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About the Author

Mike Ketchen
I am well past obsessed with sports, especially Baseball. My girlfriend often thinks I would choose one conversation with Josh Beckett about his curveball grip over our relationship. It is tough call to be honest.. : )

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Pinstripe deficiency

by Mike Ketchen
created January 04, 2009, last edited February 10, 2009
9
Vote

From www.thebaseballfix.com

As I am sitting here watching the replay of the 2008 World Series on MLB network of Game 3 between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Philadelphia Phillies. I am made more aware of why I still believe the New York Yankees are in world of trouble for the upcoming season.

It unfolds over a three play sequence that will not show up in any box score or game recap. Matt Garza is on the mound and the game is tied at one. Garza delivers the pitch and it is hit back up the middle. It looks like a sure base hit, until Jason Bartlett makes an amazing play on the run. A play most short stops won't make and a play the worst fielding shortstop in baseball certainly won't. The next play, a scorching one hopper to first that Carlos Pena makes; a play so good, he even fooled the camera man at first as he started to track the ball behind Pena, only to realize it was in his glove. Good first basemen will make this play less often then they won't. Great fielding first baseman will make it sometimes. The third and final play in the sequence came when Garza hung a pitch and Carlos Ruiz deposited it in the left field bleachers. The reason this is significant, of course, is that [on most teams] this would have been a three run shot. Yet, due to superior defense, it was solo homer and did not bury the Rays.

Now some franchises are starting to realize that run prevention is nearly, if not more important the run production. This lesson has apparently been lost on Brian Cashman's bunch, as they feature one of the worst defenses in all of baseball (25th last season). Not to mention they are the worst in baseball in the middle infield with Derek Jeter and Robinson Cano both ranking in the bottom of their positions according to both UZR and +/-.

For those who will remain skeptical or maybe even try to dismiss this info, consider these facts first. The Rays ranked dead last in baseball prospectus team defensive efficiency. In 2008, they ranked first in all of baseball. Not enough for ya? Well, don't worry it keeps coming. The Colorado Rockies made their first trip to the World Series in franchise history, yet fell off the map again in '08. Well, in 2007, they ranked 6th in baseball. In 2008, they fell to 27th. In 2008, five of the eight playoff teams finished in the top ten in defensive efficiency. None ranked out of the top fifteen. Home runs might still sell the tickets, but glove work will win the championships.  


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IbeargRed-Shirting
325 days ago
Score 3+-
you have a point, but luckily the two new pitchers they got have high strikeout rates so they won't have to depend on cano and jeter to make as many plays as others might. Additionally Teixiera is not only a good hitting first baseman but also a good fielding first baseman. Assuming the yankees start damon, caberea/gardner, nady from left to right their OF defense won't be bad either.
Permalink | Reply
Mike KetchenJV Squad
325 days ago
Score 2+-
Tex is good but inconsistent for some reason with the glove. He has ranked in the top five in +/- in two of the last four seasons. Out of the top 15 in the other two. Not one of those outfielders ranked in the top ten in +/- last season. I think it is a case of name recongnition verse actuall production. For example, we kept hearing Melky was a good fielder. Yet in every metric I can find he rankes poorly. They do have a great swing and miss staff which will help but they have an awful OF and groundball pitchers like CC and Burnett are in trouble when the ball is put in play. This is why I think the way they are currentley assembled they cant make the playoffs.
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RawbeezeitzMajor Leaguer
324 days ago
Score 2+-
Call me ignorant, but what's +/-? I know what it is in hockey, but not baseball.
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Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
324 days ago
Score 0+-
Hey... What's up, Ignorant???
Permalink
Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
324 days ago
Score 0+-
Pitching and defense is the essence of baseball. The game doesn't stop until 27 outs are made. A team that wins 2-1 games will go father more often than the team that wins 14-11 games.

My question about CC and AJ is not their stuff but how healthy they will be. I don't think it's a coincidence that pitchers come into NY then suddenly catch the injury bug. It's hard to relax and "just pitch" when you're concurrently attempting to justify your suddenly expanded "worth".

It ain't easy being a recently signed free agent Yankee pitcher... *cough, Cough* Carl Pavano*
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JuTMSY4Legend
324 days ago
Score 2+-
All you have to do is make the playoffs...remember, if the Yankees were in the NL West, they'd be hoisting the trophy (right?)

If the Yankees can make the playoffs, if either Burnett or Sabathia pitches (very) well next year, they should make at least some noise...

But beyond that, the playoffs are at least 50% crap shoot...
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Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
324 days ago
Score 1+-
It's true... look at the Phillies. They won the World Series with WAY more than just a mere 50% crap
Permalink
JuTMSY4Legend
324 days ago
Score 3+-
As former yankees pitcher put it best:

"I'd rather be lucky than good"

By the way...enjoy Pat Burrell...</No Sarcasm...really>
Permalink
Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
324 days ago
Score 2+-
"I'd rather be good at being lucky", personally...
Permalink
Mike KetchenJV Squad
324 days ago
Score 1+-
I actually like the Burrell signing a ton. His bat is wort about +3 to 3.5 wins but his glove gave back about 2 wins. So the Rays def come out ahead in this. Think about the potential front five now. Upton, Crawford, Longo, Pena and Burrell. If Crawford gets back on track. That would be a great lineup up front, might strike out a lot but a good one none the less.
Permalink | Reply
Mike KetchenJV Squad
324 days ago
Score 1+-
*would like to edit myself I ment 2 to 2.5 Wins with the bat : )
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Mike KetchenJV Squad
324 days ago
Score 2+-
Raw, The +/- system was created by John Dewan and is used by many teams today. You can check it out at either www.billjamesonline.net under stats or at www.fieldingbible.com Basiclly it measures how many plays above(+) or below (-) a player made at his position compared to the rest of the league at his position. They break down every play in assigned vectors through computers to determine the plays. Its pretty sweet.
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Mike KetchenJV Squad
323 days ago
Score 1+-
One more thing I wanted to add that I forgot. The defensive metric that is quickly becoming a lead stat is UZR(ultimate zone rating) you can learn more about it on www.fangraphs.com

they also use UZR/150 which basically gives an average for the team over a season. The top three teams? 1.Tampa 2.Philly

3.Red Sox
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Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Mike Ketchen | January 4, 2009 | January 2009 | Tampa Bay Rays Opinions | Matt Garza Opinions | Philadelphia Phillies Opinions | Carlos Ruiz Opinions | Jason Bartlett Opinions | Carlos Pena Opinions | Derek Jeter Opinions | New York Yankees Opinions | Robinson Cano Opinions

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