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I'm a 23-year-old Georgia Tech grad who lives and dies with the Yellow Jackets, Red Sox, Patriots, and Celtics. I'll also catch the odd Braves game now and then.More By Davis21wylie
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Strategically Simulating the 2008 World Series
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If you're a hardcore baseball fan, the odds are (no pun intended) that you've played a "simulation" of the sport. Some folks play homemade dice baseball or Strat-O-Matic, while some computer-savvy fans get into OOTP or Baseball Mogul... But if you're looking for a fun, free, easy-to-use baseball simulation program, you can't go wrong with the Strategic Baseball Simulator, which uses players' real-life stats to simulate every plate appearance of a game (you can read about how it works here). In preparation for the upcoming Rays-Phils World Series, I'm going to simulate the games in SBS the same way I simulated the NFL Playoffs using Tecmo last January. Click the links for the box score and scorecard from each game, or just skip down to see who ended up winning our simulated 2008 World Series. Enjoy!
2008 SBS World Series: Game 1
R H E
08 Philadelp 300 010 100 5 9 0
08 Tampa Bay 000 000 130 4 8 0
WP: Hamels
LP: Kazmir
SV: Durbin
2008 SBS World Series: Game 2
R H E
08 Philadelp 000 001 000 1 4 1
08 Tampa Bay 100 033 10- 8 11 0
WP: Shields
LP: Myers
SV: Howell
2008 SBS World Series: Game 3
R H E
08 Tampa Bay 000 030 100 000 000 4 11 1
08 Philadelp 030 100 000 000 001 5 12 3
WP: Durbin
LP: Jackson
SV: -
2008 SBS World Series: Game 4
R H E
08 Tampa Bay 000 140 020 7 6 0
08 Philadelp 012 030 02- 8 17 1
WP: Condrey
LP: Percival
SV: Lidge
2008 SBS World Series: Game 5
R H E
08 Tampa Bay 000 000 010 1 3 1
08 Philadelp 002 000 01- 3 7 0
WP: Hamels
LP: Kazmir
SV: Lidge
Philadelphia Phillies
2008 SBS World Series: Cumulative Stats
162-Game Sim
Okay, so that was fun, but it was also a mere 5-game sample. Are the Phils really the better team? Well, another neat feature of SBS is its "Two Team Multi-Game Mode," which is pretty self-explanatory: you can sim 2 teams head-to-head in as many games as possible. Here are the results for 162 Tampa Bay-Philly matchups, with 81 home games for each team:
Team W L Pct RS RA 08 Tampa Bay 72 90 .444 713 774 08 Philadelp 90 72 .556 774 713
For the full stats of the 162-game sim, click here.
So, there you have it -- the venerable Strategic Baseball Simulator has spoken, and it says that the Philadelphia Phillies will win the 2008 World Series in approximately 5 games. Of course, on the other side of the ledger is an epic pro-sports title drought, a Rays squad that the stats and the bookmakers say is superior, and the fact that worst-to-first Tampa feels like a team of destiny. But I guess that's why they play the games... in fact, don't be surprised if this series requires the full 7 games to decide a champion. One thing's for sure, though: it's going to be the most entertaining World Series in years.
