Davis21wylie's Week 6 NFL Player -- And Team! -- Rankings
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by user Davis21wylie
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The scene: a church, somewhere in Alameda County. Two men walk down a dimly-lit hall, stopping at the third door on the left. As they enter, a sign can be seen on the door: "Friends of Ryan L."
I'm so sorry that I didn't want your rather bulbous head struggling to find its way through the normal-size neck hole of my finely-knit sweater!
Inside the room are a dozen or so people, seated in a circle. Several of them rise to greet the newcomers.
"Glad you could make it," a tall, dark-haired man wearing a Miami Dolphins jersey says, extending his hand. The first man returns the handshake, but the other refuses, staring out the window bitterly.
"You know, the hardest step is admitting that you have a problem," the dark-haired man says to the second newcomer. "When I was a rookie in Detroit, I was completely in denial. A 59.9 passer rating? How could that be? I had a Heisman Trophy billboard in Times Square! I blamed anyone I could: Coach Mornhinweg, Matt Millen... But I finally came to grips with my mediocrity. I accept my 5.7 career yards per attempt for what it is. And now I'm on the road to recovery."
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The man says nothing, tugging on his #9 jersey and staring at the ground. Behind the men, a voice calls out:
"Okay, everybody, let's take a seat and start the meeting."
Number 9 grudgingly joins the group.
"Think about what I said," the former Oregon star whispers on his way to a seat.
"Okay, we have several new people this week," the meeting leader begins. "Why don't you stand up and introduce yourselves?"
The first man stands up. "Hi. My name is Rex, and I have a problem. Sure, I'm still 14.18 Points Above Replacement, and I've got an 82.1 passer rating on the season... But last night, all of my crappiness came flooding back -- 4 interceptions? A 10.7 rating? I realized then and there that I haven't beaten my demons at all. I've just been riding the coattails of a historically-awesome defense... In fact, I was Week 6's Least Valuable Player, even though we won! "
"That was brave of you to admit," the leader says as he adjusts his Titans cap. He turns to the second newcomer. "And what about you?"
He reluctantly stands up. "My name's Steve. But I don't think I have a problem at all. Basically, I'm only here because Coach Billick thought it was a good idea. Kinda like when he thought handing Elvis Grbac the keys to a Super Bowl-winning team was a good idea. And don't even get me started on that Boller guy --"
"Hey! Dude, I'm actually in the room with you right now," another man stands up and protests. "And I had a 97.0 rating last week, after I came in when you had a 'concussion'..."
"I don't care," the man continued. "This is all Jim Fassel's fault. Yeah, that's it. Now that that clown's gone, I'll return to my MVP form!"
Everyone else in the room groans. "Steve, you're in denial," the leader says. "Here at Disappointments, Busts, and Draft Flops Anonymous, we feel that being honest with yourself is the most important part of recovery. That's why you have to admit that you are no longer a good player, assuming you ever were one." He points to a poster on the wall. "In fact, that's Step 2, right behind 'Denouncing anything Joe Theismann has ever said, or ever will say.'"
Another man stands up. "I'd like to say a few words of my own," he says. The leader nods. "I know I'm a young player, but I've already found a way to admit to myself that I suck. I mean, what's my PAR anyway, like negative bazillion? But the whole team sucks just as bad. In fact, that's why we're meeting here in Oakland. Hell, half of the people here play for the Raiders..." At this point, Tom Walsh stands up and waves "hi" to everyone.
"Where's Coach Shell, anyway?" the young man asks.
"Oh, he's out drinking away the pain," the leader says. "Here at DBDFA, we encourage drinking to forget about how bad you suck. After all, we follow the example of our founder..." He points to a picture on the wall of a man berating a reporter.
"So," the leader says, "what do you say, Steve? Will you go through the twelve steps? Will you come to grips with your mediocrity? I mean, we can't all be like Tiki Barber, Week 6's MVP..."
"Okay, I guess," Steve says. "I mean, if this franchise can win a title with Trent Dilfer at QB, it really won't matter how much I suck. Thanks, guys! With your help, I know I can beat my disappointing ways!"
At this point, they hold hands and begin to sing "Kumbaya". Yep, I have a feeling that those guys are going to be all right after all.
The Rankings (sorted by PAR):
Name Team G Plays TAY Net Pts Pts/Ply PAR PAR/G WARP ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Donovan McNabb PHI 6 121.0 1026.5 85.54 0.707 57.35 9.56 1.43 Marc Bulger STL 6 115.0 823.5 68.63 0.597 41.83 6.97 1.05 Peyton Manning IND 5 92.5 630.0 52.50 0.568 30.95 6.19 0.77 Michael Vick ATL 5 104.5 654.0 54.50 0.522 30.15 6.03 0.75 Tiki Barber NYG 5 113.0 628.0 52.33 0.463 26.00 5.20 0.65 Frank Gore SFO 6 124.0 651.0 54.25 0.438 25.36 4.23 0.63 Drew Brees NOR 6 117.5 627.5 52.29 0.445 24.91 4.15 0.62 B. Westbrook PHI 5 82.5 521.0 43.42 0.526 24.19 4.84 0.60 Mark Brunell WAS 6 93.5 549.5 45.79 0.490 24.01 4.00 0.60 Alex Smith SFO 6 106.5 581.5 48.46 0.455 23.64 3.94 0.59 Philip Rivers SDG 5 87.0 525.0 43.75 0.503 23.48 4.70 0.59 Jake Delhomme CAR 6 110.5 587.5 48.96 0.443 23.21 3.87 0.58 Damon Huard KAN 5 73.0 461.5 38.46 0.527 21.45 4.29 0.54 D. McAllister NOR 6 97.5 528.5 44.04 0.452 21.32 3.55 0.53 Warrick Dunn ATL 5 96.0 521.0 43.42 0.452 21.05 4.21 0.53 Santana Moss WAS 6 19.5 304.5 25.38 1.301 20.83 3.47 0.52 Torry Holt STL 6 18.5 298.0 24.83 1.342 20.52 3.42 0.51 Steven Jackson STL 6 145.5 653.0 54.42 0.374 20.52 3.42 0.51 C. Pennington NYJ 6 95.0 508.5 42.38 0.446 20.24 3.37 0.51 Jon Kitna DET 6 124.0 589.0 49.08 0.396 20.19 3.37 0.50 Clinton Portis WAS 5 91.5 498.0 41.50 0.454 20.18 4.04 0.50 Julius Jones DAL 5 109.0 544.5 45.38 0.416 19.98 4.00 0.50 Roy Williams DET 6 18.0 286.0 23.83 1.324 19.64 3.27 0.49 L. Coles NYJ 6 19.0 283.5 23.63 1.243 19.20 3.20 0.48 Reggie Brown PHI 6 12.5 259.0 21.58 1.727 18.67 3.11 0.47 Kevin Jones DET 6 110.5 532.5 44.38 0.402 18.63 3.10 0.47 Carson Palmer CIN 5 88.5 470.0 39.17 0.443 18.55 3.71 0.46 L. Tomlinson SDG 5 123.5 564.0 47.00 0.381 18.22 3.64 0.46 B. Berrian CHI 6 11.5 247.0 20.58 1.790 17.90 2.98 0.45 Javon Walker DEN 5 15.0 252.0 21.00 1.400 17.51 3.50 0.44 Tatum Bell DEN 5 105.0 502.0 41.83 0.398 17.37 3.47 0.43 Anquan Boldin ARI 6 21.0 267.0 22.25 1.060 17.36 2.89 0.43 Larry Johnson KAN 5 116.5 529.0 44.08 0.378 16.94 3.39 0.42 Andre Johnson HOU 5 19.5 252.5 21.04 1.079 16.50 3.30 0.41 Tom Brady NWE 5 95.0 462.5 38.54 0.406 16.41 3.28 0.41 Steve Smith CAR 4 16.5 242.0 20.17 1.222 16.32 4.08 0.41 Willie Parker PIT 5 111.5 507.5 42.29 0.379 16.31 3.26 0.41 Ronnie Brown MIA 6 117.0 521.5 43.46 0.371 16.20 2.70 0.40 M. Colston NOR 6 13.5 227.0 18.92 1.401 15.77 2.63 0.39 Travis Henry TEN 4 84.5 425.5 35.46 0.420 15.77 3.94 0.39 David Carr HOU 5 86.0 426.5 35.54 0.413 15.50 3.10 0.39 K. Johnson CAR 6 17.0 233.5 19.46 1.145 15.50 2.58 0.39 Eli Manning NYG 5 93.0 445.5 37.13 0.399 15.46 3.09 0.39 Antonio Bryant SFO 6 10.5 212.5 17.71 1.687 15.26 2.54 0.38 M. Harrison IND 5 16.0 226.0 18.83 1.177 15.11 3.02 0.38 J.P. Losman BUF 6 102.0 465.5 38.79 0.380 15.03 2.50 0.38 D. Jackson SEA 5 13.0 213.5 17.79 1.369 14.76 2.95 0.37 Brad Johnson MIN 5 94.0 439.0 36.58 0.389 14.68 2.94 0.37 Brett Favre GNB 5 104.5 467.5 38.96 0.373 14.61 2.92 0.37 Chris Chambers MIA 6 18.0 225.0 18.75 1.042 14.56 2.43 0.36 L. Maroney NWE 5 81.0 400.0 33.33 0.412 14.46 2.89 0.36 Rex Grossman CHI 6 103.5 459.5 38.29 0.370 14.18 2.36 0.35 Michael Turner SDG 5 42.0 287.0 23.92 0.569 14.13 2.83 0.35 D. Culpepper MIA 4 77.0 384.5 32.04 0.416 14.10 3.53 0.35 Greg Jennings GNB 5 10.0 197.0 16.42 1.642 14.09 2.82 0.35 Terry Glenn DAL 5 13.5 205.5 17.13 1.269 13.98 2.80 0.35 Willis McGahee BUF 6 136.0 548.0 45.67 0.336 13.98 2.33 0.35 Fred Taylor JAC 5 98.0 441.0 36.75 0.375 13.92 2.78 0.35 Reggie Wayne IND 5 10.5 196.0 16.33 1.556 13.89 2.78 0.35 Rudi Johnson CIN 5 108.0 468.0 39.00 0.361 13.84 2.77 0.35 Lee Evans BUF 6 18.0 214.5 17.88 0.993 13.68 2.28 0.34 Joe Horn NOR 6 13.0 200.5 16.71 1.285 13.68 2.28 0.34 Isaac Bruce STL 6 13.5 199.0 16.58 1.228 13.44 2.24 0.34 Chester Taylor MIN 5 119.5 490.0 40.83 0.342 12.99 2.60 0.32 Marion Barber DAL 5 40.5 267.5 22.29 0.550 12.86 2.57 0.32 Joey Galloway TAM 5 11.5 185.0 15.42 1.341 12.74 2.55 0.32 B. Edwards CLE 5 10.0 180.5 15.04 1.504 12.71 2.54 0.32 J. Cotchery NYJ 6 11.5 184.5 15.38 1.337 12.70 2.12 0.32 J. Norwood ATL 5 30.5 236.0 19.67 0.645 12.56 2.51 0.31 Donald Driver GNB 5 15.0 191.5 15.96 1.064 12.46 2.49 0.31 P. Burress NYG 5 11.0 180.0 15.00 1.364 12.44 2.49 0.31 M. Jones-Drew JAC 5 37.5 252.5 21.04 0.561 12.30 2.46 0.31 Ladell Betts WAS 6 58.0 309.0 25.75 0.444 12.24 2.04 0.31 Joseph Addai IND 5 65.5 327.5 27.29 0.417 12.03 2.41 0.30 L.J. Smith PHI 6 12.0 177.5 14.79 1.233 12.00 2.00 0.30 L. Fitzgerald ARI 5 12.5 178.0 14.83 1.187 11.92 2.38 0.30 DeShaun Foster CAR 6 121.5 478.0 39.83 0.328 11.52 1.92 0.29 R. Williams JAC 5 14.0 176.5 14.71 1.051 11.45 2.29 0.29 M. Hasselbeck SEA 5 87.5 380.0 31.67 0.362 11.28 2.26 0.28 M. Muhammad CHI 6 13.5 173.0 14.42 1.068 11.27 1.88 0.28 Mike Furrey DET 6 14.0 171.0 14.25 1.018 10.99 1.83 0.27 Amani Toomer NYG 5 13.0 168.0 14.00 1.077 10.97 2.19 0.27 Wes Welker MIA 6 16.5 177.5 14.79 0.896 10.95 1.82 0.27 Chad Johnson CIN 5 14.0 169.0 14.08 1.006 10.82 2.16 0.27 Desmond Clark CHI 6 10.0 157.5 13.13 1.313 10.80 1.80 0.27 Drew Bennett TEN 6 10.5 157.5 13.13 1.250 10.68 1.78 0.27 Terrell Owens DAL 5 11.0 158.5 13.21 1.201 10.65 2.13 0.27 Eric Parker SDG 5 10.0 155.0 12.92 1.292 10.59 2.12 0.26 Byron Leftwich JAC 5 102.5 413.0 34.42 0.336 10.53 2.11 0.26 Houshmandzadeh CIN 3 12.5 160.5 13.38 1.070 10.46 3.49 0.26 Thomas Jones CHI 6 123.5 470.5 39.21 0.317 10.43 1.74 0.26 Derrick Mason BAL 6 11.5 155.0 12.92 1.123 10.24 1.71 0.26 Corey Dillon NWE 5 69.0 312.0 26.00 0.377 9.92 1.98 0.25 Antonio Gates SDG 5 9.0 142.5 11.88 1.319 9.78 1.96 0.24 D. Stallworth PHI 3 6.0 134.0 11.17 1.861 9.77 3.26 0.24 Eric Moulds HOU 5 11.0 142.0 11.83 1.076 9.27 1.85 0.23 Eddie Kennison KAN 5 10.0 138.0 11.50 1.150 9.17 1.83 0.23 C. Williams TAM 5 87.5 354.5 29.54 0.338 9.15 1.83 0.23 Kellen Winslow CLE 5 15.0 151.5 12.63 0.842 9.13 1.83 0.23 Bryant Johnson ARI 6 7.0 129.0 10.75 1.536 9.12 1.52 0.23 Justin Fargas OAK 5 20.0 164.0 13.67 0.683 9.01 1.80 0.23 Bryan Gilmore SFO 6 6.0 122.5 10.21 1.701 8.81 1.47 0.22 Travis Taylor MIN 5 10.0 131.5 10.96 1.096 8.63 1.73 0.22 Ahman Green GNB 3 66.5 289.0 24.08 0.362 8.59 2.86 0.21 T. Williamson MIN 5 9.0 128.0 10.67 1.185 8.57 1.71 0.21 L. Washington NYJ 6 53.0 251.0 20.92 0.395 8.57 1.43 0.21 Reggie Bush NOR 6 84.0 337.5 28.13 0.335 8.55 1.43 0.21 Brandon Jacobs NYG 5 34.0 197.0 16.42 0.483 8.49 1.70 0.21 R. McMichael MIA 6 12.0 134.5 11.21 0.934 8.41 1.40 0.21 Todd Heap BAL 6 13.5 137.5 11.46 0.849 8.31 1.39 0.21 Dominic Rhodes IND 5 84.0 334.0 27.83 0.331 8.26 1.65 0.21 LaMont Jordan OAK 5 87.5 343.5 28.63 0.327 8.24 1.65 0.21 Arnaz Battle SFO 6 10.0 126.5 10.54 1.054 8.21 1.37 0.21 Randy Moss OAK 5 8.5 121.0 10.08 1.186 8.10 1.62 0.20 Marty Booker MIA 5 7.5 117.0 9.75 1.300 8.00 1.60 0.20 Deion Branch SEA 3 7.5 115.0 9.58 1.278 7.84 2.61 0.20 Roscoe Parrish BUF 6 6.0 110.5 9.21 1.535 7.81 1.30 0.20 Kurt Warner ARI 4 69.5 288.0 24.00 0.345 7.81 1.95 0.20 Mark Clayton BAL 6 15.5 136.5 11.38 0.734 7.76 1.29 0.19 M. Clayton TAM 5 9.0 118.0 9.83 1.093 7.74 1.55 0.19 Greg Lewis PHI 6 6.0 109.0 9.08 1.514 7.69 1.28 0.19 B. Gradkowski TAM 4 50.5 232.5 19.38 0.384 7.61 1.90 0.19 Drew Carter CAR 6 9.5 117.5 9.79 1.031 7.58 1.26 0.19 N. Washington PIT 5 7.0 110.5 9.21 1.315 7.58 1.52 0.19 Jeremy Shockey NYG 5 9.0 116.0 9.67 1.074 7.57 1.51 0.19 Jamal Lewis BAL 6 97.0 362.0 30.17 0.311 7.57 1.26 0.19 Hines Ward PIT 5 9.0 113.5 9.46 1.051 7.36 1.47 0.18 D. Williams CAR 5 29.5 169.5 14.13 0.479 7.25 1.45 0.18 Ben Watson NWE 5 8.0 105.5 8.79 1.099 6.93 1.39 0.17 Chris Henry CIN 3 5.5 98.5 8.21 1.492 6.93 2.31 0.17 Heath Miller PIT 5 5.0 97.0 8.08 1.617 6.92 1.38 0.17 Hank Baskett PHI 6 3.5 91.0 7.58 2.167 6.77 1.13 0.17 Matt Leinart ARI 3 45.0 206.5 17.21 0.382 6.72 2.24 0.17 Bobby Engram SEA 4 10.0 108.0 9.00 0.900 6.67 1.67 0.17 Noah Herron GNB 5 28.5 159.5 13.29 0.466 6.65 1.33 0.17 Alge Crumpler ATL 5 8.0 102.0 8.50 1.063 6.64 1.33 0.17 Drew Bledsoe DAL 5 85.5 318.5 26.54 0.310 6.62 1.32 0.17 Charlie Batch PIT 2 22.0 140.5 11.71 0.532 6.58 3.29 0.16 Rashied Davis CHI 6 5.0 89.5 7.46 1.492 6.29 1.05 0.16 C. Buckhalter PHI 6 38.5 183.0 15.25 0.396 6.28 1.05 0.16 Josh Reed BUF 6 9.0 100.5 8.38 0.931 6.28 1.05 0.16 Ernest Wilford JAC 5 7.0 93.5 7.79 1.113 6.16 1.23 0.15 Troy Brown NWE 5 7.5 94.0 7.83 1.044 6.09 1.22 0.15 M. Jenkins ATL 5 6.5 91.0 7.58 1.167 6.07 1.21 0.15 K. McCardell SDG 5 9.0 97.0 8.08 0.898 5.99 1.20 0.15 Bo Scaife TEN 6 5.5 87.0 7.25 1.318 5.97 0.99 0.15 Ronald Curry OAK 5 5.5 86.5 7.21 1.311 5.93 1.19 0.15 Cedrick Wilson PIT 5 5.5 86.0 7.17 1.303 5.89 1.18 0.15 Bobby Wade TEN 6 6.0 87.0 7.25 1.208 5.85 0.98 0.15 Mack Strong SEA 5 20.5 127.5 10.63 0.518 5.85 1.17 0.15 Chris Cooley WAS 6 8.5 93.0 7.75 0.912 5.77 0.96 0.14 Tony Gonzalez KAN 5 10.5 98.5 8.21 0.782 5.76 1.15 0.14 Samie Parker KAN 5 9.5 94.5 7.88 0.829 5.66 1.13 0.14 D. Henderson NOR 3 5.0 81.0 6.75 1.350 5.59 1.86 0.14 Ashley Lelie ATL 5 4.0 75.0 6.25 1.563 5.32 1.06 0.13 N. Davenport PIT 2 14.5 104.0 8.67 0.598 5.29 2.64 0.13 S. Holmes PIT 5 5.5 78.5 6.54 1.189 5.26 1.05 0.13 Kenny Watson CIN 5 10.5 91.5 7.63 0.726 5.18 1.04 0.13 Mike Bell DEN 5 30.5 147.0 12.25 0.402 5.14 1.03 0.13 R. Droughns CLE 4 72.0 262.5 21.88 0.304 5.10 1.27 0.13 Matt Schobel PHI 6 3.0 69.5 5.79 1.931 5.09 0.85 0.13 Jason Witten DAL 5 8.0 82.5 6.88 0.859 5.01 1.00 0.13 M. Robinson MIN 4 4.5 71.5 5.96 1.324 4.91 1.23 0.12 Eric Johnson SFO 6 8.5 82.5 6.88 0.809 4.89 0.82 0.12 Peerless Price BUF 6 11.0 88.5 7.38 0.670 4.81 0.80 0.12 Doug Gabriel NWE 4 6.0 74.5 6.21 1.035 4.81 1.20 0.12 Dallas Clark IND 5 5.5 72.0 6.00 1.091 4.72 0.94 0.12 M. Pittman TAM 5 12.0 90.0 7.50 0.625 4.70 0.94 0.12 Dan Campbell DET 6 3.5 65.0 5.42 1.548 4.60 0.77 0.12 Mewelde Moore MIN 5 14.5 95.0 7.92 0.546 4.54 0.91 0.11 Tim Carter NYG 5 4.5 67.0 5.58 1.241 4.53 0.91 0.11 Klopfenstein STL 6 3.5 64.0 5.33 1.524 4.52 0.75 0.11 A. Randle El WAS 6 15.5 97.5 8.13 0.524 4.51 0.75 0.11 Brandon Lloyd WAS 6 3.5 63.5 5.29 1.512 4.48 0.75 0.11 Musa Smith BAL 6 24.5 121.5 10.13 0.413 4.42 0.74 0.11 Kevin Curtis STL 6 6.5 70.0 5.83 0.897 4.32 0.72 0.11 G. Wrighster JAC 5 8.5 75.5 6.29 0.740 4.31 0.86 0.11 Daniel Wilcox BAL 6 6.0 68.5 5.71 0.951 4.31 0.72 0.11 Matt Jones JAC 4 7.5 72.5 6.04 0.806 4.29 1.07 0.11 Mike Anderson BAL 6 20.0 107.0 8.92 0.446 4.26 0.71 0.11 Rod Smith DEN 5 8.0 73.0 6.08 0.760 4.22 0.84 0.11 Kevin Faulk NWE 5 12.5 85.0 7.08 0.567 4.17 0.83 0.10 K. Washington CIN 5 4.5 62.5 5.21 1.157 4.16 0.83 0.10 D. Northcutt CLE 5 7.5 70.0 5.83 0.778 4.09 0.82 0.10 Alex Smith TAM 5 7.0 68.0 5.67 0.810 4.04 0.81 0.10 Tony Fisher STL 6 9.5 74.5 6.21 0.654 3.99 0.67 0.10 J. Wiggins MIN 5 8.5 71.5 5.96 0.701 3.98 0.80 0.10 Ben Troupe TEN 6 3.5 57.5 4.79 1.369 3.98 0.66 0.10 C. Anderson OAK 5 4.0 58.5 4.88 1.219 3.94 0.79 0.10 Nate Burleson SEA 5 3.5 57.0 4.75 1.357 3.93 0.79 0.10 Az-Zahir Hakim DET 5 9.0 71.5 5.96 0.662 3.86 0.77 0.10 Daniel Graham NWE 4 4.0 57.5 4.79 1.198 3.86 0.96 0.10 Brandon Jones TEN 6 5.0 60.0 5.00 1.000 3.84 0.64 0.10 Verron Haynes PIT 5 21.5 106.0 8.83 0.411 3.82 0.76 0.10 Maurice Hicks SFO 6 6.0 62.0 5.17 0.861 3.77 0.63 0.09 Reche Caldwell NWE 5 5.0 59.0 4.92 0.983 3.75 0.75 0.09 Kyle Boller BAL 2 25.5 113.0 9.42 0.369 3.48 1.74 0.09 Chris Baker NYJ 6 6.5 59.5 4.96 0.763 3.44 0.57 0.09 David Givens TEN 4 5.0 55.0 4.58 0.917 3.42 0.85 0.09 Kevan Barlow NYJ 6 67.0 227.0 18.92 0.282 3.31 0.55 0.08 P. Crayton DAL 5 4.5 51.5 4.29 0.954 3.24 0.65 0.08 Edgerrin James ARI 6 159.5 484.5 40.38 0.253 3.21 0.54 0.08 LenDale White TEN 4 26.0 111.0 9.25 0.356 3.19 0.80 0.08 Shawn Bryson DET 6 6.0 55.0 4.58 0.764 3.19 0.53 0.08 Alvis Whitted OAK 5 5.0 52.0 4.33 0.867 3.17 0.63 0.08 Derek Hagan MIA 6 4.0 48.5 4.04 1.010 3.11 0.52 0.08 Bubba Franks GNB 5 5.5 52.5 4.38 0.795 3.09 0.62 0.08 Cedric Benson CHI 5 47.0 168.0 14.00 0.298 3.05 0.61 0.08 V. Jackson SDG 5 2.5 43.5 3.63 1.450 3.04 0.61 0.08 Ike Hilliard TAM 5 5.5 51.5 4.29 0.780 3.01 0.60 0.08 Jake Plummer DEN 5 77.0 250.5 20.88 0.271 2.93 0.59 0.07 J. McCareins NYJ 6 3.0 43.5 3.63 1.208 2.93 0.49 0.07 Koren Robinson GNB 4 3.5 44.5 3.71 1.060 2.89 0.72 0.07 D.J. Hackett SEA 3 2.0 40.0 3.33 1.667 2.87 0.96 0.07 David Tyree NYG 5 2.5 41.0 3.42 1.367 2.83 0.57 0.07 Malcom Floyd SDG 5 2.0 39.0 3.25 1.625 2.78 0.56 0.07 Shaun McDonald STL 6 3.0 41.0 3.42 1.139 2.72 0.45 0.07 Owen Daniels HOU 5 3.5 42.0 3.50 1.000 2.68 0.54 0.07 Chad Jackson NWE 3 3.0 40.5 3.38 1.125 2.68 0.89 0.07 Maurice Morris SEA 5 58.5 195.5 16.29 0.278 2.66 0.53 0.07 Tab Perry CIN 2 4.5 44.5 3.71 0.824 2.66 1.33 0.07 Troy Walters ARI 6 5.5 47.0 3.92 0.712 2.64 0.44 0.07 B. Stokley IND 2 3.0 38.5 3.21 1.069 2.51 1.25 0.06 Cedric Houston NYJ 2 14.0 69.0 5.75 0.411 2.49 1.24 0.06 Reggie Kelly CIN 5 2.0 35.0 2.92 1.458 2.45 0.49 0.06 M. Jennings NYG 3 2.5 35.0 2.92 1.167 2.33 0.78 0.06 J. Griffith ATL 5 7.0 47.5 3.96 0.565 2.33 0.47 0.06 Billy McMullen MIN 5 2.5 34.5 2.88 1.150 2.29 0.46 0.06 Aaron Brooks OAK 2 12.0 61.0 5.08 0.424 2.29 1.14 0.06 Dante Hall KAN 4 6.5 44.0 3.67 0.564 2.15 0.54 0.05 Donald Lee GNB 4 1.0 28.5 2.38 2.375 2.14 0.54 0.05 David Kircus DEN 5 2.0 31.0 2.58 1.292 2.12 0.42 0.05 R. Williams OAK 5 2.0 31.0 2.58 1.292 2.12 0.42 0.05 S. Alexander SEA 3 65.0 207.0 17.25 0.265 2.11 0.70 0.05 Jeb Putzier HOU 5 2.0 30.0 2.50 1.250 2.03 0.41 0.05 M. Pollard DET 6 3.5 34.0 2.83 0.810 2.02 0.34 0.05 D. Williams BAL 6 2.0 29.5 2.46 1.229 1.99 0.33 0.05 Roddy White ATL 5 4.0 34.5 2.88 0.719 1.94 0.39 0.05 Ben Utecht IND 4 3.0 31.5 2.63 0.875 1.93 0.48 0.05 Ernie Conwell NOR 6 4.0 33.5 2.79 0.698 1.86 0.31 0.05 Robert Royal BUF 6 2.5 29.0 2.42 0.967 1.83 0.31 0.05 Joe Jurevicius CLE 3 3.0 30.0 2.50 0.833 1.80 0.60 0.05 Steve Heiden CLE 5 4.0 32.5 2.71 0.677 1.78 0.36 0.04 Keary Colbert CAR 6 2.5 28.0 2.33 0.933 1.75 0.29 0.04 S. Alexander DEN 5 2.5 28.0 2.33 0.933 1.75 0.35 0.04 Bryan Fletcher IND 5 2.5 27.0 2.25 0.900 1.67 0.33 0.04 T. Richardson MIN 5 6.5 38.0 3.17 0.487 1.65 0.33 0.04 Anthony Becht TAM 5 4.0 31.0 2.58 0.646 1.65 0.33 0.04 Kyle Johnson DEN 5 5.5 35.0 2.92 0.530 1.64 0.33 0.04 Sage Rosenfels HOU 1 5.5 35.0 2.92 0.530 1.64 1.64 0.04 Leonard Pope ARI 6 2.0 25.0 2.08 1.042 1.62 0.27 0.04 Mike Sellers WAS 6 6.5 37.5 3.13 0.481 1.61 0.27 0.04 Chad Morton NYG 5 1.0 22.0 1.83 1.833 1.60 0.32 0.04 Anthony Thomas BUF 6 10.0 47.0 3.92 0.392 1.59 0.26 0.04 Mark Campbell NOR 6 1.5 23.0 1.92 1.278 1.57 0.26 0.04 R. Williams TEN 6 1.5 23.0 1.92 1.278 1.57 0.26 0.04 Itula Mili SEA 4 3.5 28.5 2.38 0.679 1.56 0.39 0.04 V. Morency GB-HOU 5 40.0 130.0 10.83 0.271 1.51 0.30 0.04 Kevin Walter HOU 5 3.0 26.0 2.17 0.722 1.47 0.29 0.04 Adam Bergen ARI 6 2.5 24.5 2.04 0.817 1.46 0.24 0.04 C. Whitehurst SDG 2 2.0 23.0 1.92 0.958 1.45 0.73 0.04 David Thomas NWE 5 1.0 20.0 1.67 1.667 1.43 0.29 0.04 Marcedes Lewis JAC 4 1.0 20.0 1.67 1.667 1.43 0.36 0.04 M. Robinson SFO 6 24.0 84.0 7.00 0.292 1.41 0.23 0.04 Vernon Davis SFO 3 2.5 23.5 1.96 0.783 1.38 0.46 0.03 Ryan Moats PHI 6 11.0 47.0 3.92 0.356 1.35 0.23 0.03 David Martin GNB 5 4.5 28.0 2.33 0.519 1.28 0.26 0.03 Anthony Fasano DAL 5 1.5 19.5 1.63 1.083 1.28 0.26 0.03 Sam Hurd DAL 4 0.5 16.5 1.38 2.750 1.26 0.31 0.03 Will Heller SEA 5 1.5 19.0 1.58 1.056 1.23 0.25 0.03 Ron Dayne HOU 4 59.5 181.0 15.08 0.254 1.22 0.30 0.03 Aaron Stecker NOR 5 7.0 34.0 2.83 0.405 1.20 0.24 0.03 Corey Bradford DET 3 1.5 18.0 1.50 1.000 1.15 0.38 0.03 R. Ferguson GNB 4 2.5 20.5 1.71 0.683 1.13 0.28 0.03 Brad Smith NYJ 6 6.0 30.0 2.50 0.417 1.10 0.18 0.03 O. Ayanbadejo ARI 6 3.0 21.0 1.75 0.583 1.05 0.18 0.03 Stephen Davis STL 5 12.0 46.0 3.83 0.319 1.04 0.21 0.03 Ronnie Cruz KAN 5 6.0 29.0 2.42 0.403 1.02 0.20 0.03 T. Copper NOR 6 1.0 15.0 1.25 1.250 1.02 0.17 0.03 Nick Goings CAR 4 3.0 20.5 1.71 0.569 1.01 0.25 0.03 Joshua Cribbs CLE 5 2.0 17.5 1.46 0.729 0.99 0.20 0.02 Ryan Longwell MIN 5 0.5 13.0 1.08 2.167 0.97 0.19 0.02 Kris Mangum CAR 6 4.5 24.0 2.00 0.444 0.95 0.16 0.02 Tony Romo DAL 5 4.0 22.5 1.88 0.469 0.94 0.19 0.02 Mike Alstott TAM 5 13.5 48.5 4.04 0.299 0.90 0.18 0.02 V. Shiancoe NYG 5 2.0 16.0 1.33 0.667 0.87 0.17 0.02 Jameel Cook HOU 5 3.5 20.0 1.67 0.476 0.85 0.17 0.02 T.J. Duckett WAS 1 5.0 24.0 2.00 0.400 0.84 0.84 0.02 Tim Dwight NYJ 4 4.5 22.5 1.88 0.417 0.83 0.21 0.02 Wali Lundy HOU 3 17.0 57.0 4.75 0.279 0.79 0.26 0.02 Lee Suggs MIA 5 6.0 26.0 2.17 0.361 0.77 0.15 0.02 Justin Peelle MIA 5 2.0 14.5 1.21 0.604 0.74 0.15 0.02 Chris Brown TEN 4 37.0 112.0 9.33 0.252 0.71 0.18 0.02 Jason McKie CHI 6 10.0 36.0 3.00 0.300 0.67 0.11 0.02 L. Vickers CLE 5 2.5 14.5 1.21 0.483 0.63 0.13 0.02 J. Harrison CLE 5 14.0 46.5 3.88 0.277 0.61 0.12 0.02 Jeff Webb KAN 4 1.5 11.5 0.96 0.639 0.61 0.15 0.02 Alvin Pearman JAC 3 1.0 10.0 0.83 0.833 0.60 0.20 0.02 Zack Crockett OAK 5 1.0 10.0 0.83 0.833 0.60 0.12 0.02 Darian Barnes MIA 6 1.5 11.0 0.92 0.611 0.57 0.09 0.01 Vince Young TEN 5 69.5 201.0 16.75 0.241 0.56 0.11 0.01 Jon Ryan GNB 5 0.5 8.0 0.67 1.333 0.55 0.11 0.01 Samkon Gado HOU-GB 5 19.0 59.5 4.96 0.261 0.53 0.11 0.01 John Madsen OAK 4 1.0 9.0 0.75 0.750 0.52 0.13 0.01 J.J. Arrington ARI 6 5.0 20.0 1.67 0.333 0.50 0.08 0.01 Rod Gardner KAN 3 1.0 8.5 0.71 0.708 0.48 0.16 0.01 Brad Hoover CAR 6 5.5 21.0 1.75 0.318 0.47 0.08 0.01 Ran Carthon IND 3 3.0 14.0 1.17 0.389 0.47 0.16 0.01 Kris Wilson KAN 5 1.5 9.5 0.79 0.528 0.44 0.09 0.01 David Akers PHI 6 0.5 5.5 0.46 0.917 0.34 0.06 0.01 Artose Pinner MIN 4 4.0 15.0 1.25 0.313 0.32 0.08 0.01 Tyson Thompson DAL 5 13.0 40.0 3.33 0.256 0.30 0.06 0.01 Edell Shepherd HOU 4 1.0 6.0 0.50 0.500 0.27 0.07 0.01 B. Manumaleuna SDG 5 2.5 10.0 0.83 0.333 0.25 0.05 0.01 Aaron Rodgers GNB 1 1.5 7.0 0.58 0.389 0.23 0.23 0.01 M. Bennett KAN 2 6.0 19.0 1.58 0.264 0.19 0.09 0.00 Cecil Sapp DEN 4 3.0 10.0 0.83 0.278 0.13 0.03 0.00 Lorenzo Neal SDG 5 16.5 47.5 3.96 0.240 0.11 0.02 0.00 Eddie Drummond DET 6 1.0 4.0 0.33 0.333 0.10 0.02 0.00 Jarrad Page KAN 5 1.0 4.0 0.33 0.333 0.10 0.02 0.00 R. Cartwright WAS 6 5.0 15.0 1.25 0.250 0.08 0.01 0.00 Seneca Wallace SEA 1 1.0 3.0 0.25 0.250 0.02 0.02 0.00 Derrick Ross KAN 1 3.0 8.0 0.67 0.222 -0.03 -0.03 0.00 Marquis Weeks SEA 2 3.0 8.0 0.67 0.222 -0.03 -0.02 0.00 M. Hedgecock STL 6 1.0 2.0 0.17 0.167 -0.07 -0.01 0.00 B.J. Askew NYJ 6 4.0 10.0 0.83 0.208 -0.10 -0.02 0.00 Mike Scifres SDG 5 0.5 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.12 -0.02 0.00 A. Peterson CHI 6 1.0 1.0 0.08 0.083 -0.15 -0.02 0.00 Eric Shelton CAR 3 1.0 1.0 0.08 0.083 -0.15 -0.05 0.00 Mike Karney NOR 5 1.0 1.0 0.08 0.083 -0.15 -0.03 0.00 Brian Calhoun DET 5 4.0 9.0 0.75 0.188 -0.18 -0.04 0.00 Kellen Clemens NYJ 1 1.5 2.0 0.17 0.111 -0.18 -0.18 0.00 Donnie Jones MIA 6 1.0 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.23 -0.04 -0.01 Mat McBriar DAL 5 1.0 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.23 -0.05 -0.01 ReShard Lee OAK 5 1.0 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.23 -0.05 -0.01 Terrelle Smith CLE 5 1.0 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.23 -0.05 -0.01 Thomas Tapeh PHI 6 4.0 8.0 0.67 0.167 -0.27 -0.04 -0.01 Charlie Frye CLE 5 103.0 284.5 23.71 0.230 -0.29 -0.06 -0.01 Quincy Wilson CIN 3 2.0 2.0 0.17 0.083 -0.30 -0.10 -0.01 Dee Brown KAN 4 5.0 10.0 0.83 0.167 -0.33 -0.08 -0.01 Brian Griese CHI 3 6.5 14.0 1.17 0.179 -0.35 -0.12 -0.01 Brian Moorman BUF 6 1.5 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.35 -0.06 -0.01 B. McFadden PIT 5 1.0 -2.0 -0.17 -0.167 -0.40 -0.08 -0.01 Jeff Garcia PHI 1 2.5 1.0 0.08 0.033 -0.50 -0.50 -0.01 Trent Green KAN 1 11.5 26.0 2.17 0.188 -0.51 -0.51 -0.01 Heath Evans NWE 5 8.0 15.0 1.25 0.156 -0.61 -0.12 -0.02 Matt Schaub ATL 5 4.0 0.0 0.00 0.000 -0.93 -0.19 -0.02 Jason Wright CLE 4 18.0 39.0 3.25 0.181 -0.94 -0.24 -0.02 Sammy Morris MIA 2 7.0 7.0 0.58 0.083 -1.05 -0.52 -0.03 L. Toefield JAC 1 3.0 -5.0 -0.42 -0.139 -1.12 -1.12 -0.03 D. Blaylock NYJ 4 27.5 58.5 4.88 0.177 -1.53 -0.38 -0.04 J. Harrington MIA 2 43.0 93.0 7.75 0.180 -2.27 -1.13 -0.06 Steve McNair BAL 6 96.5 240.5 20.04 0.208 -2.44 -0.41 -0.06 Roethlisberger PIT 4 63.5 132.5 11.04 0.174 -3.75 -0.94 -0.09 M. Tuiasosopo OAK 1 5.5 -40.0 -3.33 -0.606 -4.61 -4.61 -0.12 Brodie Croyle KAN 2 3.5 -68.5 -5.71 -1.631 -6.52 -3.26 -0.16 Kerry Collins TEN 3 45.0 39.5 3.29 0.073 -7.19 -2.40 -0.18 Andrew Walter OAK 5 62.0 66.5 5.54 0.089 -8.90 -1.78 -0.22 Chris Simms TAM 3 57.0 34.5 2.88 0.050 -10.41 -3.47 -0.26 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Team Rankings:
By popular demand, I'm also running team rankings. It turns out that you can predict net points with some regularity by the formula:
- Predicted NP = (Net Yards / 12) + (4 * Net Turnovers)
From there, you can predict wins by the formula:
- Predicted Wins = (Games / 2) + (PNP / 40)
Here are the results:
Team G Off Def Give Take NetYds NetTO PNP pW ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ San Diego 5 1824 1092 2 10 732 8 93.0 4.8 Chicago 6 1950 1459 11 17 491 6 64.9 4.6 St. Louis 6 2071 2036 5 16 35 11 46.9 4.2 Philadelphia 6 2414 2047 9 13 367 4 46.6 4.2 Baltimore 6 1630 1512 10 17 118 7 37.8 3.9 Atlanta 5 1730 1503 5 11 227 6 42.9 3.6 New Orleans 6 2125 1855 8 8 270 0 22.5 3.6 Indianapolis 5 1786 1627 4 10 159 6 37.3 3.4 Jacksonville 5 1585 1406 6 11 179 5 34.9 3.4 Dallas 5 1760 1396 10 10 364 0 30.3 3.3 Miami 6 1816 1590 10 7 226 -3 6.8 3.2 New York G 5 2009 1604 9 7 405 -2 25.8 3.1 Carolina 6 1862 1906 9 10 -44 1 0.3 3.0 Minnesota 5 1626 1377 8 7 249 -1 16.8 2.9 Washington 6 1956 1999 6 5 -43 -1 -7.6 2.8 New England 5 1684 1540 6 6 144 0 12.0 2.8 Cincinnati 5 1547 1679 8 13 -132 5 9.0 2.7 Pittsburgh 5 1582 1440 11 10 142 -1 7.8 2.7 Arizona 6 1741 1972 14 15 -231 1 -15.3 2.6 Seattle 5 1532 1574 9 9 -42 0 -3.5 2.4 Detroit 6 1901 2052 13 10 -151 -3 -24.6 2.4 Denver 5 1434 1467 9 7 -33 -2 -10.8 2.2 Kansas City 5 1412 1474 10 8 -62 -2 -13.2 2.2 New York J 6 1757 2220 10 11 -463 1 -34.6 2.1 San Francisco 6 1914 2172 12 8 -258 -4 -37.5 2.1 Buffalo 6 1571 1932 11 7 -361 -4 -46.1 1.8 Tennessee 6 1712 2179 12 8 -467 -4 -54.9 1.6 Green Bay 5 1706 1890 12 7 -184 -5 -35.3 1.6 Tampa Bay 5 1408 1622 10 5 -214 -5 -37.8 1.6 Oakland 5 1145 1414 15 6 -269 -9 -58.4 1.0 Cleveland 5 1306 1675 14 5 -369 -9 -66.8 0.8 Houston 5 1309 2094 9 3 -785 -6 -89.4 0.3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Until next week...
See also:
- 2006 NFL Capsules: Introduction ("NFL at the Movies")
- Davis21wylie's Week 5 NFL Player Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 4 NFL Player Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 3 NFL Player Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 2 NFL Player Rankings
- Davis21wylie's Week 1 NFL Player Rankings
