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About the Author

Sj-hypocycloid
Mike Frangione has engaged himself in the noble calling of sportswriting over the years (1991-1997, and again in 2007), enjoying two stints covering (stringing) High School sports for my local newspaper in South Jersey. That was a great learning experience and also a great deal of fun.

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Phillies 2009: Rough Start, But Salvaged In The End

by Sj-hypocycloid
created April 09, 2009, last edited April 10, 2009
8
Vote

Yes, it's true - I reverted back to my typical fan mode and moaned about the pitiful performance by the Phillies in their first two games.

While 4-1 and 4-0 losses are not the end of the world, it's just not a good way to start a season. Especially when the team has a history of bad Aprils. I wrote a very similar article last year at this time. No need to go over familiar ground.

Well, maybe a little. Sunday's 4-1 loss: 4 men left on base (LOB). Tuesday's 4-0 loss: 11 LOB. Today's 12-11 slugfest: 11 LOB again. I suppose it could be argued that if you score 12, then leaving 11 men on base isn't so bad. I disagree, but you could argue this point.

But I'll walk away. The season is young, and World Series rings have been distributed. So everyone in the Philadelphia area ought to be feeling pretty optomistic overall. There are 159 games left - plenty of time.

Not much has changed between the way 2008 started and the way 2009 is starting. The Phillies lost winnable games in both years and I moaned about it. Now they're 1-2 and on their way to Colorado....last year, they were 1-2 and on their way to play Cincinnati.

Last year, the Phillies struggled to take 2 of 4 from the Reds. I'm hoping this year they'll surprise the crap out of me and take all three games from the Rockies. Cole Hamels will take the mound in a much-hyped start Friday afternoon amid talk of his ailing left elbow. He says he's fine, and I hope that turns out to be the case.

We need a typical Hamels outing: less than 2 runs, 8-10 Ks and 7-8 innings pitched. Of course, that also means that the Phillies need to score more than 0 and 1 runs in the game as well. But they just scored 12, so my thinking here is that they should be able to muster 3-4 runs. That would be a good start.

It's time to put the World Series win in the back pocket and get back to the business of playing the type of baseball that made them October winners. At least this year...I feel comfortable that they know the way.


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RawbeezeitzMajor Leaguer
215 days ago
Score 2+-
Scoring 12 and leaving 11 is pretty good. Scoring 0 and leaving 11 is horrible. LOB is always a skewed stat, because better offenses will almost always leave more runners on base, simply because they have more runners.


Runners left in scoring position is a slightly better stat to look at, but even that gets skewed.
Permalink | Reply
Sj-hypocycloidAll-American
215 days ago
Score 1+-
I know it's not the end-all, be-all, but it is a telling stat to me. I'd like to think that even pushing 2 or 3 of those runs across the plate would result in more wins. Perhaps I am being overly simplistic with this belief...
Permalink
RawbeezeitzMajor Leaguer
215 days ago
Score 1+-
Well the 4 men left in the 4-1 loss would alarm me even more. That's 1 runner scored, and 4 left on base? That's no good. If you get baserunners, you're going to score.


Once there's a bigger sample of games, look at LOB, and LOB in scoring position, then also look at the Phillies' records in 1 and 2 run games. I'd also try to factor for the runners LOB when the pitcher's spot makes the final out of an inning.


Again, I tend to view LOB as a biproduct of a good offense. There are very few teams over a 162 game season that will get many runners on base and not score their fair share of runs for doing so.
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JuTMSY4Legend
215 days ago
Score 1+-
hey...

Hey

[edit] HEY

phillies.jpg

World fuckin' Champions...
Permalink | Reply
Anonymous Fanatic #1
215 days ago
Score 0+-
Enjoy the rings Philly fans...This is going to be the year of the Mets
Permalink | Reply
JuTMSY4Legend
215 days ago
Score 1+-
choke.jpg
Permalink
Tmil42AAA-er
214 days ago
Score 1+-
Ouch...and by the way, that AF was not me forgetting to log in again.

Although I feel confident that the Mets can have a good shot at maybe winning most of it.


Too many qualifiers?
Permalink
Sj-hypocycloidAll-American
214 days ago
Score 1+-
It's wide open. The Mets looked a little shaky, but they've got talent. The Braves knocked the Phillies down a peg or two and Florida's undefeated. The way things are going, the Phils and Mets might be an afterthought. This is shaping up to be a real interesting race in the NL East.
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Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Sj-hypocycloid | April 9, 2009 | April 2009 | MLB Opinions | Philadelphia Phillies Opinions | Baseball Opinions

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