armchairgm
all sports, all you
+ Add Friends
You are not logged-in.
Sign Up - Log In
Main Page
Sports
Write
Articles
Hot Links
Images
Meet People
Fun
Explore
MLB - NFL - NBA - NHL - College Basketball - College Football - Soccer - Nascar - Other
Article - Locker Room Discussion
All Articles - New Articles - Today's Articles
Submit a Link - Approve Links
Picture Game - Ratings - Polls - Pick Game - Quiz Game - Spring Silliness
Random Page - Random Image - Random Fan

About the Author

Sj-hypocycloid
Mike Frangione has engaged himself in the noble calling of sportswriting over the years (1991-1997, and again in 2007), enjoying two stints covering (stringing) High School sports for my local newspaper in South Jersey. That was a great learning experience and also a great deal of fun.

More By Sj-hypocycloid

Phillies World Series 2009: A Year Later, and They Still Don't Want Us
13 votes, 20 comments
The Phillies And Their "Problem"
9 votes, 10 comments
Happy To Be Proven Wrong By The Phillies Pitchers
9 votes, 3 comments
View All

Other recent voters

If you like the article, vote for it.
Edit
Page history Discuss pageWhat links here

Phillies 2009: Rough Start, But Salvaged In The End

by Sj-hypocycloid
created April 09, 2009, last edited April 10, 2009
8
Vote

Yes, it's true - I reverted back to my typical fan mode and moaned about the pitiful performance by the Phillies in their first two games.

While 4-1 and 4-0 losses are not the end of the world, it's just not a good way to start a season. Especially when the team has a history of bad Aprils. I wrote a very similar article last year at this time. No need to go over familiar ground.

Well, maybe a little. Sunday's 4-1 loss: 4 men left on base (LOB). Tuesday's 4-0 loss: 11 LOB. Today's 12-11 slugfest: 11 LOB again. I suppose it could be argued that if you score 12, then leaving 11 men on base isn't so bad. I disagree, but you could argue this point.

But I'll walk away. The season is young, and World Series rings have been distributed. So everyone in the Philadelphia area ought to be feeling pretty optomistic overall. There are 159 games left - plenty of time.

Not much has changed between the way 2008 started and the way 2009 is starting. The Phillies lost winnable games in both years and I moaned about it. Now they're 1-2 and on their way to Colorado....last year, they were 1-2 and on their way to play Cincinnati.

Last year, the Phillies struggled to take 2 of 4 from the Reds. I'm hoping this year they'll surprise the crap out of me and take all three games from the Rockies. Cole Hamels will take the mound in a much-hyped start Friday afternoon amid talk of his ailing left elbow. He says he's fine, and I hope that turns out to be the case.

We need a typical Hamels outing: less than 2 runs, 8-10 Ks and 7-8 innings pitched. Of course, that also means that the Phillies need to score more than 0 and 1 runs in the game as well. But they just scored 12, so my thinking here is that they should be able to muster 3-4 runs. That would be a good start.

It's time to put the World Series win in the back pocket and get back to the business of playing the type of baseball that made them October winners. At least this year...I feel comfortable that they know the way.


Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
RawbeezeitzMajor Leaguer
266 days ago
Score 2+-
Scoring 12 and leaving 11 is pretty good. Scoring 0 and leaving 11 is horrible. LOB is always a skewed stat, because better offenses will almost always leave more runners on base, simply because they have more runners.


Runners left in scoring position is a slightly better stat to look at, but even that gets skewed.
Permalink | Reply
Sj-hypocycloidAll-American
266 days ago
Score 1+-
I know it's not the end-all, be-all, but it is a telling stat to me. I'd like to think that even pushing 2 or 3 of those runs across the plate would result in more wins. Perhaps I am being overly simplistic with this belief...
Permalink
RawbeezeitzMajor Leaguer
266 days ago
Score 1+-
Well the 4 men left in the 4-1 loss would alarm me even more. That's 1 runner scored, and 4 left on base? That's no good. If you get baserunners, you're going to score.


Once there's a bigger sample of games, look at LOB, and LOB in scoring position, then also look at the Phillies' records in 1 and 2 run games. I'd also try to factor for the runners LOB when the pitcher's spot makes the final out of an inning.


Again, I tend to view LOB as a biproduct of a good offense. There are very few teams over a 162 game season that will get many runners on base and not score their fair share of runs for doing so.
Permalink
JuTMSY4Legend
266 days ago
Score 1+-
hey...

Hey

[edit] HEY

phillies.jpg

World fuckin' Champions...
Permalink | Reply
Anonymous Fanatic #1
265 days ago
Score 0+-
Enjoy the rings Philly fans...This is going to be the year of the Mets
Permalink | Reply
JuTMSY4Legend
265 days ago
Score 1+-
choke.jpg
Permalink
Tmil42AAA-er
265 days ago
Score 1+-
Ouch...and by the way, that AF was not me forgetting to log in again.

Although I feel confident that the Mets can have a good shot at maybe winning most of it.


Too many qualifiers?
Permalink
Sj-hypocycloidAll-American
265 days ago
Score 1+-
It's wide open. The Mets looked a little shaky, but they've got talent. The Braves knocked the Phillies down a peg or two and Florida's undefeated. The way things are going, the Phils and Mets might be an afterthought. This is shaping up to be a real interesting race in the NL East.
Permalink
Add your Comment
ArmchairGM welcomes all comments. If you don't want to be anonymous, Register or Login. It's free
Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Sj-hypocycloid | April 9, 2009 | April 2009 | MLB Opinions | Philadelphia Phillies Opinions | Baseball Opinions

Don't Miss

Why Every Major League Baseball Player Should Strive to be Just Like Ichiro
Games on Holidays: Yay or Nay?
Phillies World Series 2009: A Year Later, and They Still Don't Want Us
Sorry, But I'm Not Sorry
2009 NHL Preview

In the News

Hey ArmchairGM users! Want to help the admins update this news section? Click here to help us out.

Comments of the Day

2 Ichiro is WAY faster than Boggs, Mattingly, Brett, Gwynn o...
1 I think you need a time out.
1 great depth, thoughtful analysis, enjoyed it
0 these are good but really there are a lot more player...
0 Glad to see articles being produced by the originals again... ...

Play the Picture Game

Best Couple

New Articles

All the Things I was Wrong About in 2009 (Sports Edition) by Manny Stiles
Cuse Conquers the Hall
Art Ditmar Instead of Whitey Ford? Casey Stengel Really Messed Up in 1960
Mike Leach: Facts or Friction?
Week 17: Final Week Picks Cowboys vs Eagles

Retrieved from "http://armchairgm.wikia.com/Article:Phillies_2009:_Rough_Start%2C_But_Salvaged_In_The_End"

This page was last modified 00:15, 9 April 2009. Content is available under the GFDL.

Main Page About Special Pages Help Terms of Use Advertise