Davis21wylie's Week 13 NFL Team Rankings

Obligatory Plug: Don't forget to enter your picks in the Official ArmchairGM User Bowl Pick'em! The contest closes on Dec. 16...

Wow, a lot has happened since the last time I posted rankings... Tennessee knocked off Indy, Chicago clinched the North despite one of the worst single-game quarterbacking performances in recent memory, and Philly staged an inspirational comeback on Carolina, despite missing a certain special somebody. In non-football life news (yeah, like there is such a thing), I turned 21 today -- and, in celebration, The Chair learned that it was worth $2 million! If I can only survive finals, I'll definitely have time to be excited about the bright future of AGM -- this is a landmark day for all of us!

Anyway, the rankings... For those who didn't catch it the last time I did this: while I'm still predicting net points with the formula PNP = (Net Yards / 12) + (4 * Net Turnovers), and net wins by pNW = (Games / 2) + (PNP / 40), this method will only comprise 37.5% of my rankings. Since net yards don't take into account punt/kickoff/return yardage, teams with good special teams were being undervalued, so I'm also using the good old pythagorean projection:

pW% = (PF^2.37)/((PF^2.37)+(PA^2.37))

Predicted net wins and % are denoted by pW1 and pW%1, and pythagorean wins and % are denoted by pW2 and pW%2. A new feature over the past couple weeks has been the addition of a strength of schedule component. What I used to call "rating" (the average of pW%1 and pW%2) is now referred to as the "raw" rating, while "SOS" is the cumulative winning % of the team's opponents. "New Rating" is now 75% the old "raw" rating, and 25% SOS. (Apologies are in order, by the way -- last week, I used some incorrect SOS data, but this week I got it straight from the horse's mouth.) So, here goes:

Team Rankings (sorted by New Rating):

Team			G  	Off	Def	Give	Take	NetYds	NetTO	PNP	pW1	pW%1	PF	PA	pW2	pW%2	Raw	SOS	NewRtg
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Chicago Bears 		12	3711	3218	29	39	493	10	81.1	8.0	0.669	318	150	10.3	0.856	0.762	0.444	0.683
San Diego Chargers 	12	4341	3498	11	22	843	11	114.3	8.9	0.738	377	237	9.0	0.750	0.744	0.438	0.668
Baltimore Ravens 	12	3637	3209	15	29	428	14	91.7	8.3	0.691	256	160	9.0	0.753	0.722	0.486	0.663
Dallas Cowboys 		12	4507	3465	19	26	1042	7	114.8	8.9	0.739	332	218	8.8	0.730	0.735	0.444	0.662
New England Patriots 	12	4177	3516	24	27	661	3	67.1	7.7	0.640	281	165	9.4	0.779	0.710	0.514	0.661
Indianapolis Colts 	12	4619	3883	15	23	736	8	93.3	8.3	0.694	325	251	7.8	0.648	0.671	0.507	0.630
Jacksonville Jaguars 	12	3844	3347	16	20	497	4	57.4	7.4	0.620	259	174	8.6	0.720	0.670	0.479	0.622
New Orleans Saints 	12	4802	3761	20	14	1041	-6	62.8	7.6	0.631	310	251	7.5	0.623	0.627	0.444	0.581
Cincinnati Bengals 	12	4107	4295	15	24	-188	9	20.3	6.5	0.542	290	240	7.3	0.610	0.576	0.556	0.571
Philadelphia Eagles 	12	4639	3897	19	19	742	0	61.8	7.5	0.629	294	263	6.8	0.566	0.597	0.486	0.569
New York Giants 	12	4052	3882	21	21	170	0	14.2	6.4	0.530	265	255	6.3	0.523	0.526	0.549	0.532
Kansas City Chiefs 	12	3939	3829	17	21	110	4	25.2	6.6	0.552	257	236	6.6	0.550	0.551	0.472	0.532
Denver Broncos 		12	3649	3806	22	22	-157	0	-13.1	5.7	0.473	215	188	6.9	0.579	0.526	0.542	0.530
Pittsburgh Steelers 	12	4158	3617	31	22	541	-9	9.1	6.2	0.519	259	257	6.1	0.505	0.512	0.521	0.514
Minnesota Vikings 	12	3913	3397	26	25	516	-1	39.0	7.0	0.581	211	231	5.4	0.447	0.514	0.493	0.509
Miami Dolphins 		12	3826	3427	22	20	399	-2	25.3	6.6	0.553	207	222	5.5	0.459	0.506	0.486	0.501
Atlanta Falcons 	12	4099	4114	13	21	-15	8	30.8	6.8	0.564	227	250	5.3	0.443	0.504	0.451	0.490
Carolina Panthers 	12	3713	3650	22	18	63	-4	-10.8	5.7	0.478	213	217	5.9	0.489	0.483	0.472	0.480
St. Louis Rams 		12	4088	4101	16	24	-13	8	30.9	6.8	0.564	242	287	4.8	0.400	0.482	0.472	0.480
New York Jets 		12	3635	4219	19	20	-584	1	-44.7	4.9	0.407	241	238	6.1	0.507	0.457	0.514	0.471
Seattle Seahawks 	12	3671	3923	26	23	-252	-3	-33.0	5.2	0.431	260	263	5.9	0.493	0.462	0.424	0.453
Washington Redskins 	12	3745	4221	12	9	-476	-3	-51.7	4.7	0.392	213	274	4.3	0.355	0.374	0.514	0.409
Buffalo Bills 		12	3046	4063	21	18	-1017	-3	-96.8	3.6	0.298	212	249	4.9	0.406	0.352	0.569	0.406
Tennessee Titans 	12	3556	4497	21	22	-941	1	-74.4	4.1	0.345	221	294	4.0	0.337	0.341	0.597	0.405
Green Bay Packers 	12	4043	4232	25	20	-189	-5	-35.8	5.1	0.426	219	324	3.4	0.283	0.354	0.507	0.393
Arizona Cardinals 	12	3544	4271	25	25	-727	0	-60.6	4.5	0.374	221	284	4.3	0.356	0.365	0.465	0.390
Detroit Lions 		12	3838	4180	28	20	-342	-8	-60.5	4.5	0.374	216	294	3.9	0.325	0.350	0.500	0.387
Houston Texans 		12	3494	4127	20	16	-633	-4	-68.8	4.3	0.357	199	270	3.9	0.327	0.342	0.500	0.381
Cleveland Browns 	12	3210	4082	31	20	-872	-11	-116.7	3.1	0.257	201	266	4.1	0.340	0.298	0.563	0.365
San Francisco 49ers 	12	3547	4090	26	21	-543	-5	-65.3	4.4	0.364	209	319	3.2	0.269	0.316	0.493	0.360
Oakland Raiders 	12	2940	3309	31	18	-369	-13	-82.8	3.9	0.328	146	242	2.8	0.232	0.280	0.549	0.347
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 	12	3050	4014	24	13	-964	-11	-124.3	2.9	0.241	145	272	2.2	0.184	0.212	0.549	0.297
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Until next time, thanks for reading, and have a great week, everybody.