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Leeweihan4687

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A Review of Baseball in 2008

by Leeweihan4687
created October 12, 2008, last edited February 10, 2009
12
Vote

As the season's winding down, the "top" four teams are battling it out for spots in the World Series. It's been a topsy-turvy year in baseball, with teams expected to be awful surprising many, and teams thought to be competitive finishing at the bottom.  A run-through by division:

We all expected the Boston Red Sox to make the playoffs, just not in the way they did so. If anything, the Red Sox would win the division, the New York Yankees somehow pull off second, and the Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays fighting for third. The Yankees finally missed the playoffs, due to the Rays having a year not many thought possible. Who would have thought that Tampa Bay would be hosting a playoff series this year, let alone an ALCS? Granted, they are a good team who has always been full of young talent, and they were bound to start rising if they kept their current players, but not a lot of people expected such a quick turnaround from last year's 66-96 season.

We also expected two teams that completely fell off the radar by mid-season to be competing for the top spots in the AL Central as well. The Cleveland Indians, with their ALCS appearance last year, was expected to contend not only for the playoffs, but a World Series berth this year, and the Detroit Tigers were as well, with arguably the "best lineup" in baseball. Of course, both teams finished way out of first place, to the Chicago White Sox and the Minnesota Twins, who last year finished 24 and 17 games behind Cleveland respectively. Heck, even the Kansas City Royals fared better than the Tigers. That's how you throw away money.

The Los Angeles Angels had a great season, though many probably expected a better finish rather than losing in the ALDS to the Wild Card team, especially with their pitching staff. The Seattle Mariners not surprisingly brought up the rear, even though on paper at the beginning of the year they were supposed to be much better than they ended up being. The Oakland Athletics with their weird selling-off of assets probably finished right around where they were expected to, as did the Texas Rangers. Looking at the standings, it could possibly be inferred the weak AL West did not hinder the Angels from getting the record that they did.

Once again, the New York Mets could not hold on down the stretch, this time for the Wild Card spot. The Philadelphia Phillies won, as many expected, and the Florida Marlins surprised many by finishing as well as they did record-wise, though third place was probably where they were predicted to be at the beginning of the year. Was anybody else puzzled at how poorly the Atlanta Braves performed? Losing John Smoltz did not help much, nor did a slumping Jeff Francoeur and others, but losing 90 games, after last season's 84-78 finish?

The NL Central really had their coming-out party this season, with four of six teams not only finishing above .500, but at least ten games above as well.  The Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers made the playoffs as expected, albeit with the Brewers faltering along the way and firing manager Ned Yost, and both astonishingly not being competitive in the playoffs, especially Chicago with eight all-stars on the team this year. The Houston Astros and the St. Louis Cardinals, both expected to not be competitive this year, exceeded everybody's expectations and remained in the playoff hunt until well into September, with the Cardinals leading the Wild Card even into July, when many thought they would be out of it already, perhaps even behind the sixth-place Pittsburgh Pirates.

And there's the NL West, arguably the weakest division in baseball.  The Arizona Diamondbacks had a down season, as compared to last year, and the Colorado Rockies did not justify winning last year's NL pennant by finishing 74-88. The San Diego Padres also surprisingly fared poorly, finishing last, after losing out on the Wild Card last year in a one-game playoff. And the Los Angeles Dodgers came out of practically nowhere, until the middle of August, to win the division and now be playing in the NLCS. The acquisitions of both Casey Blake and Manny Ramirez obviously did wonders to the team, and having Joe Torre at the helm did not hurt.  In fact, it probably solidified Joe Torre's legacy, and quieted his critics who said that he only won because of his loaded Yankees teams.

Who will win eventually?  Here's a guess:

Red Sox over Rays 4-2

Phillies over Dodgers 4-2

And after 86 years of futility, the Red Sox win their third championship in five years over Philadelphia 4-1.

Have fun watching.  Can somebody please tell MLB to return the LCS to over-the-air networks?


Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
KelsdadAll-Star
408 days ago
Score 1+-
The Mariners won 88 games last season, and essentially handed the Angels the title with a poor final two weeks of the season. Heading into this year, with the addition of Eric Bedard, they were the consensus pick for the West title. The Mariners final place in the season was "not surprisingly", it was shocking.
Permalink | Reply
Davis21wylieMVP
407 days ago
Score 4+-
Yeah, I mean, the Mariners sucking? Who could have seen that coming?
Permalink
KelsdadAll-Star
407 days ago
Score 2+-
They probably wouldn't have sucked so bad if Eric Bedard ended up being the team MVP, huh, Davis?
Permalink | Reply
Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
407 days ago
Score 2+-
The Braves, remind him about the Braves!!! Hit him in the Braves!!! =)
Permalink
Davis21wylieMVP
407 days ago
Score 3+-
The Braves? The Padres were a far more embarrassing pick (Mets too, come to think of it -- World Series my ass)...
Permalink
Anonymous Fanatic #1
407 days ago
Score 1+-
Or if Vidro and Sexson and others did not get so many at-bats.
Permalink
Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
407 days ago
Score 1+-
Gee... Erik Bedard sucked, The Rays won the AL East and are in ALCS, the Yankees missed the playoffs and the Braves were putrid... WHO could have seen that coming???
Permalink | Reply
JuTMSY4Legend
407 days ago
Score 3+-
Well, as Steve Phillips always says (I mean, he must say this right), predictions only count when you get them right... This guy build the 2000 Mets after all!
Permalink | Reply
Tmil42AAA-er
407 days ago
Score 3+-
When you manage to get Timo Perez as your starting right fielder, you are beyond reproach.
Permalink
Anonymous Fanatic #1
407 days ago
Score 3+-
Nearly every sabermetric-minded writer out there predicted the Mariners would collapse, from BP to the guys over at U.S.S. Mariner. After all, did you look at their pre-season lineup, featuring several hitters allergic to getting on base.

Seriously, Jose Vidro was their DH, and, quite embarassingly, their cleanup hitter on occassion. Richie Sexon, well, forgot how to hit, and continued to make Bill Bavasi look foolish for throwing so much money at him.

You have to score runs, you know. And Johjima sucks as well. Seriously, what a poorly run organization.

If Erik Bedard had gone 24-0 with a 1.66 ERA and as many strikeouts as he had with Baltimore in 07, they still would have been terrible. His poor performance could not mask their weankesses in nearly every other aspect of the game.

Carlos Silva? Let's give that guy 48 mil even though he has never struck out more than 100 dudes in a season. Right. The '07 Mariners were outscored by like 30 runs, meaning they were luckier than good. And, the luck ran out, combined with a tremendous lack of talent.

Seriously, their rotation consisted of one, perhaps two good pitchers. Any team with Washburn, Silva and Batista in its staff is never, ever, ever going to be good at winning. And Bavasi is finally gone. He proved that 100 mil does not mean anything when you have stupid people running the show. They should have seen 07 for what it was--a fluke--and took their lumps, rebuilding for the future when they could actually give the Angels a serious run. That was NEVER going to happen in 2008, no matter what the old-school writers try to say. In fact, the Vegas Watch blog evaluated the predictions of nearly every famous baseball journalist.

http://ussma...ignore-espn/

From USS Mariner:

"The Vegas Watch blog evaluated the preseason predictions of a lot of famous people, plus PECOTA’s projection system. And then Tom Tango updated the chart to include the default projection of every team going 81-81. Here’s the revised list (number to the right is RMSE)

9.6 PECOTA 10.2 Neyer 10.5 Law 10.6 Perfectly Competitive Balanced (all teams predicted at 81-81) 10.8 Vegas 11.1 Passan 11.3 Sheehan 11.4 Brown 11.7 Kurkijan 12.1 Stark 12.1 Henson 12.4 Phillips 13.0 Olney

PECOTA did the best, and then two PECOTA-ish writers (Neyer and Law) also beat the default projection. Everyone else did worse.

Let me repeat - everyone else did worse than predicting all 30 teams to go 81-81. If you knew absolutely nothing about baseball, didn’t know the rules, had never heard of any players, but you had a basic understanding of probability, you would have done better at predicting the 2008 MLB season than pretty much all of the experts on TV.

Yep.

Keep this in mind the next time some professional baseball writer calls you an arrogant bastard for daring to ignore their insights and opinions that stem from years of experience. They suck at turning their experience into actual knowledge. In fact, they suck at it so badly that they can actively take away knowledge. Listening to Steve Phillips and giving him credit for knowing something can actually make you know less about baseball than if you stuck your fingers in your ears and hummed every time he came on TV. And he used to run a baseball team."


And the fact that Law, PECOTA and Neyer were closer is no coincidence, as intelligence is more important than experience every day of the week.
Permalink | Reply
KelsdadAll-Star
407 days ago
Score 1+-
How did you do?
Permalink | Reply
Behbigben15All-Star
406 days ago
Score 0+-
The Rays killed today, 9-1. They have the momentum and I think will ride the wave the rest of the way to the world series now. The Sox looked horrible.
Permalink | Reply
SyonvermaWaterboy
405 days ago
Score 0+-
phils, 100%
Permalink | Reply
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Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Leeweihan4687 | October 12, 2008 | October 2008 | MLB Opinions | Boston Red Sox Opinions | New York Yankees Opinions | Tampa Bay Rays Opinions | Toronto Blue Jays Opinions | Chicago White Sox Opinions | Cleveland Indians Opinions | Detroit Tigers Opinions | Kansas City Royals Opinions | Minnesota Twins Opinions | Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Opinions | Oakland Athletics Opinions | Seattle Mariners Opinions | Texas Rangers Opinions | Atlanta Braves Opinions | Florida Marlins Opinions | New York Mets Opinions | Philadelphia Phillies Opinions | Chicago Cubs Opinions | Houston Astros Opinions | Milwaukee Brewers Opinions | Pittsburgh Pirates Opinions | St. Louis Cardinals Opinions | Arizona Diamondbacks Opinions | Los Angeles Dodgers Opinions | Colorado Rockies Opinions | San Diego Padres Opinions | John Smoltz Opinions | Jeff Francoeur Opinions | Ned Yost Opinions | Manny Ramirez Opinions | Casey Blake Opinions | Joe Torre Opinions

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