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About the Author

Mike Ketchen
I am well past obsessed with sports, especially Baseball. My girlfriend often thinks I would choose one conversation with Josh Beckett about his curveball grip over our relationship. It is tough call to be honest.. : )

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Need For Speed?

by Mike Ketchen
created January 07, 2008, last edited February 10, 2009
12
Vote


From www.thebaseballfix.com   Most of us who play Fantasy Baseball understand the value of all the categories and stats that go into winning a league and building a championship team. We also need to understand the value of our pick(s) and how the contribute to these categories. Year to year trends develop and value can be found in terms of different stats. One this year is Stolen Bases. When breaking down the category I noticed one shocking trend. In terms of the top 30 from the past season 10 of them had an ADP over 100 and most over 150. Now, these are not all stars, names like Willy Tavares and Reggie Willits but if you can find a top ten in a category with the 200th pick of a draft and fill him in as say your 5th OF or MI you have struck gold essentially. Not just in the fact that they will help you immensely in a category but more how it affects the rest of your draft. For example , lets say you have the 11th pick in the draft and Ryan Howard and Carl Crawford are both there. You know that Crawford is a five tool contributor, however Howard is a virtual lock to be in the top three for home run’s . Usually you could go back and forth for quite some time, but when you know you can get Willy Tavares and 35+ sb’s between the 150th to 175th pick and as for the 40+ HR , well only 5 players achieved that fit last year.

The thing I would urge all fantasy owners to remember whenever you are looking for a player who really make’s a contribution in one stat and maybe is a little vanilla in a few others, is that you always need to build a strong core through your first 3-5 picks. The Howard example was a good one as it showed how having an eye on future picks can pay off big in the immediate round. *below you will find the list of the ten players and there ADP number as well.


Player SB ADP
Juan Pierre 64 94
Corey Patterson 37 248
Willy Taveras 33 167
Julio Lugo 33 249
Jerry Owens 32 235
Dave Roberts 31 388
Ryan Theriot 28 319
Coco Crisp 28 281
Johnny Damon 27 104
Reggie Willits 27 21


Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
SSreportersLegend
692 days ago
Score 2+-
Since when do members of ArmchairGM post their full article here? :)
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HappyskinnyAll-American
691 days ago
Score 1+-
Thats exactly what I was thinking.
Permalink
Mike KetchenJV Squad
692 days ago
Score 3+-
lol I was warned that my life depends on it ; )
Permalink | Reply
KelsdadAll-Star
692 days ago
Score 2+-
I consider stolen bases to be an "accidental" category, meaning no one goes into a draft with a plan to win the category. I don't know of anyone who picks Jose Reyes or Ichiro because of their SB's, they pick them because of their runs scored and OBP and 200 hits. Whether they steal 50 bases or 10, it wouldn't affect my decision to take them if the were available.
Permalink | Reply
Falcon02520Legend
692 days ago
Score 1+-
I have to agree... to a point... stolen bases are just an "extra" thing that is used to push some players over top others... its why Hanley Ramirez will be better in fantasy than Troy Tulowitzki... but I will not go out of my way to grap Reggie Willits...
Permalink
RomiezzoLegend
691 days ago
Score 2+-
Or Juan Pierre... :P
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Behbigben15All-Star
691 days ago
Score 0+-
Kels, I believe you forgot to mention BA. Ichiro's Batting average is always up there, too. Ichiro hasn't had a BA under .300 in his MLB career.
Permalink
KelsdadAll-Star
691 days ago
Score 1+-
Its hard to get 200 hits and not hit .300, Ben. Assumption is there.
Permalink
Behbigben15All-Star
691 days ago
Score 0+-
Yeah, that's true.
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Mike KetchenJV Squad
692 days ago
Score 0+-
Kels....what!!! lol in some fantasy formats you are correct..say lgs that use indivual hits or OPB, however in 5x5 people game plan for SB's it is common knowledge as is every other category. Any roto category you can find an edge in you push hard and the only thing that seperates some peoples logic behind taking Reyes in top 3 is his SB production.
Permalink | Reply
KelsdadAll-Star
692 days ago
Score 2+-
I was in four leagues last season, won two, one second and one fourth. The biggest league had fifteen members, the smallest 8. I finished at or near the bottom in steals in all of them. My strategy to avoid steals obviously works. (I also avoid saves, by the way).
Permalink | Reply
Falcon02520Legend
692 days ago
Score 0+-
Saves are different... if... well, you'll see my strategy on that when we do the AGM fantasy baseball...
Permalink
HappyskinnyAll-American
691 days ago
Score 0+-
I also really try to avoid saves. It never seems to workout if you try to get some good closers.
Permalink
SkipidsJV Squad
691 days ago
Score 0+-
u shouldnt avoid Holds though! ha ha ha
Permalink
Mike KetchenJV Squad
692 days ago
Score 2+-
Kels I am not saying that you must win SB's in fact I punted it in most lgs. However to say some consider it accidental or it has any less weight is foolish. In a roto lq all stats are wayed the same. ppl (like myself) do punt categories from time to time if it will better serve the overall team. I am sure that while you finished near bottom in SB's you cleary had an edge somewhere else or found a very solid number of 4 tool studs (e.g. Holliday, Rollins)
Permalink | Reply
Mike KetchenJV Squad
691 days ago
Score 0+-
I think it would be great to get in a armchair lg just let me know guys
Permalink | Reply
KelsdadAll-Star
691 days ago
Score 0+-
this guy runs the league, send him a message, let him know you're interested.
Permalink | Reply
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Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Mike Ketchen | January 7, 2008 | January 2008

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