Davis21wylie's Week 10 NFL Team Rankings

Once again, school is limiting the amount of time I can devote to AGM (and, believe me, they'll pay for this!), but since False Prophet uses my numbers for the NFL BCS rankings, I'm pleased to at least be able to present my NFL team rankings. To that end, I'll just post the results and let the numbers speak for themselves.

For those who didn't catch it the past couple of weeks: while I'm still predicting net points with the formula PNP = (Net Yards / 12) + (4 * Net Turnovers), and net wins by pNW = (Games / 2) + (PNP / 40), this method will only comprise half of my rankings. Since net yards don't take into account punt/kickoff/return yardage, teams with good special teams were being undervalued, so I'm also using the good old pythagorean projection:

pW% = (PF^2.37)/((PF^2.37)+(PA^2.37))

Predicted net wins and % are denoted by pW1 and pW%1, and pythagorean wins and % are denoted by pW2 and pW%2. "Rating" is simply the average of the two expected winning percentages.

Team Rankings (sorted by Rating):

Team			G  	Off	Def	Give	Take	NetYds	NetTO	PNP	pW1	pW%1	PF	PA	pW2	pW%2	Rating
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Chicago Bears 		9	2996	2254	20	27	742	7	89.8	6.7	0.750	272	120	7.9	0.874	0.812
San Diego Chargers 	9	3403	2697	6	15	706	9	94.8	6.9	0.763	297	175	7.0	0.778	0.771
Dallas Cowboys 		9	3365	2523	15	19	842	4	86.2	6.7	0.739	250	174	6.3	0.702	0.721
Baltimore Ravens 	9	2718	2557	13	26	161	13	65.4	6.1	0.682	198	137	6.3	0.705	0.694
Philadelphia Eagles 	9	3512	2807	13	15	705	2	66.8	6.2	0.685	233	163	6.3	0.700	0.693
Indianapolis Colts 	9	3413	2859	8	16	554	8	78.2	6.5	0.717	249	189	5.9	0.658	0.687
New England Patriots 	9	3105	2711	15	17	394	2	40.8	5.5	0.613	201	131	6.6	0.734	0.674
Jacksonville Jaguars 	9	2754	2550	13	14	204	1	21.0	5.0	0.558	185	127	6.4	0.709	0.634
Denver Broncos 		9	2777	2812	15	18	-35	3	9.1	4.7	0.525	158	111	6.3	0.698	0.612
New York Giants 	9	3122	2760	15	16	362	1	34.2	5.4	0.595	214	182	5.4	0.595	0.595
New Orleans Saints 	9	3409	2841	16	10	568	-6	23.3	5.1	0.565	229	197	5.3	0.588	0.577
Atlanta Falcons 	9	3211	2978	13	18	233	5	39.4	5.5	0.609	180	181	4.5	0.497	0.553
St. Louis Rams 		9	3234	3055	10	18	179	8	46.9	5.7	0.630	202	221	4.0	0.447	0.539
Kansas City Chiefs 	9	2848	2821	14	17	27	3	14.3	4.9	0.540	193	182	4.8	0.535	0.537
Pittsburgh Steelers 	9	3381	2790	24	16	591	-8	17.3	4.9	0.548	215	207	4.7	0.522	0.535
Miami Dolphins 		9	2868	2493	16	14	375	-2	23.3	5.1	0.565	146	168	3.8	0.418	0.491
Cincinnati Bengals 	9	3040	3180	13	14	-140	1	-7.7	4.3	0.479	216	217	4.5	0.497	0.488
Minnesota Vikings 	9	2792	2624	17	13	168	-4	-2.0	4.5	0.494	147	158	4.1	0.457	0.476
Green Bay Packers 	9	3256	3052	17	13	204	-4	1.0	4.5	0.503	185	217	3.7	0.407	0.455
Carolina Panthers 	9	2661	2884	15	15	-223	0	-18.6	4.0	0.448	161	173	4.1	0.458	0.453
Seattle Seahawks 	9	2716	2889	16	13	-173	-3	-26.4	3.8	0.427	189	199	4.2	0.469	0.448
Detroit Lions 		9	2976	3084	20	15	-108	-5	-29.0	3.8	0.419	175	222	3.3	0.363	0.391
New York Jets 		9	2626	3250	15	16	-624	1	-48.0	3.3	0.367	177	207	3.7	0.408	0.387
Washington Redskins 	9	2859	3194	8	5	-335	-3	-39.9	3.5	0.389	165	217	3.1	0.343	0.366
Buffalo Bills 		9	2172	3011	15	13	-839	-2	-77.9	2.6	0.284	140	180	3.2	0.355	0.319
Cleveland Browns 	9	2267	2939	22	14	-672	-8	-88.0	2.3	0.256	150	184	3.4	0.381	0.318
Houston Texans 		9	2642	3118	15	10	-476	-5	-59.7	3.0	0.334	144	206	2.7	0.300	0.317
San Francisco 49ers 	9	2610	3063	19	15	-453	-4	-53.8	3.2	0.351	162	251	2.4	0.262	0.306
Arizona Cardinals 	9	2478	3184	20	20	-706	0	-58.8	3.0	0.337	144	223	2.4	0.262	0.299
Tennessee Titans 	9	2538	3369	16	15	-831	-1	-73.3	2.7	0.297	146	243	2.1	0.230	0.263
Oakland Raiders 	9	2067	2633	23	15	-566	-8	-79.2	2.5	0.280	105	181	1.9	0.216	0.248
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 	9	2226	3060	16	11	-834	-5	-89.5	2.3	0.251	112	197	1.9	0.208	0.230
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Thanks for reading, and hopefully I'll find time to do the player rankings in the next few weeks (finals are looming, though).

Next week, I'll incorporate a strength of schedule element into the picture, which should give them credit for their quality wins. For now, though, they should really stop squeaking past teams by, like, 1 point -- the best teams are the ones that consistently blow out their competition, plain and simple. But they will probably look better after factoring in SOS.

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Davis21wylie's Week 10 NFL Team Rankings

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