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College Football Power Rankings Week 3

by Whatifsports
created September 12, 2008, last edited February 10, 2009
1
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CFB Power Rankings

9/8/2008 Rankings By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com September 8th, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage (everyone plays everyone 100 times)

|   | Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G |

| 1. | Georgia Bulldogs | +1 | 98.0 | 49.3 | 9.8 |

| 2. | Ohio State Buckeyes | -1 | 97.1 | 43.3 | 7.6 |

| 3. | Oklahoma Sooners | - | 96.6 | 51.0 | 15.6 |

| 4. | USC Trojans | +1 | 94.6 | 42.9 | 9.5 |

| 5. | LSU Tigers | -1 | 94.6 | 43.0 | 11.1 |

| 6. | Florida Gators | - | 92.4 | 44.1 | 15.9 |

| 7. | Texas Longhorns | +1 | 89.1 | 43.1 | 19.2 |

| 8. | Missouri Tigers | +2 | 85.5 | 43.0 | 22.8 |

| 9. | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | 84.7 | 35.0 | 15.0 |

| 10. | Kansas Jayhawks | +2 | 83.0 | 39.6 | 22.3 |

| 11. | Wisconsin Badgers | - | 82.5 | 35.4 | 17.3 |

| 12. | W. Virginia Mountaineers | -5 | 82.2 | 36.9 | 19.1 |

| 13. | East Carolina Pirates | +14 | 81.9 | 36.1 | 19.3 |

| 14. | Oregon Ducks | +10 | 79.8 | 34.7 | 19.1 |

| 15. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | +1 | 78.4 | 34.3 | 20.5 |

| 16. | Penn State Nittany Lions | +9 | 77.9 | 35.4 | 21.3 |

| 17. | South Florida Bulls | +1 | 76.6 | 34.2 | 21.4 |

| 18. | Illinois Fighting Illini | -3 | 75.3 | 34.6 | 21.8 |

| 19. | WF Demon Deacons | -5 | 75.1 | 31.1 | 18.8 |

| 20. | Clemson Tigers | -7 | 75.0 | 32.5 | 19.6 |

| 21. | California Golden Bears | +12 | 75.0 | 38.8 | 25.0 |

| 22. | TCU Horned Frogs | -2 | 74.5 | 27.9 | 15.8 |

| 23. | Auburn Tigers | -6 | 74.5 | 25.5 | 13.5 |

| 24. | Arizona Wildcats | +7 | 73.0 | 33.7 | 23.4 |

| 25. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | +1 | 72.6 | 37.5 | 27.7 |

| 26. | Utah Utes | -7 | 72.2 | 29.6 | 18.7 |

| 27. | Florida State Seminoles | +11 | 71.8 | 31.2 | 21.5 |

| 28. | Tennessee Volunteers | -6 | 70.1 | 35.1 | 24.4 |

| 29. | Kentucky Wildcats | +1 | 69.9 | 26.6 | 17.5 |

| 30. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +4 | 67.5 | 31.7 | 24.0 |

| 31. | Purdue Boilermakers | -2 | 67.2 | 31.2 | 23.0 |

| 32. | Mississippi Rebels | +20 | 66.9 | 31.4 | 24.0 |

| 33. | Cincinnati Bearcats | -12 | 66.9 | 31.4 | 22.7 |

| 34. | Arizona St. Sun Devils | +9 | 66.3 | 31.9 | 23.9 |

| 35. | Fresno State Bulldogs | -7 | 66.2 | 34.5 | 27.3 |

| 36. | Brigham Young Cougars | -13 | 66.1 | 31.6 | 24.0 |

| 37. | Connecticut Huskies | +3 | 63.7 | 26.5 | 20.0 |

| 38. | Boise State Broncos | +3 | 63.3 | 28.1 | 22.7 |

| 39. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | +3 | 63.2 | 29.8 | 24.5 |

| 40. | Kansas State Wildcats | -5 | 63.2 | 32.2 | 26.8 |

| 41. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -2 | 62.3 | 30.4 | 25.5 |

| 42. | Air Force Falcons | +8 | 60.9 | 28.8 | 24.3 |

| 43. | Iowa Hawkeyes | +12 | 60.5 | 25.2 | 20.3 |

| 44. | Michigan State Spartans | +12 | 60.3 | 27.3 | 22.3 |

| 45. | UCLA Bruins | - | 60.2 | 25.4 | 20.9 |

| 46. | Indiana Hoosiers | - | 60.1 | 28.1 | 23.9 |

| 47. | GA Tech Yellow Jackets | +2 | 58.5 | 27.4 | 23.4 |

| 48. | Houston Cougars | -4 | 58.4 | 29.7 | 25.8 |

| 49. | Michigan Wolverines | -17 | 58.2 | 23.3 | 20.4 |

| 50. | UCF Knights | +3 | 58.0 | 23.8 | 21.0 |

| 51. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +11 | 56.6 | 34.5 | 31.9 |

| 52. | Nevada Wolf Pack | -4 | 55.7 | 34.4 | 32.1 |

| 53. | Colorado Buffaloes | -2 | 54.8 | 28.2 | 26.6 |

| 54. | S. Carolina Gamecocks | -18 | 54.2 | 24.0 | 22.5 |

| 55. | Virginia Tech Hokies | -18 | 53.7 | 19.3 | 17.5 |

| 56. | C. Michigan Chippewas | -2 | 53.6 | 31.2 | 29.6 |

| 57. | Ball State Cardinals | +6 | 52.8 | 30.3 | 29.6 |

| 58. | Minn. Golden Gophers | +27 | 51.9 | 31.7 | 31.3 |

| 59. | S. Miss Golden Eagles | +1 | 51.8 | 29.0 | 28.3 |

| 60. | Pittsburgh Panthers | -2 | 51.6 | 23.5 | 23.3 |

| 61. | Boston College Eagles | -4 | 49.5 | 20.8 | 21.5 |

| 62. | Ohio Bobcats | +17 | 47.7 | 23.8 | 25.4 |

| 63. | Arkansas Razorbacks | -2 | 47.1 | 25.1 | 27.0 |

| 64. | Temple Owls | - | 46.2 | 21.4 | 23.5 |

| 65. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +1 | 45.6 | 18.1 | 20.0 |

| 66. | Baylor Bears | +20 | 44.7 | 26.4 | 29.6 |

| 67. | Duke Blue Devils | +10 | 44.6 | 22.2 | 25.3 |

| 68. | Arkansas St. Indians | +16 | 44.2 | 22.9 | 26.3 |

| 69. | Louisville Cardinals | +4 | 43.6 | 27.2 | 31.2 |

| 70. | Vanderbilt Commodores | +18 | 43.2 | 21.9 | 25.1 |

| 71. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | +4 | 43.1 | 18.8 | 22.5 |

| 72. | Stanford Cardinal | +9 | 41.8 | 22.3 | 27.4 |

| 73. | Wyoming Cowboys | -8 | 41.5 | 17.2 | 22.3 |

| 74. | Texas A&M Aggies | +8 | 41.5 | 26.6 | 31.6 |

| 75. | Washington Huskies | +12 | 41.3 | 25.6 | 30.1 |

| 76. | Northwestern Wildcats | -7 | 40.9 | 24.5 | 29.3 |

| 77. | Florida Atlantic Owls | -9 | 40.7 | 26.1 | 30.6 |

| 78. | Buffalo Bulls | -7 | 39.3 | 26.2 | 31.1 |

| 79. | Bowling Green Falcons | -7 | 38.9 | 22.8 | 29.1 |

| 80. | Navy Midshipmen | -13 | 36.7 | 23.1 | 29.5 |

| 81. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | -7 | 36.6 | 16.5 | 23.1 |

| 82. | New Mexico Lobos | -12 | 36.6 | 16.6 | 23.6 |

| 83. | Oregon State Beavers | -5 | 36.3 | 19.3 | 26.1 |

| 84. | Maryland Terrapins | -25 | 36.1 | 18.9 | 26.2 |

| 85. | Rice Owls | -9 | 36.0 | 24.6 | 31.1 |

| 86. | Virginia Cavaliers | -6 | 35.4 | 15.4 | 23.1 |

| 87. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -40 | 34.0 | 15.6 | 23.8 |

| 88. | Troy Trojans | +1 | 33.8 | 18.0 | 27.3 |

| 89. | LA-Monroe Warhawks | +1 | 33.5 | 22.8 | 31.3 |

| 90. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +3 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 31.2 |

| 91. | W. Michigan Broncos | -8 | 32.9 | 20.7 | 29.2 |

| 92. | Marshall Thundering Herd | +2 | 32.0 | 23.5 | 32.3 |

| 93. | Toledo Rockets | +5 | 25.9 | 21.9 | 35.2 |

| 94. | Iowa State Cyclones | +11 | 25.2 | 17.5 | 29.8 |

| 95. | New Mexico State Aggies | - | 25.2 | 20.8 | 33.1 |

| 96. | UNLV Rebels | -5 | 25.0 | 21.6 | 33.8 |

| 97. | Mid Tenn Blue Raiders | +16 | 25.0 | 17.3 | 30.6 |

| 98. | Hawaii Warriors | -2 | 24.7 | 17.1 | 29.7 |

| 99. | LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns | +2 | 23.9 | 21.2 | 35.4 |

| 100. | Memphis Tigers | -8 | 23.8 | 20.0 | 32.9 |

| 101. | UTEP Miners | +1 | 22.2 | 18.7 | 33.3 |

| 102. | SMU Mustangs | -3 | 22.1 | 20.3 | 34.7 |

| 103. | Akron Zips | +5 | 21.7 | 17.6 | 31.3 |

| 104. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | -7 | 21.4 | 14.6 | 29.1 |

| 105. | Kent St. Golden Flashes | +5 | 20.6 | 15.7 | 31.4 |

| 106. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | -2 | 20.2 | 15.1 | 31.8 |

| 107. | Tulane Green Wave | - | 19.6 | 18.3 | 34.0 |

| 108. | Colorado St. Rams | -8 | 19.4 | 16.2 | 32.7 |

| 109. | Idaho Vandals | - | 18.8 | 17.2 | 33.3 |

| 110. | E. Michigan Eagles | -4 | 16.3 | 15.2 | 33.6 |

| 111. | NC St. Wolfpack | +1 | 16.3 | 13.4 | 32.1 |

| 112. | UAB Blazers | -1 | 15.6 | 14.4 | 33.3 |

| 113. | San Jose State Spartans | +2 | 15.6 | 12.4 | 31.5 |

| 114. | Washington St. Cougars | -11 | 15.1 | 12.7 | 32.4 |

| 115. | San Diego State Aztecs | +2 | 11.3 | 13.2 | 34.6 |

| 116. | Syracuse Orange | -2 | 10.4 | 12.5 | 36.2 |

| 117. | Utah State Aggies | -1 | 8.7 | 11.8 | 38.4 |

| 118. | Fla. Int. Golden Panthers | +1 | 6.3 | 9.8 | 38.4 |

| 119. | Army Black Knights | +1 | 5.8 | 7.7 | 35.9 |

| 120. | North Texas Mean Green | -2 | 5.6 | 11.2 | 41.8 |

We hope that you enjoy our Beyond the Boxscore feature. As with all of our games, we are willing to listen to feedback and improve this page and content to make it as interesting and user-friendly as possible. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, please contact Customer Support. Thanks!

CFB Power Rankings

9/8/2008 Rankings By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com September 8th, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage (everyone plays everyone 100 times)

|   | Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | | 1. | Georgia Bulldogs | +1 | 98.0 | 49.3 | 9.8 | | 2. | Ohio State Buckeyes | -1 | 97.1 | 43.3 | 7.6 | | 3. | Oklahoma Sooners | - | 96.6 | 51.0 | 15.6 | | 4. | USC Trojans | +1 | 94.6 | 42.9 | 9.5 | | 5. | LSU Tigers | -1 | 94.6 | 43.0 | 11.1 | | 6. | Florida Gators | - | 92.4 | 44.1 | 15.9 | | 7. | Texas Longhorns | +1 | 89.1 | 43.1 | 19.2 | | 8. | Missouri Tigers | +2 | 85.5 | 43.0 | 22.8 | | 9. | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | 84.7 | 35.0 | 15.0 | | 10. | Kansas Jayhawks | +2 | 83.0 | 39.6 | 22.3 | | 11. | Wisconsin Badgers | - | 82.5 | 35.4 | 17.3 | | 12. | W. Virginia Mountaineers | -5 | 82.2 | 36.9 | 19.1 | | 13. | East Carolina Pirates | +14 | 81.9 | 36.1 | 19.3 | | 14. | Oregon Ducks | +10 | 79.8 | 34.7 | 19.1 | | 15. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | +1 | 78.4 | 34.3 | 20.5 | | 16. | Penn State Nittany Lions | +9 | 77.9 | 35.4 | 21.3 | | 17. | South Florida Bulls | +1 | 76.6 | 34.2 | 21.4 | | 18. | Illinois Fighting Illini | -3 | 75.3 | 34.6 | 21.8 | | 19. | WF Demon Deacons | -5 | 75.1 | 31.1 | 18.8 | | 20. | Clemson Tigers | -7 | 75.0 | 32.5 | 19.6 | |   | Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | | 21. | California Golden Bears | +12 | 75.0 | 38.8 | 25.0 | | 22. | TCU Horned Frogs | -2 | 74.5 | 27.9 | 15.8 | | 23. | Auburn Tigers | -6 | 74.5 | 25.5 | 13.5 | | 24. | Arizona Wildcats | +7 | 73.0 | 33.7 | 23.4 | | 25. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | +1 | 72.6 | 37.5 | 27.7 | | 26. | Utah Utes | -7 | 72.2 | 29.6 | 18.7 | | 27. | Florida State Seminoles | +11 | 71.8 | 31.2 | 21.5 | | 28. | Tennessee Volunteers | -6 | 70.1 | 35.1 | 24.4 | | 29. | Kentucky Wildcats | +1 | 69.9 | 26.6 | 17.5 | | 30. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +4 | 67.5 | 31.7 | 24.0 | | 31. | Purdue Boilermakers | -2 | 67.2 | 31.2 | 23.0 | | 32. | Mississippi Rebels | +20 | 66.9 | 31.4 | 24.0 | | 33. | Cincinnati Bearcats | -12 | 66.9 | 31.4 | 22.7 | | 34. | Arizona St. Sun Devils | +9 | 66.3 | 31.9 | 23.9 | | 35. | Fresno State Bulldogs | -7 | 66.2 | 34.5 | 27.3 | | 36. | Brigham Young Cougars | -13 | 66.1 | 31.6 | 24.0 | | 37. | Connecticut Huskies | +3 | 63.7 | 26.5 | 20.0 | | 38. | Boise State Broncos | +3 | 63.3 | 28.1 | 22.7 | | 39. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | +3 | 63.2 | 29.8 | 24.5 | | 40. | Kansas State Wildcats | -5 | 63.2 | 32.2 | 26.8 | |   | Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | | 41. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -2 | 62.3 | 30.4 | 25.5 | | 42. | Air Force Falcons | +8 | 60.9 | 28.8 | 24.3 | | 43. | Iowa Hawkeyes | +12 | 60.5 | 25.2 | 20.3 | | 44. | Michigan State Spartans | +12 | 60.3 | 27.3 | 22.3 | | 45. | UCLA Bruins | - | 60.2 | 25.4 | 20.9 | | 46. | Indiana Hoosiers | - | 60.1 | 28.1 | 23.9 | | 47. | GA Tech Yellow Jackets | +2 | 58.5 | 27.4 | 23.4 | | 48. | Houston Cougars | -4 | 58.4 | 29.7 | 25.8 | | 49. | Michigan Wolverines | -17 | 58.2 | 23.3 | 20.4 | | 50. | UCF Knights | +3 | 58.0 | 23.8 | 21.0 | | 51. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +11 | 56.6 | 34.5 | 31.9 | | 52. | Nevada Wolf Pack | -4 | 55.7 | 34.4 | 32.1 | | 53. | Colorado Buffaloes | -2 | 54.8 | 28.2 | 26.6 | | 54. | S. Carolina Gamecocks | -18 | 54.2 | 24.0 | 22.5 | | 55. | Virginia Tech Hokies | -18 | 53.7 | 19.3 | 17.5 | | 56. | C. Michigan Chippewas | -2 | 53.6 | 31.2 | 29.6 | | 57. | Ball State Cardinals | +6 | 52.8 | 30.3 | 29.6 | | 58. | Minn. Golden Gophers | +27 | 51.9 | 31.7 | 31.3 | | 59. | S. Miss Golden Eagles | +1 | 51.8 | 29.0 | 28.3 | | 60. | Pittsburgh Panthers | -2 | 51.6 | 23.5 | 23.3 | |   | Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | | 61. | Boston College Eagles | -4 | 49.5 | 20.8 | 21.5 | | 62. | Ohio Bobcats | +17 | 47.7 | 23.8 | 25.4 | | 63. | Arkansas Razorbacks | -2 | 47.1 | 25.1 | 27.0 | | 64. | Temple Owls | - | 46.2 | 21.4 | 23.5 | | 65. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +1 | 45.6 | 18.1 | 20.0 | | 66. | Baylor Bears | +20 | 44.7 | 26.4 | 29.6 | | 67. | Duke Blue Devils | +10 | 44.6 | 22.2 | 25.3 | | 68. | Arkansas St. Indians | +16 | 44.2 | 22.9 | 26.3 | | 69. | Louisville Cardinals | +4 | 43.6 | 27.2 | 31.2 | | 70. | Vanderbilt Commodores | +18 | 43.2 | 21.9 | 25.1 | | 71. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | +4 | 43.1 | 18.8 | 22.5 | | 72. | Stanford Cardinal | +9 | 41.8 | 22.3 | 27.4 | | 73. | Wyoming Cowboys | -8 | 41.5 | 17.2 | 22.3 | | 74. | Texas A&M Aggies | +8 | 41.5 | 26.6 | 31.6 | | 75. | Washington Huskies | +12 | 41.3 | 25.6 | 30.1 | | 76. | Northwestern Wildcats | -7 | 40.9 | 24.5 | 29.3 | | 77. | Florida Atlantic Owls | -9 | 40.7 | 26.1 | 30.6 | | 78. | Buffalo Bulls | -7 | 39.3 | 26.2 | 31.1 | | 79. | Bowling Green Falcons | -7 | 38.9 | 22.8 | 29.1 | | 80. | Navy Midshipmen | -13 | 36.7 | 23.1 | 29.5 | |   | Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | | 81. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | -7 | 36.6 | 16.5 | 23.1 | | 82. | New Mexico Lobos | -12 | 36.6 | 16.6 | 23.6 | | 83. | Oregon State Beavers | -5 | 36.3 | 19.3 | 26.1 | | 84. | Maryland Terrapins | -25 | 36.1 | 18.9 | 26.2 | | 85. | Rice Owls | -9 | 36.0 | 24.6 | 31.1 | | 86. | Virginia Cavaliers | -6 | 35.4 | 15.4 | 23.1 | | 87. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -40 | 34.0 | 15.6 | 23.8 | | 88. | Troy Trojans | +1 | 33.8 | 18.0 | 27.3 | | 89. | LA-Monroe Warhawks | +1 | 33.5 | 22.8 | 31.3 | | 90. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +3 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 31.2 | | 91. | W. Michigan Broncos | -8 | 32.9 | 20.7 | 29.2 | | 92. | Marshall Thundering Herd | +2 | 32.0 | 23.5 | 32.3 | | 93. | Toledo Rockets | +5 | 25.9 | 21.9 | 35.2 | | 94. | Iowa State Cyclones | +11 | 25.2 | 17.5 | 29.8 | | 95. | New Mexico State Aggies | - | 25.2 | 20.8 | 33.1 | | 96. | UNLV Rebels | -5 | 25.0 | 21.6 | 33.8 | | 97. | Mid Tenn Blue Raiders | +16 | 25.0 | 17.3 | 30.6 | | 98. | Hawaii Warriors | -2 | 24.7 | 17.1 | 29.7 | | 99. | LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns | +2 | 23.9 | 21.2 | 35.4 | | 100. | Memphis Tigers | -8 | 23.8 | 20.0 | 32.9 | |   | Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | | 101. | UTEP Miners | +1 | 22.2 | 18.7 | 33.3 | | 102. | SMU Mustangs | -3 | 22.1 | 20.3 | 34.7 | | 103. | Akron Zips | +5 | 21.7 | 17.6 | 31.3 | | 104. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | -7 | 21.4 | 14.6 | 29.1 | | 105. | Kent St. Golden Flashes | +5 | 20.6 | 15.7 | 31.4 | | 106. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | -2 | 20.2 | 15.1 | 31.8 | | 107. | Tulane Green Wave | - | 19.6 | 18.3 | 34.0 | | 108. | Colorado St. Rams | -8 | 19.4 | 16.2 | 32.7 | | 109. | Idaho Vandals | - | 18.8 | 17.2 | 33.3 | | 110. | E. Michigan Eagles | -4 | 16.3 | 15.2 | 33.6 | | 111. | NC St. Wolfpack | +1 | 16.3 | 13.4 | 32.1 | | 112. | UAB Blazers | -1 | 15.6 | 14.4 | 33.3 | | 113. | San Jose State Spartans | +2 | 15.6 | 12.4 | 31.5 | | 114. | Washington St. Cougars | -11 | 15.1 | 12.7 | 32.4 | | 115. | San Diego State Aztecs | +2 | 11.3 | 13.2 | 34.6 | | 116. | Syracuse Orange | -2 | 10.4 | 12.5 | 36.2 | | 117. | Utah State Aggies | -1 | 8.7 | 11.8 | 38.4 | | 118. | Fla. Int. Golden Panthers | +1 | 6.3 | 9.8 | 38.4 | | 119. | Army Black Knights | +1 | 5.8 | 7.7 | 35.9 | | 120. | North Texas Mean Green | -2 | 5.6 | 11.2 | 41.8 |

We hope that you enjoy our Beyond the Boxscore feature. As with all of our games, we are willing to listen to feedback and improve this page and content to make it as interesting and user-friendly as possible. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, please contact Customer Support. Thanks!


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Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Whatifsports | September 12, 2008 | September 2008

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