Davis21wylie's Week 12 NFL Team Rankings

Hi, everybody, I hope you all had a great Thanksgiving last week. Sadly, I won't have time to do my player rankings until sometime in mid-December because of the unholy trinity of papers, finals, and group presentations, but at least I can post up my team numbers until then.

For those who didn't catch it the last time I did this: while I'm still predicting net points with the formula PNP = (Net Yards / 12) + (4 * Net Turnovers), and net wins by pNW = (Games / 2) + (PNP / 40), this method will only comprise 37.5% of my rankings. Since net yards don't take into account punt/kickoff/return yardage, teams with good special teams were being undervalued, so I'm also using the good old pythagorean projection:

pW% = (PF^2.37)/((PF^2.37)+(PA^2.37))

Predicted net wins and % are denoted by pW1 and pW%1, and pythagorean wins and % are denoted by pW2 and pW%2. A new feature this week is the addition of a strength of schedule component. What I used to call "rating" (the average of pW%1 and pW%2) is now referred to as the "raw" rating, while "SOS" is the cumulative winning % of the team's opponents. "New Rating" is now 75% the old "raw" rating, and 25% SOS.

Team Rankings (sorted by New Rating):

Team			G  	Off	Def	Give	Take	NetYds	NetTO	PNP	pW1	pW%1	PF	PA	pW2	pW%2	Raw	SOS	NewRtg
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chicago Bears 		11	3604	2872	24	34	732	10	101.0	8.0	0.730	295	137	9.5	0.860	0.795	0.445	0.707
Dallas Cowboys 		11	4142	3069	17	25	1073	8	121.4	8.5	0.776	309	198	8.2	0.742	0.759	0.504	0.695
Baltimore Ravens 	11	3321	2915	14	29	406	15	93.8	7.8	0.713	249	147	8.5	0.777	0.745	0.523	0.690
San Diego Chargers 	11	4006	3268	9	18	738	9	97.5	7.9	0.722	353	216	8.4	0.762	0.742	0.488	0.678
New England Patriots 	11	3816	3155	21	22	661	1	59.1	7.0	0.634	253	144	8.7	0.792	0.713	0.473	0.653
Indianapolis Colts 	11	4168	3501	13	21	667	8	87.6	7.7	0.699	308	231	7.3	0.664	0.682	0.484	0.632
Jacksonville Jaguars 	11	3491	3038	15	18	453	3	49.8	6.7	0.613	235	164	7.7	0.701	0.657	0.484	0.614
New Orleans Saints 	11	4427	3559	20	11	868	-9	36.3	6.4	0.583	276	241	6.4	0.580	0.581	0.566	0.577
Philadelphia Eagles 	11	4237	3520	19	17	717	-2	51.8	6.8	0.618	267	239	6.2	0.565	0.591	0.520	0.574
Cincinnati Bengals 	11	3813	3979	15	23	-166	8	18.2	6.0	0.541	277	233	6.6	0.601	0.571	0.543	0.564
Kansas City Chiefs 	11	3522	3391	15	19	131	4	26.9	6.2	0.561	229	205	6.2	0.565	0.563	0.527	0.554
Denver Broncos 		11	3347	3536	17	21	-189	4	0.3	5.5	0.501	195	165	6.6	0.598	0.549	0.516	0.541
New York Giants 	11	3656	3517	20	19	139	-1	7.6	5.7	0.517	245	232	5.9	0.532	0.525	0.543	0.529
Miami Dolphins 		11	3517	3074	20	19	443	-1	32.9	6.3	0.575	197	198	5.5	0.497	0.536	0.469	0.519
St. Louis Rams 		11	3694	3785	13	24	-91	11	36.4	6.4	0.583	222	253	4.7	0.423	0.503	0.508	0.504
Carolina Panthers 	11	3336	3248	20	18	88	-2	-0.7	5.5	0.498	189	190	5.5	0.497	0.498	0.504	0.499
Minnesota Vikings 	11	3565	3290	21	20	275	-1	18.9	6.0	0.543	198	208	5.2	0.471	0.507	0.457	0.494
Pittsburgh Steelers 	11	3891	3363	30	18	528	-12	-4.0	5.4	0.491	239	254	5.1	0.464	0.477	0.531	0.491
Atlanta Falcons 	11	3730	3733	13	19	-3	6	23.8	6.1	0.554	203	236	4.5	0.412	0.483	0.508	0.489
Seattle Seahawks 	11	3401	3621	25	18	-220	-7	-46.3	4.3	0.395	237	243	5.3	0.485	0.440	0.457	0.444
New York Jets 		11	3194	3868	17	17	-674	0	-56.2	4.1	0.372	203	228	4.7	0.432	0.402	0.465	0.418
Washington Redskins 	11	3364	3852	10	9	-488	-1	-44.7	4.4	0.398	199	250	4.0	0.368	0.383	0.516	0.416
Green Bay Packers 	11	3692	3791	22	18	-99	-4	-24.3	4.9	0.445	209	286	3.5	0.322	0.384	0.449	0.400
Buffalo Bills 		11	2816	3728	17	16	-912	-1	-80.0	3.5	0.318	191	225	4.4	0.404	0.361	0.477	0.390
San Francisco 49ers 	11	3345	3715	23	21	-370	-2	-38.8	4.5	0.412	199	285	3.3	0.299	0.355	0.477	0.386
Detroit Lions 		11	3477	3817	23	17	-340	-6	-52.3	4.2	0.381	195	266	3.6	0.324	0.352	0.473	0.383
Tennessee Titans 	11	3174	4046	19	20	-872	1	-68.7	3.8	0.344	201	277	3.5	0.319	0.331	0.527	0.380
Houston Texans 		11	3370	3825	18	11	-455	-7	-65.9	3.9	0.350	176	256	3.2	0.292	0.321	0.523	0.371
Arizona Cardinals 	11	3228	3877	25	22	-649	-3	-66.1	3.8	0.350	187	264	3.4	0.306	0.328	0.500	0.371
Cleveland Browns 	11	2772	3665	29	18	-893	-11	-118.4	2.5	0.231	170	238	3.4	0.311	0.271	0.512	0.331
Oakland Raiders 	11	2638	3185	26	16	-547	-10	-85.6	3.4	0.305	132	219	2.5	0.232	0.268	0.516	0.330
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 	11	2796	3747	20	12	-951	-8	-111.3	2.7	0.247	142	252	2.2	0.204	0.226	0.550	0.307
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

As always, thanks for reading!

Davis21wylie's Week 12 NFL Team Rankings

Team Rankings (sorted by New Rating):

See also:

Contribute

Recent contributors to this page

Embed this on your site