Career-Path Projections: Boston Red Sox
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by user Davis21wylie
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Just as I did with this year's free-agent hitters in this article, I ran the Boston Red Sox roster through the Brock2 blender. The results are not all that surprising, although for some players I listed an optimistic and pessimistic projection for their career, just to show the extremes of what one might expect from them. Note that some of the players listed are either free agents or are on other teams, but I included them if they were significant players last year, just to get a sense for whether or not their departures were well-timed. You'll also notice that pitchers are only projected for next season (2007) -- that's because pitchers are wildly unpredictable, and even getting a reliable single-season projection was difficult enough. Special thanks are in order for Chris Costancio and First Inning, whose MLE's I used to do the projections for Pedroia and Murphy. I'll take requests on which team you want spotlighted next, but for now, scroll those browser windows over and enjoy the Red Sox projections... BattersManny Ramirez - Left Field 6' 0", 200 lbs. Bats Right, Throws Right Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 35 144 504 148 27 1 36 87 0.308 60.5 0.293 0.397 0.565 113 7.92 0.962 2008 36 141 484 140 26 1 32 90 0.305 55.3 0.290 0.402 0.545 106 7.71 0.947 2009 37 145 494 135 25 1 29 85 0.288 41.9 0.274 0.381 0.503 95 6.60 0.884 2010 38 145 489 148 27 1 30 84 0.307 57.0 0.303 0.405 0.541 107 7.86 0.946 2011 39 147 489 124 22 1 23 81 0.267 24.5 0.254 0.360 0.444 78 5.36 0.804 2012 40 78 236 67 12 0 12 38 0.288 19.3 0.285 0.385 0.486 44 6.55 0.871 2013 41 100 291 77 14 0 12 46 0.270 15.5 0.266 0.365 0.441 47 5.49 0.806 Career 2718 9561 2906 590 20 644 1565 0.313 1217.2 0.304 0.402 0.572 2197 8.25 0.974 J.D. Drew - Right Field 6' 1", 195 lbs. Bats Left, Throws Right Mean Projection Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 31 124 415 118 25 3 18 74 0.293 37.1 0.286 0.393 0.490 80 6.74 0.883 2008 32 141 468 130 29 4 17 80 0.285 35.5 0.279 0.384 0.469 84 6.24 0.853 2009 33 138 453 121 26 3 15 80 0.275 27.5 0.268 0.378 0.440 75 5.68 0.818 2010 34 143 464 125 27 3 14 73 0.272 25.7 0.270 0.369 0.435 75 5.50 0.804 2011 35 144 461 121 26 3 13 74 0.264 20.1 0.262 0.364 0.413 69 5.09 0.777 2012 36 146 462 119 25 3 12 71 0.258 15.9 0.257 0.356 0.398 65 4.77 0.754 2013 37 77 223 54 11 1 5 34 0.244 3.2 0.241 0.340 0.364 28 4.08 0.704 2014 38 30 68 18 4 0 1 10 0.260 2.5 0.266 0.360 0.396 10 4.85 0.756 2015 39 7 13 3 1 0 0 2 0.227 -0.1 0.225 0.319 0.327 1 3.37 0.646 2016 40 2 4 1 0 0 0 0 0.240 0.0 0.250 0.330 0.356 0 3.92 0.686 Career 1913 6192 1716 335 55 256 1026 0.284 466.8 0.277 0.380 0.473 1113 6.21 0.853 Pessimistic Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 31 70 250 70 13 3 15 50 0.303 27.6 0.280 0.400 0.536 54 7.44 0.936 2008 32 123 418 117 26 4 17 74 0.289 35.1 0.279 0.387 0.486 79 6.52 0.873 2009 33 114 389 104 21 4 16 73 0.281 27.5 0.266 0.382 0.463 69 6.02 0.845 2010 34 129 432 116 24 4 16 69 0.275 26.3 0.268 0.369 0.451 72 5.69 0.820 2011 35 131 435 113 23 3 15 72 0.267 20.9 0.259 0.364 0.427 67 5.23 0.791 2012 36 137 448 115 23 3 14 70 0.261 17.7 0.256 0.356 0.412 66 4.93 0.768 2013 37 139 452 108 21 3 12 70 0.246 7.9 0.238 0.340 0.375 58 4.18 0.715 2014 38 55 148 39 8 1 4 22 0.262 5.9 0.264 0.360 0.406 22 4.97 0.766 2015 39 26 60 13 3 0 1 9 0.228 -0.4 0.221 0.319 0.333 6 3.41 0.652 2016 40 5 9 2 0 0 0 1 0.243 0.1 0.247 0.335 0.364 1 4.05 0.699 Career 1891 6201 1700 322 59 271 1037 0.284 466.9 0.274 0.378 0.476 1116 6.20 0.854 David Ortiz - Designated Hitter 6' 4", 230 lbs. Bats Left, Throws Left Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 31 155 567 163 33 1 46 104 0.313 67.1 0.287 0.398 0.595 134 8.30 0.993 2008 32 153 555 157 30 1 47 106 0.312 64.9 0.282 0.397 0.594 131 8.21 0.991 2009 33 153 547 150 29 1 42 103 0.303 54.0 0.275 0.390 0.562 120 7.55 0.952 2010 34 152 539 147 28 1 40 95 0.299 48.9 0.273 0.382 0.554 114 7.27 0.936 2011 35 152 531 141 27 1 37 93 0.291 40.7 0.266 0.376 0.528 105 6.75 0.904 2012 36 151 524 137 26 1 34 89 0.285 34.5 0.262 0.368 0.511 99 6.37 0.879 2013 37 151 518 127 24 1 30 86 0.269 20.3 0.245 0.353 0.465 85 5.44 0.818 2014 38 81 251 68 13 0 15 41 0.285 16.4 0.270 0.372 0.501 47 6.37 0.873 2015 39 102 306 69 13 0 14 48 0.249 2.4 0.227 0.332 0.409 41 4.39 0.741 2016 40 24 55 14 3 0 3 8 0.264 1.8 0.254 0.351 0.442 9 5.21 0.793 2017 41 17 36 8 2 0 1 5 0.248 0.2 0.236 0.332 0.400 5 4.35 0.732 2018 42 3 4 1 0 0 0 0 0.241 0.0 0.237 0.320 0.386 0 4.05 0.706 Career 2335 8098 2220 488 19 540 1317 0.294 666.8 0.274 0.376 0.539 1641 6.98 0.915 Mike Lowell - Third Base 6' 4", 205 lbs. Bats Right, Throws Right Mean Projection Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 33 91 264 67 19 0 6 25 0.246 4.6 0.254 0.319 0.398 34 4.26 0.717 2008 34 49 138 36 10 0 4 20 0.260 5.3 0.261 0.354 0.415 20 4.98 0.769 2009 35 77 201 49 13 0 4 22 0.239 1.7 0.246 0.320 0.373 24 3.96 0.693 2010 36 17 34 9 2 0 1 4 0.248 0.7 0.257 0.336 0.385 4 4.36 0.721 2011 37 13 23 5 1 0 0 3 0.222 -0.3 0.227 0.302 0.331 2 3.23 0.633 2012 38 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 0.238 0.0 0.255 0.326 0.357 0 3.90 0.683 Career 1390 4805 1299 334 5 178 475 0.265 215.0 0.270 0.336 0.453 731 5.21 0.789 Optimistic Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 33 150 570 160 45 1 20 50 0.270 30.1 0.281 0.339 0.468 90 5.51 0.807 2008 34 121 412 107 30 1 12 37 0.253 11.4 0.261 0.322 0.424 56 4.62 0.746 2009 35 72 237 60 16 0 6 21 0.246 4.3 0.254 0.315 0.407 30 4.29 0.722 2010 36 39 107 28 8 0 3 10 0.251 2.6 0.262 0.323 0.410 14 4.49 0.733 2011 37 15 34 8 2 0 1 3 0.235 0.1 0.243 0.307 0.371 4 3.75 0.678 2012 38 4 6 2 0 0 0 1 0.246 0.1 0.262 0.326 0.388 1 4.28 0.714 Career 1542 5508 1497 390 6 205 523 0.265 251.5 0.272 0.335 0.456 842 5.25 0.791 Julio Lugo - Shortstop 5' 10", 165 lbs. Bats Right, Throws Right Mean Projection Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 31 145 532 145 27 3 8 51 0.250 11.9 0.272 0.336 0.379 68 4.37 0.715 2008 32 140 500 135 25 2 9 47 0.250 11.0 0.270 0.333 0.383 64 4.36 0.716 2009 33 145 517 138 26 3 7 54 0.246 8.9 0.267 0.336 0.367 64 4.20 0.703 2010 34 76 245 64 12 1 3 29 0.244 3.5 0.261 0.338 0.358 30 4.09 0.696 2011 35 44 126 32 6 1 1 13 0.237 0.6 0.255 0.327 0.342 14 3.76 0.669 2012 36 8 16 4 1 0 0 2 0.235 0.0 0.252 0.326 0.336 2 3.67 0.662 Career 1478 5321 1454 268 35 96 504 0.253 141.5 0.273 0.336 0.391 699 4.52 0.727 Optimistic Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 31 160 600 180 35 5 5 60 0.266 26.7 0.300 0.364 0.400 87 5.19 0.764 2008 32 145 525 142 27 3 7 50 0.248 10.1 0.270 0.334 0.373 65 4.27 0.707 2009 33 152 550 152 29 3 5 59 0.250 12.4 0.276 0.346 0.368 70 4.39 0.714 2010 34 149 531 144 27 3 5 49 0.245 8.2 0.272 0.333 0.362 64 4.14 0.695 2011 35 80 261 70 13 1 2 26 0.242 3.0 0.268 0.334 0.351 30 4.00 0.685 2012 36 46 130 34 6 1 1 12 0.234 0.2 0.258 0.322 0.336 14 3.65 0.658 2013 37 8 17 4 1 0 0 2 0.226 -0.2 0.246 0.314 0.317 2 3.31 0.631 Career 1661 5999 1662 309 41 93 567 0.254 165.8 0.277 0.339 0.389 792 4.56 0.728 Jason Varitek - Catcher 6' 2", 210 lbs. Bats Both, Throws Right Mean Projection Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 35 63 201 54 12 1 7 25 0.266 10.9 0.268 0.350 0.444 31 5.30 0.794 2008 36 84 260 67 14 1 8 32 0.256 10.2 0.259 0.340 0.417 37 4.78 0.757 2009 37 79 224 53 11 1 6 27 0.238 3.0 0.237 0.319 0.372 27 3.88 0.691 2010 38 33 80 20 4 0 2 9 0.248 2.2 0.255 0.334 0.391 10 4.38 0.725 2011 39 15 30 7 1 0 1 3 0.223 -0.2 0.223 0.303 0.334 3 3.26 0.637 2012 40 3 5 1 0 0 0 1 0.237 0.1 0.247 0.321 0.360 1 3.84 0.681 Career 1345 4344 1155 274 13 155 503 0.263 216.7 0.266 0.342 0.442 657 5.15 0.784 Optimistic Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 35 135 470 130 28 1 20 60 0.275 32.0 0.277 0.358 0.468 79 5.80 0.826 2008 36 103 328 85 18 1 11 41 0.258 13.7 0.259 0.341 0.423 47 4.86 0.764 2009 37 104 313 76 16 1 10 39 0.244 6.7 0.241 0.325 0.388 40 4.15 0.713 2010 38 55 155 41 8 0 5 19 0.256 6.0 0.263 0.342 0.410 22 4.76 0.752 2011 39 32 77 18 4 0 2 9 0.231 0.3 0.231 0.312 0.353 8 3.58 0.665 2012 40 6 10 3 1 0 0 1 0.241 0.2 0.250 0.327 0.373 1 4.06 0.700 Career 1503 4897 1304 306 13 178 574 0.264 249.2 0.266 0.343 0.443 745 5.19 0.786 Trot Nixon - Right Field 6' 1", 195 lbs. Bats Left, Throws Left Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 33 129 422 117 28 0 10 63 0.267 20.6 0.277 0.371 0.418 65 5.37 0.789 2008 34 131 426 113 26 0 8 55 0.253 11.5 0.265 0.350 0.386 58 4.60 0.736 2009 35 69 204 53 12 0 4 28 0.248 4.1 0.258 0.346 0.373 26 4.36 0.719 2010 36 40 104 26 6 0 2 13 0.243 1.3 0.255 0.339 0.362 13 4.12 0.701 2011 37 7 14 3 1 0 0 2 0.232 0.0 0.242 0.326 0.338 2 3.64 0.664 Career 1359 4454 1224 278 29 157 615 0.273 261.0 0.275 0.363 0.456 737 5.70 0.819 Eric Hinske - Utility 6' 2", 225 lbs. Bats Left, Throws Right In Right Field Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 29 141 414 100 24 2 16 44 0.249 9.3 0.242 0.315 0.425 55 4.42 0.740 2008 30 62 180 45 10 1 7 20 0.253 5.0 0.249 0.325 0.426 25 4.61 0.751 2009 31 89 229 57 13 1 8 25 0.250 5.2 0.248 0.321 0.416 31 4.44 0.737 2010 32 30 67 16 4 0 2 7 0.241 0.7 0.240 0.314 0.390 8 4.03 0.704 2011 33 24 49 11 2 0 1 6 0.236 0.2 0.230 0.319 0.367 6 3.81 0.686 2012 34 4 5 1 0 0 0 0 0.230 0.0 0.236 0.298 0.363 1 3.54 0.661 Career 1036 3282 837 207 16 113 374 0.257 108.9 0.255 0.331 0.431 469 4.80 0.762 At First Base Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 29 107 313 76 18 1 12 33 0.249 4.8 0.242 0.315 0.425 42 4.42 0.740 2008 30 54 155 39 9 1 6 18 0.253 3.3 0.249 0.326 0.426 21 4.62 0.752 2009 31 27 61 15 3 0 2 6 0.250 1.0 0.250 0.322 0.417 8 4.48 0.739 2010 32 11 21 5 1 0 1 2 0.242 0.1 0.241 0.315 0.392 3 4.07 0.707 2011 33 2 4 1 0 0 0 1 0.239 0.0 0.230 0.335 0.361 0 3.93 0.696 Career 886 2893 743 185 14 100 331 0.258 82.0 0.257 0.333 0.434 418 4.86 0.767 Coco Crisp - Center Field 6' 0", 185 lbs. Bats Both, Throws Right Mean Projection Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 27 63 249 78 17 1 7 21 0.285 18.7 0.312 0.366 0.482 44 6.41 0.848 2008 28 80 311 87 18 1 8 21 0.257 10.3 0.280 0.326 0.427 43 4.83 0.753 2009 29 103 394 105 22 2 12 31 0.253 10.6 0.267 0.321 0.419 53 4.60 0.740 2010 30 112 440 120 24 2 11 34 0.252 11.4 0.272 0.325 0.410 59 4.57 0.735 2011 31 123 466 127 26 2 11 38 0.253 12.3 0.273 0.327 0.408 62 4.59 0.735 2012 32 130 492 127 26 2 10 40 0.241 5.1 0.259 0.315 0.379 59 4.03 0.694 2013 33 67 231 59 12 1 4 21 0.239 1.7 0.255 0.318 0.368 27 3.92 0.686 2014 34 39 119 30 6 0 2 16 0.245 1.9 0.256 0.345 0.364 15 4.22 0.709 2015 35 14 35 9 2 0 1 4 0.233 0.0 0.249 0.321 0.346 4 3.69 0.667 2016 36 4 7 2 0 0 0 1 0.230 0.0 0.243 0.323 0.333 1 3.55 0.656 Career 1256 4782 1320 264 27 110 374 0.254 135.9 0.276 0.328 0.411 646 4.66 0.739 Optimistic Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 27 140 500 150 35 3 14 43 0.277 31.3 0.300 0.355 0.466 83 5.92 0.821 2008 28 100 366 102 22 2 10 27 0.259 13.2 0.280 0.329 0.432 52 4.94 0.761 2009 29 135 482 130 29 2 14 40 0.255 14.9 0.269 0.325 0.426 67 4.74 0.751 2010 30 130 476 130 28 2 12 38 0.255 14.3 0.274 0.328 0.417 65 4.72 0.745 2011 31 140 494 135 29 2 12 41 0.255 14.7 0.274 0.330 0.414 68 4.71 0.744 2012 32 141 500 130 28 2 10 42 0.243 6.9 0.261 0.318 0.386 61 4.14 0.704 2013 33 75 240 61 13 1 5 23 0.241 2.5 0.256 0.320 0.374 29 4.03 0.694 2014 34 43 122 31 7 0 2 17 0.248 2.4 0.257 0.348 0.370 16 4.34 0.718 2015 35 16 36 9 2 0 1 4 0.236 0.1 0.250 0.323 0.352 4 3.79 0.675 2016 36 4 7 2 0 0 0 1 0.232 0.0 0.244 0.325 0.339 1 3.64 0.664 Career 1443 5263 1458 305 30 123 420 0.256 164.4 0.277 0.331 0.417 725 4.76 0.748 Mark Loretta - Second Base 6' 0", 175 lbs. Bats Right, Throws Right Mean Projection Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 35 52 171 51 8 0 1 16 0.254 4.8 0.297 0.356 0.369 22 4.68 0.725 2008 36 71 229 66 12 0 2 19 0.246 3.9 0.287 0.341 0.358 28 4.28 0.699 2009 37 25 66 17 3 0 0 6 0.227 -0.5 0.258 0.319 0.318 7 3.42 0.637 2010 38 13 29 8 1 0 0 3 0.248 0.5 0.289 0.347 0.356 4 4.34 0.703 2011 39 2 4 1 0 0 0 0 0.223 -0.1 0.252 0.317 0.307 0 3.25 0.624 2012 40 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.237 0.0 0.274 0.338 0.331 0 3.85 0.669 Career 1549 5411 1610 287 20 71 505 0.262 209.2 0.297 0.357 0.398 769 5.06 0.755 Optimistic Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 35 150 620 175 28 1 4 50 0.242 7.3 0.282 0.336 0.350 73 4.09 0.686 2008 36 41 124 36 6 0 1 10 0.245 2.0 0.287 0.340 0.356 15 4.24 0.696 2009 37 25 74 19 3 0 0 6 0.224 -0.8 0.256 0.313 0.315 7 3.32 0.628 2010 38 4 9 3 0 0 0 1 0.245 0.1 0.286 0.344 0.350 1 4.22 0.694 2011 39 2 4 1 0 0 0 0 0.220 -0.1 0.248 0.312 0.302 0 3.13 0.614 Career 1608 5741 1699 301 21 73 529 0.260 208.6 0.296 0.355 0.394 804 4.97 0.749 Alex Cora - Shortstop 6' 0", 180 lbs. Bats Left, Throws Right Mean Projection Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 31 103 269 65 8 3 3 21 0.223 -3.6 0.243 0.298 0.329 26 3.24 0.627 Career 979 2715 661 107 30 34 199 0.225 -27.6 0.244 0.295 0.343 275 3.35 0.638 Optimistic Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 31 103 269 65 8 3 3 21 0.223 -3.6 0.243 0.298 0.329 26 3.24 0.627 2008 32 100 254 61 8 3 2 19 0.218 -4.7 0.240 0.292 0.320 24 3.07 0.612 Career 1079 2969 722 114 33 37 218 0.225 -32.3 0.243 0.295 0.341 299 3.32 0.636 Wily Mo Pena - Outfielder 6' 3", 215 lbs. Bats Right, Throws Right Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 25 150 484 132 26 2 26 35 0.269 25.0 0.273 0.322 0.492 77 5.46 0.814 2008 26 154 502 141 26 2 28 38 0.275 30.9 0.280 0.331 0.506 84 5.82 0.837 2009 27 153 494 149 28 2 33 43 0.298 49.4 0.301 0.357 0.569 100 7.26 0.926 2010 28 154 495 135 25 2 33 36 0.277 32.1 0.274 0.324 0.531 85 5.91 0.855 2011 29 158 504 138 26 1 37 41 0.282 37.1 0.273 0.328 0.550 91 6.21 0.878 2012 30 155 507 140 26 1 33 40 0.279 34.8 0.277 0.330 0.531 89 6.05 0.861 2013 31 156 493 135 25 1 32 41 0.277 31.8 0.273 0.329 0.522 85 5.90 0.851 2014 32 155 491 128 24 1 28 41 0.265 22.4 0.261 0.318 0.485 76 5.22 0.803 2015 33 153 479 124 23 1 26 45 0.263 20.3 0.258 0.322 0.471 73 5.11 0.793 2016 34 153 473 122 22 1 24 38 0.258 16.8 0.259 0.314 0.461 68 4.88 0.775 2017 35 152 465 116 21 1 21 41 0.251 11.4 0.250 0.311 0.435 63 4.50 0.746 2018 36 81 226 55 10 0 10 19 0.245 3.6 0.245 0.305 0.418 29 4.21 0.723 2019 37 31 69 16 3 0 2 6 0.232 -0.1 0.230 0.293 0.381 8 3.63 0.674 Career 2191 6788 1821 331 20 395 539 0.269 355.6 0.268 0.322 0.497 1087 5.47 0.819 Doug Mirabelli - Catcher 6' 1", 205 lbs. Bats Right, Throws Right Mean Projection Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 36 16 32 8 2 0 1 3 0.244 0.7 0.241 0.306 0.405 4 4.09 0.711 2008 37 6 10 2 0 0 0 1 0.215 -0.1 0.208 0.272 0.336 1 2.89 0.608 2009 38 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.221 0.0 0.218 0.287 0.341 0 3.13 0.628 Career 542 1385 324 77 2 55 158 0.246 34.1 0.234 0.312 0.411 178 4.19 0.723 Optimistic Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 36 60 160 40 8 0 6 15 0.249 4.5 0.250 0.314 0.412 21 4.32 0.726 2008 37 9 15 3 1 0 0 1 0.214 -0.2 0.208 0.273 0.332 1 2.86 0.605 2009 38 5 8 2 0 0 0 1 0.228 0.0 0.227 0.295 0.356 1 3.39 0.651 Career 591 1525 359 84 2 60 171 0.246 37.8 0.235 0.313 0.410 196 4.19 0.723 Kevin Youkilis - First Base 6' 1", 220 lbs. Bats Right, Throws Right Mean Projection Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 28 115 386 102 27 1 9 54 0.259 11.6 0.264 0.355 0.409 56 4.93 0.764 2008 29 70 250 65 17 1 6 37 0.260 7.8 0.262 0.357 0.411 37 4.97 0.768 2009 30 31 109 29 7 0 2 15 0.257 2.9 0.265 0.354 0.401 15 4.83 0.755 2010 31 17 46 12 3 0 1 6 0.254 1.0 0.262 0.349 0.393 6 4.65 0.742 2011 32 6 15 4 1 0 0 2 0.241 0.0 0.250 0.332 0.363 2 4.01 0.695 2012 33 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 0.243 0.0 0.245 0.357 0.348 0 4.11 0.705 Career 503 1666 448 115 4 40 253 0.264 62.0 0.269 0.365 0.415 253 5.18 0.780 Optimistic Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 28 150 575 160 42 2 14 85 0.271 27.1 0.278 0.371 0.431 92 5.55 0.802 2008 29 154 585 155 40 2 15 87 0.263 20.7 0.265 0.361 0.417 88 5.12 0.778 2009 30 153 587 159 41 2 13 85 0.263 20.7 0.270 0.363 0.412 88 5.12 0.775 2010 31 154 575 152 39 1 12 82 0.258 16.3 0.265 0.357 0.401 82 4.88 0.758 2011 32 82 280 72 18 1 5 39 0.251 5.0 0.258 0.350 0.383 38 4.52 0.733 2012 33 47 141 35 9 0 2 21 0.246 1.6 0.251 0.348 0.368 18 4.28 0.716 2013 34 9 19 5 1 0 0 4 0.257 0.5 0.254 0.395 0.365 3 4.83 0.760 2014 35 4 7 2 0 0 0 1 0.237 0.0 0.246 0.336 0.344 1 3.84 0.680 2015 36 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.227 0.0 0.240 0.323 0.324 0 3.44 0.647 Career 1016 3626 976 250 10 83 544 0.263 130.2 0.269 0.364 0.412 545 5.14 0.776 David Murphy - Outfielder 6' 4", 192 lbs. Bats Left, Throws Left Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 25 143 542 139 23 5 12 44 0.241 5.6 0.256 0.312 0.384 65 4.03 0.696 2008 26 145 543 139 27 5 13 50 0.245 9.0 0.256 0.319 0.396 69 4.24 0.715 2009 27 111 413 114 20 4 12 40 0.261 16.0 0.276 0.339 0.428 60 5.02 0.767 2010 28 137 503 127 24 4 14 43 0.244 7.2 0.252 0.311 0.400 63 4.16 0.711 2011 29 66 240 60 11 2 7 22 0.244 3.4 0.249 0.312 0.401 30 4.16 0.713 2012 30 34 126 32 6 1 3 11 0.242 1.5 0.253 0.313 0.390 15 4.09 0.703 2013 31 17 47 12 2 0 1 4 0.241 0.5 0.251 0.314 0.385 6 4.04 0.699 2014 32 7 17 4 1 0 0 2 0.230 -0.1 0.239 0.304 0.355 2 3.54 0.659 2015 33 3 6 1 0 0 0 1 0.236 0.0 0.234 0.339 0.343 1 3.79 0.682 2016 34 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.212 0.0 0.238 0.256 0.339 0 2.84 0.595 Career 681 2461 633 115 20 65 220 0.246 43.5 0.257 0.318 0.399 313 4.28 0.717 Dustin Pedroia - Second Base 5' 9", 180 lbs. Bats Right, Throws Right Year Age Games AB HITS DBL TRP HR BB EqA VORP AVG OBP SLG RC RC /25 OPS 2007 23 140 532 154 33 5 8 55 0.264 23.0 0.289 0.356 0.415 79 5.20 0.771 2008 24 143 533 155 33 4 8 53 0.264 22.4 0.291 0.355 0.413 78 5.16 0.768 2009 25 144 531 157 34 4 9 55 0.269 26.7 0.296 0.362 0.426 82 5.47 0.788 2010 26 154 568 168 36 4 11 58 0.270 28.9 0.296 0.361 0.428 88 5.49 0.789 2011 27 151 551 172 37 4 12 61 0.284 40.2 0.313 0.381 0.457 96 6.34 0.838 2012 28 153 554 161 34 3 12 54 0.267 26.3 0.291 0.354 0.430 84 5.36 0.784 2013 29 157 562 161 34 3 13 58 0.267 26.4 0.287 0.354 0.429 85 5.33 0.783 2014 30 155 563 164 34 3 12 57 0.266 25.9 0.291 0.356 0.423 85 5.30 0.779 2015 31 155 549 158 32 2 11 56 0.263 22.6 0.287 0.353 0.414 80 5.12 0.767 2016 32 155 546 151 31 2 9 55 0.253 15.0 0.276 0.343 0.391 73 4.63 0.734 2017 33 153 533 145 29 2 8 58 0.251 12.7 0.272 0.344 0.381 70 4.50 0.725 2018 34 153 527 144 29 2 7 52 0.248 10.5 0.273 0.337 0.377 67 4.37 0.714 2019 35 82 256 67 13 1 3 26 0.241 2.8 0.263 0.333 0.359 31 4.05 0.692 2020 36 47 129 33 7 0 1 13 0.237 0.6 0.259 0.326 0.349 15 3.84 0.675 2021 37 9 17 4 1 0 0 2 0.226 -0.2 0.244 0.314 0.325 2 3.38 0.639 Career 1980 7041 2012 420 39 127 719 0.262 277.4 0.286 0.352 0.411 1018 5.06 0.763 Pitchers2007 Projection IP H HR BB SO ERA --------------------------------------------------------------- Curt Schilling 177 192 23 32 149 3.77 Josh Beckett 183 177 25 62 148 4.38 D. Matsuzaka 187 182 17 43 151 3.42 Jon Papelbon 150 135 16 45 133 3.72 Tim Wakefield 169 179 26 59 106 5.01 Jon Lester 122 127 13 59 94 4.47 Matt Clement 133 138 15 55 104 4.35 Craig Hansen 54 58 5 24 38 4.30 Mike Timlin 69 78 6 20 42 4.03 Julian Tavarez 81 90 8 30 50 4.42 Hideki Okajima* 53 55 8 20 50 4.41 B. Donnelly 58 57 7 22 47 4.34 J.C. Romero 58 57 5 30 47 4.31 Keith Foulke 58 59 8 16 45 4.32 Lenny DiNardo 68 78 8 26 45 4.54 Craig Breslow 57 56 5 22 45 3.94 Kyle Snyder 101 120 13 28 67 4.38 Adam Bernero 74 80 9 25 47 4.42 Devern Hansack 90 99 15 28 62 4.87 Joel Pineiro 162 184 22 56 99 4.76 R. Hernandez 144 166 20 64 77 5.23 Kason Gabbard 109 117 12 56 69 4.93 David Pauley 118 142 18 41 66 5.08 --------------------------------------------------------------- * = Okajima's projection is basically an educated guess.
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