
 Marcus Pollard DET 	7	4.0	38.5	3.21	0.802	2.28	0.33	0.06
 Donald Lee 	GNB 	5	1.0	28.5	2.38	2.375	2.14	0.43	0.05
 Roddy White 	ATL 	6	5.0	39.5	3.29	0.658	2.13	0.35	0.05
 David Kircus 	DEN 	6	2.0	31.0	2.58	1.292	2.12	0.35	0.05
 R. Williams 	OAK 	6	2.0	31.0	2.58	1.292	2.12	0.35	0.05
 S. Alexander 	SEA 	3	65.0	207.0	17.25	0.265	2.11	0.70	0.05
 Jeb Putzier 	HOU 	5	2.0	30.0	2.50	1.250	2.03	0.41	0.05
 D. Williams 	BAL 	6	2.0	29.5	2.46	1.229	1.99	0.33	0.05
 Steve Heiden 	CLE 	6	5.0	37.5	3.13	0.625	1.96	0.33	0.05
 Ernie Conwell 	NOR 	6	4.0	33.5	2.79	0.698	1.86	0.31	0.05
 Joshua Cribbs 	CLE 	6	4.0	33.5	2.79	0.698	1.86	0.31	0.05
 Nick Goings 	CAR 	5	5.5	36.5	3.04	0.553	1.76	0.35	0.04
 Tony Stewart 	CIN 	6	3.0	29.5	2.46	0.819	1.76	0.29	0.04
 Keary Colbert 	CAR 	7	2.5	28.0	2.33	0.933	1.75	0.25	0.04
 S. Alexander 	DEN 	6	2.5	28.0	2.33	0.933	1.75	0.29	0.04
 Brad Smith 	NYJ 	7	9.0	46.0	3.83	0.426	1.74	0.25	0.04
 Anthony Fasano DAL 	6	2.5	27.5	2.29	0.917	1.71	0.28	0.04
 James Thrash 	WAS 	7	2.0	25.5	2.13	1.063	1.66	0.24	0.04
 T. Richardson 	MIN 	6	6.5	38.0	3.17	0.487	1.65	0.28	0.04
 Kyle Johnson 	DEN 	5	5.5	35.0	2.92	0.530	1.64	0.33	0.04
 Sage Rosenfels HOU 	1	5.5	35.0	2.92	0.530	1.64	1.64	0.04
 Leonard Pope 	ARI 	7	2.0	25.0	2.08	1.042	1.62	0.23	0.04
 Chad Morton 	NYG 	6	1.0	22.0	1.83	1.833	1.60	0.27	0.04
 Mike Sellers 	WAS 	7	7.5	40.0	3.33	0.444	1.59	0.23	0.04
 Anthony Becht 	TAM 	6	4.5	31.5	2.63	0.583	1.58	0.26	0.04
 Itula Mili 	SEA 	5	4.0	30.0	2.50	0.625	1.57	0.31	0.04
 Mark Campbell 	NOR 	6	1.5	23.0	1.92	1.278	1.57	0.26	0.04
 R. Williams 	TEN 	6	1.5	23.0	1.92	1.278	1.57	0.26	0.04
 Anthony Thomas BUF 	7	11.0	49.0	4.08	0.371	1.52	0.22	0.04
 M. Jennings 	NYG 	4	1.0	21.0	1.75	1.750	1.52	0.38	0.04
 Jameel Cook 	HOU 	6	5.0	32.0	2.67	0.533	1.50	0.25	0.04
 Kris Mangum 	CAR 	7	6.0	34.5	2.88	0.479	1.48	0.21	0.04
 Adam Bergen 	ARI 	7	2.5	24.5	2.04	0.817	1.46	0.21	0.04
 C. Whitehurst 	SDG 	2	2.0	23.0	1.92	0.958	1.45	0.73	0.04
 David Thomas 	NWE 	6	1.0	20.0	1.67	1.667	1.43	0.24	0.04
 Marcedes Lewis JAC 	5	1.0	20.0	1.67	1.667	1.43	0.29	0.04
 M. Robinson 	SFO 	6	24.0	84.0	7.00	0.292	1.41	0.23	0.04
 Vernon Davis 	SFO 	3	2.5	23.5	1.96	0.783	1.38	0.46	0.03
 Ryan Moats 	PHI 	7	11.0	47.0	3.92	0.356	1.35	0.19	0.03
 J.J. Arrington ARI 	7	7.0	35.0	2.92	0.417	1.29	0.18	0.03
 Sam Hurd 	DAL 	5	0.5	16.5	1.38	2.750	1.26	0.25	0.03
 O. Ayanbadejo 	ARI 	7	4.5	27.5	2.29	0.509	1.24	0.18	0.03
 Ron Dayne 	HOU 	4	59.5	181.0	15.08	0.254	1.22	0.30	0.03
 Aaron Stecker 	NOR 	5	7.0	34.0	2.83	0.405	1.20	0.24	0.03
 Kris Wilson 	KAN 	6	2.5	21.0	1.75	0.700	1.17	0.19	0.03
 B. Manumaleuna SDG 	6	4.5	26.5	2.21	0.491	1.16	0.19	0.03
 Corey Bradford DET 	3	1.5	18.0	1.50	1.000	1.15	0.38	0.03
 B. Marshall 	DEN 	5	1.0	16.0	1.33	1.333	1.10	0.22	0.03
 Brad Hoover 	CAR 	7	6.5	31.0	2.58	0.397	1.07	0.15	0.03
 Stephen Davis 	STL 	5	12.0	46.0	3.83	0.319	1.04	0.21	0.03
 Sammy Morris 	MIA 	3	9.0	37.5	3.13	0.347	1.03	0.34	0.03
 Ronnie Cruz 	KAN 	5	6.0	29.0	2.42	0.403	1.02	0.20	0.03
 T. Copper 	NOR 	6	1.0	15.0	1.25	1.250	1.02	0.17	0.03
 Ryan Longwell 	MIN 	6	0.5	13.0	1.08	2.167	0.97	0.16	0.02
 Thomas Tapeh 	PHI 	7	8.5	34.5	2.88	0.338	0.89	0.13	0.02
 V. Morency 	GB-HOU	6	47.0	142.0	11.83	0.252	0.88	0.15	0.02
 Tim Dwight 	NYJ 	5	5.0	24.5	2.04	0.408	0.88	0.18	0.02
 T.J. Duckett 	WAS 	2	5.0	24.0	2.00	0.400	0.84	0.42	0.02
 Sean Ryan 	NYJ 	7	2.0	15.5	1.29	0.646	0.83	0.12	0.02
 Lee Suggs 	MIA 	5	6.0	26.0	2.17	0.361	0.77	0.15	0.02
 Devale Ellis 	DET 	3	1.0	12.0	1.00	1.000	0.77	0.26	0.02
 Jake Plummer 	DEN 	6	100.5	290.0	24.17	0.240	0.75	0.13	0.02
 Justin Peelle 	MIA 	6	2.0	14.5	1.21	0.604	0.74	0.12	0.02
 Samkon Gado 	HOU-GB	6	30.5	94.0	7.83	0.257	0.73	0.12	0.02
 ReShard Lee 	OAK 	6	3.0	17.0	1.42	0.472	0.72	0.12	0.02
 Lorenzo Neal 	SDG 	6	17.5	57.5	4.79	0.274	0.71	0.12	0.02
 Chris Brown 	TEN 	4	37.0	112.0	9.33	0.252	0.71	0.18	0.02
 J. Kleinsasser MIN 	6	3.0	16.5	1.38	0.458	0.68	0.11	0.02
 Jason McKie 	CHI 	6	10.0	36.0	3.00	0.300	0.67	0.11	0.02
 Mike Alstott 	TAM 	6	14.5	48.5	4.04	0.279	0.66	0.11	0.02
 J. Harrison 	CLE 	5	14.0	46.5	3.88	0.277	0.61	0.12	0.02
 Jeff Webb 	KAN 	5	1.5	11.5	0.96	0.639	0.61	0.12	0.02
 Alvin Pearman 	JAC 	3	1.0	10.0	0.83	0.833	0.60	0.20	0.02
 Jon Ryan 	GNB 	6	0.5	8.0	0.67	1.333	0.55	0.09	0.01
 Ran Carthon 	IND 	3	3.0	14.0	1.17	0.389	0.47	0.16	0.01
 David Akers 	PHI 	7	0.5	5.5	0.46	0.917	0.34	0.05	0.01
 Artose Pinner 	MIN 	5	4.0	15.0	1.25	0.313	0.32	0.06	0.01
 Tyson Thompson DAL 	6	13.0	40.0	3.33	0.256	0.30	0.05	0.01
 Vince Young 	TEN 	5	70.5	200.0	16.67	0.236	0.24	0.05	0.01
 Aaron Rodgers 	GNB 	1	1.5	7.0	0.58	0.389	0.23	0.23	0.01
 M. Bennett 	KAN 	2	6.0	19.0	1.58	0.264	0.19	0.09	0.00
 A.J. Schable 	ARI 	7	1.0	5.0	0.42	0.417	0.18	0.03	0.00
 Cecil Sapp 	DEN 	5	3.0	10.0	0.83	0.278	0.13	0.03	0.00
 Bethel Johnson MIN 	1	1.0	4.0	0.33	0.333	0.10	0.10	0.00
 Eddie Drummond DET 	7	1.0	4.0	0.33	0.333	0.10	0.01	0.00
 Jarrad Page 	KAN 	6	1.0	4.0	0.33	0.333	0.10	0.02	0.00
 R. Cartwright 	WAS 	7	5.0	15.0	1.25	0.250	0.08	0.01	0.00
 Derrick Ross 	KAN 	1	3.0	8.0	0.67	0.222	-0.03	-0.03	0.00
 Marquis Weeks 	SEA 	3	3.0	8.0	0.67	0.222	-0.03	-0.01	0.00
 Brian Calhoun 	DET 	6	7.0	19.0	1.58	0.226	-0.05	-0.01	0.00
 Edell Shepherd HOU 	5	2.0	5.0	0.42	0.208	-0.05	-0.01	0.00
 M. Hedgecock 	STL 	6	1.0	2.0	0.17	0.167	-0.07	-0.01	0.00
 B.J. Askew 	NYJ 	7	4.0	10.0	0.83	0.208	-0.10	-0.01	0.00
 Mike Scifres 	SDG 	6	0.5	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.12	-0.02	0.00
 Chris Perry 	CIN 	1	2.0	4.0	0.33	0.167	-0.13	-0.13	0.00
 A. Peterson 	CHI 	6	1.0	1.0	0.08	0.083	-0.15	-0.02	0.00
 Eric Shelton 	CAR 	4	1.0	1.0	0.08	0.083	-0.15	-0.04	0.00
 Mike Karney 	NOR 	5	1.0	1.0	0.08	0.083	-0.15	-0.03	0.00
 Kellen Clemens NYJ 	1	1.5	2.0	0.17	0.111	-0.18	-0.18	0.00
 Mat McBriar 	DAL 	6	1.0	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01
 Terrelle Smith CLE 	6	1.0	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01
 Quincy Wilson 	CIN 	3	2.0	2.0	0.17	0.083	-0.30	-0.10	-0.01
 Marcel Shipp 	ARI 	7	1.0	-1.0	-0.08	-0.083	-0.32	-0.05	-0.01
 Dee Brown 	KAN 	5	5.0	10.0	0.83	0.167	-0.33	-0.07	-0.01
 Brian Griese 	CHI 	3	6.5	14.0	1.17	0.179	-0.35	-0.12	-0.01
 Brian Moorman 	BUF 	7	1.5	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.35	-0.05	-0.01
 B. McFadden 	PIT 	6	1.0	-2.0	-0.17	-0.167	-0.40	-0.07	-0.01
 L. Vickers 	CLE 	6	2.0	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.47	-0.08	-0.01
 Jeff Garcia 	PHI 	1	2.5	1.0	0.08	0.033	-0.50	-0.50	-0.01
 Trent Green 	KAN 	1	11.5	26.0	2.17	0.188	-0.51	-0.51	-0.01
 Heath Evans 	NWE 	6	8.0	15.0	1.25	0.156	-0.61	-0.10	-0.02
 Matt Schaub 	ATL 	6	4.0	0.0	0.00	0.000	-0.93	-0.16	-0.02
 Jason Wright 	CLE 	5	18.0	39.0	3.25	0.181	-0.94	-0.19	-0.02
 Charlie Frye 	CLE 	6	120.5	325.0	27.08	0.225	-0.99	-0.17	-0.02
 L. Toefield 	JAC 	2	3.0	-5.0	-0.42	-0.139	-1.12	-0.56	-0.03
 Tony Romo 	DAL 	6	17.5	35.0	2.92	0.167	-1.16	-0.19	-0.03
 J. Harrington 	MIA 	3	75.0	193.0	16.08	0.214	-1.39	-0.46	-0.03
 D. Blaylock 	NYJ 	4	27.5	58.5	4.88	0.177	-1.53	-0.38	-0.04
 Steve McNair 	BAL 	6	96.5	240.5	20.04	0.208	-2.44	-0.41	-0.06
 M. Tuiasosopo 	OAK 	2	10.5	-12.0	-1.00	-0.095	-3.45	-1.72	-0.09
 Seneca Wallace SEA 	2	15.5	-9.0	-0.75	-0.048	-4.36	-2.18	-0.11
 Andrew Walter 	OAK 	6	78.0	163.0	13.58	0.174	-4.59	-0.77	-0.11
 Brodie Croyle 	KAN 	2	3.5	-68.5	-5.71	-1.631	-6.52	-3.26	-0.16
 Kerry Collins 	TEN 	3	45.0	39.5	3.29	0.073	-7.19	-2.40	-0.18
 Chris Simms 	TAM 	3	57.0	34.5	2.88	0.050	-10.41	-3.47	-0.26
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Team Rankings:

By popular demand, I'm also running team rankings. It turns out that you can predict net points with some regularity by the formula:

Predicted NP = (Net Yards / 12) + (4 * Net Turnovers)

From there, you can predict wins by the formula:

Predicted Wins = (Games / 2) + (PNP / 40)

Here are the results:

Team		G  	Off	Def	Give	Take	NetYds	NetTO	PNP	pW	pW%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
San Diego	6	2173	1447	5	11	726	6	84.5	5.1	0.852
Chicago		6	1950	1459	11	17	491	6	64.9	4.6	0.770
Philadelphia	7	2920	2244	13	13	676	0	56.3	4.9	0.701
Indianapolis	6	2238	1952	4	10	286	6	47.8	4.2	0.699
St. Louis	6	2071	2036	5	16	35	11	46.9	4.2	0.695
Atlanta		6	2129	1976	7	14	153	7	40.8	4.0	0.670
Baltimore	6	1630	1512	10	17	118	7	37.8	3.9	0.658
Minnesota	6	1958	1667	8	10	291	2	32.3	3.8	0.634
New York G	6	2337	1983	11	11	354	0	29.5	3.7	0.623
Dallas		6	2139	1724	14	12	415	-2	26.6	3.7	0.611
New England	6	1949	1796	6	9	153	3	24.8	3.6	0.603
New Orleans	6	2126	1855	8	8	271	0	22.6	3.6	0.594
Cincinnati	6	1889	1956	8	14	-67	6	18.4	3.5	0.577
Jacksonville	6	1805	1755	8	11	50	3	16.2	3.4	0.567
Pittsburgh	6	2055	1839	14	12	216	-2	10.0	3.3	0.542
Denver		6	1781	1632	11	10	149	-1	8.4	3.2	0.535
Miami		7	2264	1936	13	8	328	-5	7.3	3.7	0.526
Kansas City	6	1767	1823	11	11	-56	0	-4.7	2.9	0.481
Carolina	7	2139	2248	10	10	-109	0	-9.1	3.3	0.468
Arizona		7	1965	2367	16	20	-402	4	-17.5	3.1	0.438
Washington	7	2281	2451	6	5	-170	-1	-18.2	3.0	0.435
Seattle		6	1822	1906	12	9	-84	-3	-19.0	2.5	0.421
Detroit		7	2290	2450	15	11	-160	-4	-29.3	2.8	0.395
New York J	7	2155	2606	11	13	-451	2	-29.6	2.8	0.394
Green Bay	6	2052	2338	13	10	-286	-3	-35.8	2.1	0.351
San Francisco	6	1914	2172	12	8	-258	-4	-37.5	2.1	0.344
Tampa Bay	6	1604	2128	10	9	-524	-1	-47.7	1.8	0.301
Buffalo		7	1827	2200	14	7	-373	-7	-59.1	2.0	0.289
Tennessee	6	1712	2179	12	8	-467	-4	-54.9	1.6	0.271
Oakland		6	1540	1638	20	8	-98	-12	-56.2	1.6	0.266
Houston		6	1658	2314	9	5	-656	-4	-70.7	1.2	0.206
Cleveland	6	1471	2022	17	7	-551	-10	-85.9	0.9	0.142
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

See you next week...

See also:

  • 2006 NFL Capsules: Introduction ("NFL at the Movies")
  • Davis21wylie's Week 6 NFL Player -- And Team! -- Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 5 NFL Player Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 4 NFL Player Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 3 NFL Player Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 2 NFL Player Rankings
  • Davis21wylie's Week 1 NFL Player Rankings
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Anonymous Fanatic #1
1130 days ago
Score 2+-
its a close tie between Davis21wylie and DNL for best writers on this site
Permalink | Reply
DNLLegend
1130 days ago
Score 0+-
Nah, I'm lazy. In fact, if anyone wants to do the NFL BCS for this week, I'm so lazy I'll give you access to the spreadsheet so you can do it :)
Permalink | Reply
Davis21wylieMVP
1130 days ago
Score 1+-
Don't look at me, I hate working with numbers...
Permalink
False ProphetAll-Star
1130 days ago
Score 0+-
I'll take it, I really don't have a heck of a lot better to do, besides school
Permalink
Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
1130 days ago
Score 1+-
I still have the Arizona-Chicago game as most exhilarating...(and best covered on Armchair)
Permalink | Reply
M.SmithSoccer Kid
1130 days ago
Score 0+-
that was frickin great. glad i had some sports fans to share the insanity.
Permalink
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