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Shrubbery
I'm a harmles little fuzz ball.

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NFL Draft...best & worst 1st round picks of the 21st cntury

by Shrubbery
created April 25, 2008, last edited February 10, 2009
8
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As the 2008 NFL Draft draws near we hearken to the days of old and drafts of the new millennium to determine who were the best and worst of first round picks in this the 21 st century.

 

We’ll begin with a pick by pick evaluation of the best first rounders of the decade.

 

1. Few quarterbacks have been as productive over the last five years as the number 1 overall from the 2003 draft Carson Palmer.  He’s had loads of talent at his disposal but he’s also made his receivers better and has been one of the few Bengal players to not be a total pain in the ass.

2. The second overall picks of the millennium have not been kind to their masters but the #2 in 2002 Julius Peppers lived up to the hype but has faded over the last few seasons.  A former basketball/football star at North Carolina, Peppers brought an almost unreal amount of athleticism to the DE position.

3. The third pick has been a gold mine of talent.  Larry Fitzgerald, Andre Johnson, Vince Young, Chris Samuels, and Braylon Edwards were all No.3 selections and have all lived up to their considerable hype.  The best of the lot is Fitzgerald, who does nothing but move the chains for the Arizona Cardinals.

4. The forth pick has been a veritable mine field of underachieving, over hyped players that continue to disappoint or disappear.  The glaring exception has been Philip Rivers, the steady hand guiding San Diego Chargers offense.

5. No fifth pick has had the impact LaDanian Tomlinson has had both to his team and to the league.  This unassuming superstar may eventually go down as the best RB ever.

6. Those wily New England Patriots sure got their money’s worth when they drafted Richard Seymour #6 overall in the same 2001 draft that produced LT, Reggie Wayne, Steve Hutchinson, and Deuce McAllister.

7. It’s hard to label a guy who’s only played one season as the best #7 pick of the decade but that’s just how good Adrian Peterson was last season, one of the best rookie years any running back has had in NFL history.

8. He has established himself as one of the most feared hitters in the game and as such Roy Williams is the best #8 pick of the decade.

9. There was a question as to what position the number nine overall in 2000 would play, and I’m sure Chicago Bears fans are glad Brian Urlacher assumed MLB duties, and did so in a Mike Singletaryesque fashion.

10. The first round in 2003 was infamous for the Minnesota Vikings dropping two slots because they were either unprepared or clinically stupid.  Either way, what transpired was a surreal scene where DE Kevin Williams was grabbed by the Vikings at #9 and Terrell Suggs dropped to Baltimore Ravens at 10, making this the best tenth pick of the 21 st century.

11. Ever since he stormed into the league in 2002, Dwight Freeney has been one of the best DE’s in football.  Only fellow #11 Ben Roethlisberger has had nearly as successful a career as Freeney.

12. One reason why the Chargers are as good and talented as they are is consistently drafting well, and no pick was better than snatching up Shawne Merriman with the 12 th pick in 2005.

13. The New York Jets got a relative bargain when they got John Abraham with the 13 th pick in 2000.

14. Tommie Harris has made as many headlines off the field as on but there’s no denying he’s a nearly immovable wall at DT.  Jeremy Shockey also deserves some mention.

15. Albert Haynesworth has arguably been the best DT in the NFL since he walked on the practice field for the Tennessee Titans in 2002.

16. A candidate for best safety and best hair Troy Polamalu is the best 16 th pick of the decade.

17. An absolute bulldozer at guard, Steve Hutchinson may be the best OL in the game, just ask Shaun Alexander and Adrian Peterson.

18. Wracked with injuries lately Chad Pennington probably fell further in the 2000 draft than he should have but has been decent for the New York Jets.

19. Way back in 2000 Shaun Alexander was the 19 th overall by Seattle Seahawks and was the lynchpin of that offense for seven years.

20. Now with his third team in four years the erstwhile Javon Walker was a bit of a good buy at #20.

21. The Patriots have two great 21 st picks in Vince Wilfork and Lawrence Maroney.

22. Will Allen was a solid CB for New York Giants between 2001-05 and Miami Dolphins 2006-present.

23. Deuce McAllister has been spectacularly reliable for a New Orleans Saints offense that now features Reggie Bush and Marques Colston.

24. Steven Jackson has developed into one of the best RB’s in the NFL and Ed Reed is a former Defensive Player of the Year…hard to choose between the two.

25. Aaron Rodgers and Alex Smith were both drafted before Jason Campbell but neither at this point is the quality QB that Campbell has become.

26. Lito Sheppard has been solid if not spectacular for the Philadelphia Eagles.

27. Everyone thought the Chiefs were nuts for drafting a RB with the 27 th pick in 2003, especially considering Priest Holmes was still tearing it up.  But you can’t argue that Larry Johnson was a prophetically astute pick.

28. A Pro Bowl selection in 2006 Luis Castillo is only the second Dominican player to be drafted and start in the NFL, and is another in a long line of great Chargers draft choices.

29. Nick Barnett has been one of the most consistently great yet unheralded LB’s since he entered the league in 2002.

30. All Reggie Wayne did was become a potent piece of one of the best offenses in NFL history.  And he has two Pro Bowls, one All Pro selection, and a Super Bowl ring.

31. Todd Heap was thought by many to be a steal with the 31 st in 2001 and he’s been solid ever since.

32. Logan Mankins and Mathias Kiwanuka were fellow 32 nd picks and had the privilege of butting heads in Super Bowl XLII.

 

And now the polar opposites, the worst first round picks of the 21 st century.

 

1. Few players cost their teams more money and bad PR as the now villainous Michael Vick.  He showed flashes of tantalizing brilliance but his ultimate exit from the league was equally as flashy is his entrance.  Courtney Brown was invisible during his career but Vick almost single handedly destroyed a franchise.

2. Yes Robert Gallery was awful at left tackle, yes Ronnie Brown has been largely disappointing, and yes Reggie Bush was probably over hyped, but no second pick was as big a bust as Charles Rogers.

3. The Joey Harrington fiasco arguably set the Detroit Lions back five years and should have cost Matt Millen his job.

4. In college Peter Warrick was a brilliant play maker, in the pros he was a colossal disappointment, yet another in a long line of crappy Bengals’ draft picks.

5. Terence Newman hasn’t been a total bust but certainly hasn’t been what one would expect from a former #5.

6. Vernon Davis dazzled during pre-draft workouts, posting a stunning 4.3 40 time, but has been way too quiet on the field.

7. Even at the time most observers thought the Vikings reached too far by drafting Troy Williamson at #7.

8. David Terrell was dominant in college but downright bad as a pro.

9. Koren Robinson had one good year and has averaged two touchdown catches a season.

10. Funny how this portion of our 21 st century draft retrospective is dominated thus far by Matt Millen and his Detroit Lions; add Mike Williams to this ignominious list of 1 st round gaffes.

11. Former Heisman Trophy winner Ron Dayne was only ever the second half of a 1-2 punch or a backup.

12. Damione Lewis, who the hell is he?  Precisely.

13. Donte Stallworth was never a primary target and never lived up to his advanced billing.  But now he can languish as a 3 rd or 4 th WR for the Patriots.

14. Few tackles got whistled for as many holding penalties as Kenyatta Walker.

15. Considering who they passed up to draft him, no one with the Denver Broncos can consider Deltha O’Neal as anything but busterific.

16. It says something when the 16 th pick in 2002, William Green, is most famous for multiple marijuana suspensions and getting stabbed by his fiancé.

17. Bryant Johnson was supposed to help elevate the offensive fortune of the Cardinals but became an expensive slot receiver.

18. “Erasmus James, please answer the courtesy phone….please.”

19. Ashley Lelie was blessed with world class speed, athleticism, and hands of stone.  He barely has 200 catches for his career.

20. In a rich get richer and poor get poorer angle, the Broncos put their second player in a row on this countdown, one George Foster.

21. Drafting WR’s in the first round is dicey, and one need look no further than Sylvester Morris to get an appreciation for this concept.

22. It’s hard to say who’s been more disappointing, Manny Lawson, J.P. Losman, or Mark Clayton.

23. Rashard Anderson…um, I got nothing.

24. Boy do the Broncos have egg on their faces after placing three picks in six on this “Worst of…” list…thanks Willie Middlebrooks.

25. The #25 pick in the 2001 NFL Draft would like to thank his hands, because that infamous sound byte was the high point of Freddie Mitchell’s career.

26. What makes a John McCargo?  Gasoline silly.

27. Roddy White may be better known for his role in “Planet of the Apes”…what, that was Roddy McDowell?  Damn, a good joke shot to hell.

28. Derrick Gibson played which position?  If you can answer this brain teaser you’re either a shut in residing in your parents’ basement or a football geek extraordinaire.

29. Michael Jenkins…another first round bust from the WR position.

30. What has Sammy Davis done other than bastardize the sir name of a great American entertainer?

31. Yet another WR…Rashaun Woods.  (note to self: never draft a receiver in round 1, unless Reggie Wayne is available)

32. All right, since this is too close to call, and because I’m a bit punchy, I’ll let you choose between Tyler Brayton & Patrick Ramsey.

 

Bing on the 2008 NFL draft,, if for no other reason than to stop these insipid lists.


Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
LASportsblogAAA-er
610 days ago
Score 0+-
A thought on the 03 draft and the Vikings drafting Kevin Williams: The Vikings still had Culpepper so they weren't going to go QB at number seven. I wonder if it was the Vikings plan all along to let two picks go by knowing that Kevin Williams would be there still at 9 AND knowing that they didn't want to pay him 7th pick money, they could save millions by just waiting an half hour and then running to the podium with his name. At the time it looked like chaos had happened in the Vikes locker room. But just maybe they were the Bugs Bunny of the draft, and the Jags were Elmer Fudd.
Permalink | Reply
Anonymous Fanatic #1
610 days ago
Score 0+-
Possibly, but do you really take that big of a gamble on saving cap room. I think they were just ill prepared or counted on a trade that never materialized.
Permalink
LASportsblogAAA-er
610 days ago
Score 0+-
I don't think it was their original plan, but they KNEW the Jags wanted Leftwhich, when they couldn't get the Jags to move up, they just gave them the pick, then there are the Panthers who at the time had just drafted Peepers to go with Kris Jenkins, so they didn't need D Line in the top 10. It makes sense that as they went along rushing to draft Kevin Williams in front of teams that wouldn't draft him anyway would be a waste of money.
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SSreportersLegend
610 days ago
Score 0+-
I stopped reading as soon as I saw Peepers. :O
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ShrubberyVarsity Captain
610 days ago
Score 0+-
If their true intention was to slide down why not trade down a couple slots and pick up an extra 3rd or 4th. Their brain fart still makes no sense unless they were just lazy.
Permalink
LASportsblogAAA-er
610 days ago
Score 0+-
Because to trade down you NEED someone to want to trade up. It's not Madden, you can't override the trade feature.
Permalink
ShrubberyVarsity Captain
610 days ago
Score 0+-
No kidding, but twiddling their thumbs and dropping two spots speaks of laziness or stupidity, not nuanced strategy. Then again I could be wrong but nothing in the recent history of the Vikings suggests it was anything but a brain fart.
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False ProphetAll-Star
608 days ago
Score 0+-
Mike Tice is a retard. Always has been, always will be. However, I think his move was one of pure genius. No one was willing to trade up, so they moved down by passing on their pick in order to save money for the player they want. A cheap move no doubt, but a brilliant move.
Permalink
SSreportersLegend
610 days ago
Score 0+-
I really don't think O'Neal was a bad pick at all. He's not great but he's decent.
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ShrubberyVarsity Captain
610 days ago
Score 0+-
Deltha was the most inconsistent CB I've ever seen. Sure he had four INT's in one game but he also gave up more long completions than any CB in football. His good didn't trump his horrible play. His nickname was toast for goodness sake.
Permalink
LASportsblogAAA-er
610 days ago
Score 0+-
Terrance Newman has been worse then Quintin Jammer? Debatable.

Manny Lawson and Mark Clayton are more of a bust then Losman to me because Losman was coming into his own when he got hurt and the Trent Edwards train came into town.

Derrick Gibson is the embodiment of a useless Raiders safety, the example of everything we hope Michael Huff doesn't become.

And the Raiders found use for Tyler Brayton all across the D-Line and at OLB, what has Ramsey ever done for anyone?
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SSreportersLegend
610 days ago
Score 0+-
I love Brayton only because he kneed Jerramy Stevens' balls.

It was deserved.

Which reminds me, I would add Jerramy Stevens on there.
Permalink
ShrubberyVarsity Captain
610 days ago
Score 0+-
J.P. is a bust thus far but your point is legit. I put J.P. over the other two because he's had more time to learn the game.
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ShrubberyVarsity Captain
610 days ago
Score 0+-
Quinton Jammer has turned into a decent CB. But I agree there's not much seperating the two.
Permalink
ShrubberyVarsity Captain
610 days ago
Score 1+-
The Raiders only found use for Brayton because they literaly had no other options. I loved Brayton in college as I'm a huge CU fan but even I predicted the 1st round price tag was too steep for a career backup or average at best starter.
Permalink
LASportsblogAAA-er
610 days ago
Score 0+-
Touche, also they're wasn't really anyone to take his spot either. From 03-06 the Oakland line depth was so poor, Manny could of gotten 3rd down reps.
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Anonymous Fanatic #2
608 days ago
Score 0+-
you're an idiot, newman, roddy white, stalworth are all reputable NFL'ers that will be in the league over 10 years when they are done. Vernon Davis is going to be a great TE and he is just waiting for Smith to get him the ball. the problem with blogs like these is you need to give some of these players time to develop...vernon's only been in the league 2 years and you already have him on the worst list? terrible research
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JuTMSY4Legend
608 days ago
Score 0+-
i agree with stallworth, he's been pretty solid and he's a starter on the browns...
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JuTMSY4Legend
608 days ago
Score 0+-
You could not be more wrong with the 8th overall bests...

Roy Williams may hit you hard (when legal)...if he catches you...but he rarely does...

How about Corey Simon, Donte Whitner or DeAngelo Hall..with 2 of the DBs being better than Roy Williams
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JuTMSY4Legend
608 days ago
Score 0+-
and how the hell are John McCargo, Bryant Johnson or Mark Clayton bad in almost any way...
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Anonymous Fanatic #3
608 days ago
Score 0+-
hello.....what about Ryan Leaf?
Permalink | Reply
CoreyisarealboyMajor Leaguer
608 days ago
Score 0+-
Hello....what century do you live in?
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Anonymous Fanatic #3
608 days ago
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Hello...I just know and can remember the game no matter how long ago..a bust is a bust
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False ProphetAll-Star
608 days ago
Score 0+-
yeah, Stallworth is not a bust. He's been a starting WR for his career, and was the 3rd option on the pats offense, behind a HOFer, and an amazing slot WR. Calling Erasmus James a bust is a bit harsh. The guy tore his knee. That can take two years or more to come back from. He's been good in the past, but an unfortunate injury has probably stunted his potential
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False ProphetAll-Star
608 days ago
Score 0+-
I think this does show something amazing. Look at the teams who have these picks. The Steelers, Eagles, Pats, Colts, and Chargers all have multiple, and are arguably five of the model franchises (excluding spygate) of this decade.

Then, we have the Redskins, Saints, Giants, and Packers with several top picks. These teams are not quite in the same class as the top five, but are all playoff bound franchises in all likelihood.

That's 9 teams that have won 6 of the 8 super bowls this century, all have been in the playoffs multiple years, and are legitimate contenders for next year. The Draft matters. Good teams draft well.

Look at the positions. Of the 35, we have:

  • 7 RBs
  • 4 QBs
  • 10 Dlinemen
  • 3 WRs
  • 3 DBs
  • 5 LBs
  • 2 Olineman
  • 1 TE

This screams that a good Dlineman is a great pick, and ditto a RB. Both of these positions dominate this list, and in doing so, should tell everyone that the smart move is not to go for the QB, or the WR/DBs. The front 7 for the defense are the best picks in the draft, and you cannot go wrong with a POWER RB. Not one of the RBs on the list is a speed demon. All of them dominate between the tackles, but can take it outside if necessary. Take the Laurence Maroney over the Reggie Bush. It's more likely to work out.

I think the lack of Olineman shows a different trend however. Good lineman in the draft are not hard to find. Rarely are Lineman busts, but they are not the most stand out players.

When thinking of how to draft, I agree with Parcels. If there's no one to take, take the best lineman on either side. It'll play to your favor
Permalink | Reply
Anonymous Fanatic #4
450 days ago
Score 0+-
How is Alex Smith not on the bust list ut vick is?
Permalink | Reply
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Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Shrubbery | April 25, 2008 | April 2008 | NFL Opinions | NFL draft Opinions

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