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Davis21wylie
I'm a 23-year-old Georgia Tech grad who lives and dies with the Yellow Jackets, Red Sox, Patriots, and Celtics. I'll also catch the odd Braves game now and then.

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2008 NFL Capsules: Introduction

by Davis21wylie
created July 03, 2008, last edited February 10, 2009
28
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Image:Nflcapsules08_banner.jpg

"Yeahh, I'm gonna need you to go ahead and come in on Sundays from now on, mmkay?"
"Yeahh, I'm gonna need you to go ahead and come in on Sundays from now on, mmkay?"

Make "Space" For The NFL

Hmm, how best to introduce the NFL for the 2008 season? Between the 16-0 Patriots, the underdog Giants, Brett Favre's record-breaking final season, "SpyGate," and Michael Vick's incarceration, the 2007 campaign was a season unlike any other. So how could 2008 possibly top those storylines? Well, it won't be easy, but there are definitely more than a few juicy stories to work with going into the '08 season. And what better way to bring them to you than, in true Bill Simmons style, to hand out quotes from one of my favorite movies of all time to each significant story of the upcoming season. Because, even if you're an NFL player, work... well, work still sucks.

11. "That's the worst idea I've ever heard in my life, Tom."
"Yes, this is horrible, this idea."

To the Bears, for staging an "open competition" for their starting quarterback job... between Rex Grossman and Kyle Orton. Because, hey, it's not like they could do any better, and it's not like they're a real QB away from being a legit title contender, and it's not like the window for their dominant D is rapidly closing or anything... But nah, between Grossman and Orton they're pretty much set behind center, huh?

10. "Why don't you just call me when you grow up! Oh, wait, you know what, that's probably never gonna happen, so just don't call me, OK?"

To Matt Leinart, who made more offseason headlines for photographs of some sophomoric antics at a party than for the status of his collarbone, or his ongoing position battle against Kurt Warner. Leinart received massive amounts of criticism for the photos, but pundits really ought to be worried about his play, and that of fellow Class of 2006 QB Vince Young... Touted as the two best quarterback prospects in the draft, both have been outplayed fairly handily by Jay Cutler, the 3rd QB taken that season. Now it's safe to say that both Young and Leinart face make-or-break seasons in 2008 -- unless they "grow up" on the field, they may never reach the lofty potential that seemed so apparent when they faced off in the 2006 Rose Bowl.

9. "Good luck with your layoffs, all right? I hope your firings go really well."

To all of the coaches starting to feel the heat this season:

  • San Francisco's Mike Nolan - SF has shown an incredible amount of patience with Nolan so far, but it's quickly running out after another 5-11 campaign that represented a step backwards. If new OC Mike Martz can't fix what was the league's worst offense a year ago (see #8), Nolan will be unemployed before 2008 is up.
  • Dallas' Wade Phillips - It's not often that a coach finds himself on the hot seat following a 13-3 season. Then again, few jobs carry as much pressure as the Cowboys gig, where Jerry Jones has situated Jason Garrett right over Phillips' shoulder, a constant reminder that the owner won't tolerate a 12th straight season without a playoff win.
  • Oakland's Lane Kiffin - See #6.
  • Cincinnati's Marvin Lewis - The Bengals were once the toast of football, a team definitely on the rise, full of exciting weapons. Now, they're more likely to get busted for possession of a concealed weapon. Cincinnati made big progress in Lewis' first 3 seasons, but somewhere along the way he lost control over his players, allowed his defense to become a laughingstock (ironic, since Lewis was DC for one of the greatest defenses ever), and engaged in a toxic feud with star WR Chad Johnson (see #3). If Lewis can't turn things around in 2008, it's hard to see Cincy retaining his services much longer.
  • St. Louis' Scott Linehan - Tabbed as the solution to the Rams' problems at the end of the Mike Martz era, Linehan has done little in St. Louis except alienate his veterans and pile up losses. Last year's 3-13 disaster was written off as the byproduct of a freak string of injuries to key players, but if Linehan and the Rams don't perform in 2008, the odds are good that St. Louis will be hunting for a new coach over the offseason.
  • The Jets' Eric Mangini - Once dubbed the "Mangenius" for his shrewd coaching acumen, Mangini now finds himself on the hot seat after a disappointing 4-12 campaign in which he made more headlines for ratting out his former boss than his team did on the field (and one in which the rival New York Giants won the Super Bowl). Over the offseason, Mangini and Jets GM Mike Tannenbaum broke the bank in an effort to improve the roster -- and as you can imagine, if it doesn't work out, it could seriously impact Mangini's future with the club.
  • Carolina's John Fox - Fox did a good job of turning around the Panthers upon his hiring in 2002, culminating in a trip to Super Bowl XXXVIII. However, it's been mostly downhill since then for Carolina, who have made it back to the playoffs only once (losing to the Seahawks in the 2005 NFCCG) despite being initially hailed as one of the NFC's top teams. If the Panthers go another season without a playoff berth, it's very likely that Fox won't be around to coach them in 2009.
  • San Diego's Norv Turner - Think Turner's job is safe because he guided the Bolts to the AFCCG? Think again; this is a franchise that infamously canned Marty Schottenheimer after a 14-2 season. Norv's not in anywhere near as much hot water as some of the other names here, but make no mistake, San Diego truly believes that with their talent, nothing less than a Super Bowl will be acceptable in 2008. If Turner screws up their chances in the playoffs, where the current roster has come close to glory but has never quite gotten over the hump, he could be on his way out after only 2 seasons at the helm.

8. "Eight bosses, Bob. So that means that when I make a mistake, I have eight different people coming by to tell me about it."

To Alex Smith, who's gone through almost that many offensive coordinators during his largely disappointing three-year NFL career. Now he'll have to deal with Mike Martz, the 49ers' sixth OC in six seasons and a coach infamous for his arcane offensive schemes. There's no doubt that Smith showed promise while working with then-OC Norv Turner during his second year, but there's also no question that he regressed badly last season under the "guidance" of Jim Hostler. On the plus side, Martz will be running a spread offense that at least bears some resemblance to the one Smith ran when he starred at the University of Utah, but one has to wonder if he can handle the intricacies of the Martz system -- and if the constant coaching turnover has permanently ruined Smith as a prospect. One thing's for sure: if he can't succeed under Martz, he probably won't be given another crack at starting in the NFL anytime soon.

7. "So that means that every single day that you see me, that's on the worst day of my life."
"What about today? Is today the worst day of your life?"
"Yeah."
"Wow, that's messed up."

To Lane Kiffin, who quickly found out last season that Al Davis can and will make your life a living hell. Kiffin was apparently so enthusiastic about being hired as HC last year that he failed to get Davis to outline his responsibilities in writing. Big mistake. Davis soon soured on Kiffin as a coach, and the aging owner has taken on most of the key personnel decisions (including stocking the coaching staff) himself. After Kiffin tried to fire DC Rob Ryan, Davis reportedly cut Kiffin completely out of the loop, even banning him from offseason planning meetings in an effort to break his spirit and force him to sign a letter of resignation. Naturally, Kiffin refused, knowing that Davis would rather keep an unhappy coach on than fire him and pay the remainder of his contract. So now, going into his second year as the Raiders' coach, Kiffin's "truce" with Davis is sure to be short-lived. Davis desperately wants to win again before he dies, and as a result he can't help but meddle with the Raiders in every conceivable way. And as far as Kiffin goes, that means the young coach will eventually be out of Oakland, one way or another.

6. "I have people skills! I am good at dealing with people! Can't you understand that? What the hell is wrong with you people?"

To Bill Belichick, master of the charismatic post-game press conference. It will be interesting to see how Belichick and the Patriots perform following the epic 2007 season -- whether the highs of the 18-0 start and the crushing disappointment of the Super Bowl have taken their toll on the team. The similarities between the 2007 Patriots and the 2001 Rams (the team New England knocked off to start their dynasty in the first place) have been duly noted; that Rams team, as you may remember, completely collapsed in the wake of being upset in the Super Bowl. However, one gets the feeling that no team led by Belichick would ever succumb to that same fate. The Patriots' D suffered big personnel losses, but the club retained Randy Moss, which all but guarantees them the best offense in the NFL for a second straight year. No, New England isn't going 16-0 again, but it's hard to see them slipping much, especially given that they will have the league's easiest schedule in 2008.

5. "Um, the 7-Eleven, right? You take a penny from the tray..."
"From the crippled children?"
"No, that's the jar. I'm talking about the tray, the pennies for everybody. Well, those are whole pennies. I am just talking about fractions of a penny here, okay? But we do it from a much bigger tray and we do it a couple of million times. So what's wrong with that?"

To Roger Goodell and Gene Upshaw, who have spent the past few seasons taking proverbial pennies from each other, sniping back and forth about various labor issues. Well, from now on things are going to get a lot more serious on that front, because in May the owners unanimously opted out of the league's CBA for the 2011 season. Technically, this means that unless an agreement can be hammered out in the meantime, 2009 will be the final year with a salary cap, and 2010 could be the last year we see NFL football before the owners initiate a lockout. In practical terms, things will probably never go that far, but then again, we never thought they'd go that far in hockey, basketball, or baseball. The fact that Goodell and Upshaw continue to take subtle (and not-so-subtle) shots at each other in the media regarding matters like the rookie salary structure isn't helping, either. In the end, we just have to hope they reach an agreement before a labor stoppage, but we also have to realize that there's always the possibility of a strike or lockout when this much money is involved.

4. "This isn't so bad, huh? Makin' bucks, gettin' exercise, workin' outside..."
"Fackin' A, man."

To Brett Favre, who managed to exude a childlike love for playing the game up until the very end of his storied career. In fact, it's almost like he was enjoying the game too much... So much so that rumors of another Favre return continue to circulate well into July. Will Brett come back, even after his big retirement party last winter (where you just know that the ratio of people to cake was too big)? Will the franchise still welcome him with open arms if he decides to go another year? And what will this news do to Aaron Rodgers' psyche? Maybe Favre should just stay retired, but who could say no to makin' bucks, gettin' excercise, and workin' outside for one more season?

3. "Yeah, I just stare at my desk, but it looks like I'm working. I do that for probably another hour after lunch, too. I'd say in a given week I probably only do about fifteen minutes of real, actual, work."

To Chad Johnson, who showed up for Bengals camp... in body if not in spirit. Johnson's feud with Cincinnati (and specifically coach Marvin Lewis) is sure to be one of the key storylines of the '08 season, if not simply for the fact that this is one of the 3 or so most talented WRs in the NFL, in his prime, and he made himself very available to other teams over the offseason -- teams like Washington, who reportedly offered their 2008 No. 1 and a 2009 conditional 3rd-rounder for Ocho Cinco. Yet Cincinnati simply wouldn't deal him, and Johnson has come to realize that he essentially has no choice but to play for the Bengals in 2008 (if he wants to get paid, that is). Make no mistake, though -- this isn't over. Johnson is playing out the string on his contract, but the factors that made him so unhappy in the first place still exist, so don't expect Johnson to suddenly be content with his situation just because he realizes how much coin he stood to lose by sitting out. One way or another, this issue will resurface multiple times during the season.

2. "Yeah, well at least your name isn't Michael Bolton."
"You know, there's nothing wrong with that name."
"There was nothing wrong with it... until I was about 12 years old and that no-talent assclown became famous and started winning Grammys."
"Hmm... well why don't you just go by Mike instead of Michael?"
"No way. Why should I change? He's the one who sucks."

To Pacman -- er, Adam Jones, who decided to change back to his given name upon joining the Dallas Cowboys, presumably to sever all ties with the rather impressive criminal image he built over the first 3 years of his pro career. But what are the chances that the new, improved Adam Jones stays out of trouble and helps Dallas win? The early returns have been good, and he certainly seems eager to shed the "Pacman" persona. But in the history of professional sports, has a team ever been laden with more potential chemistry problems than the 2008 Dallas Cowboys? We thought the addition of Terrell Owens two years ago was going to be a chemistry-killer... Now you've got Jones, T.O., Tony Romo (a nice guy by all accounts, but no stranger to paparazzi-related distractions), Tank Johnson (rap sheet here), plus an ongoing feud between SS Roy Williams and CB Terence Newman? And the fact that meddlesome Jerry Jones could replace Wade Phillips with Jason Garrett as coach at any moment? This can't be a real football team. This is a team I assemble in Madden. And in that game, players don't get involved in nightclub shootings. In other words, either the '08 Cowboys win the Super Bowl, or they're the most dysfunctional team ever assembled. I don't see a whole lot of space in between.

1. "What am I gonna do with 40 subscriptions to Vibe?"

To Eli Manning and the New York Giants, who this offseason also found themselves with a bunch of things they were completely unprepared for. Once the New York press' personal whipping boy (and by "once", we mean "up until Week 17 of the 2007 season"), Manning played better than ever in the playoffs, and the Giants rode a wave of unprecedented road success to a Super Bowl victory over the 18-0 New England Patriots. Following the big win (considered to be one of the biggest upsets in the history of sports), Manning was suddenly a media darling, one of the biggest sports stars in a town that takes its athletic icons very seriously. His team found itself the toast of New York as well, and now the G-Men (10-6 during the regular season) are the Champs, the team everyone guns for. All of which begs the question: what are the Giants going to do now that they're the favorites, the defending Super Bowl champions? Few times in NFL history has a team turned things around for so crucial a 5-game stretch as the Giants did at the end of 2007, but now they have the unenviable task of proving that it wasn't a fluke. And make no mistake, there are questions surrounding this team... Is Manning the guy who led the Super Bowl-winning drive, or the guy who tied for the NFL lead in interceptions? Is Tom Coughlin the coach who led the greatest underdog team in recent NFL memory to a ring, or the coach who was about to be fired after a 35-13 shellacking by Green Bay in Week 2? Can the secondary, considered a liability during the regular season, continue to play like they did during the playoffs? If the "Playoff Giants" are for real, then this team could repeat. But what do they do if that magical 5-game stretch wasn't repeatable?

Previews and Predictions

2008 NFL Capsules: NFC East
2008 NFL Capsules: NFC North
2008 NFL Capsules: NFC South
2008 NFL Capsules: NFC West
2008 NFL Capsules: AFC East
2008 NFL Capsules: AFC North
2008 NFL Capsules: AFC South
2008 NFL Capsules: AFC West

Image:Nflcapsules08_rankings.jpg

Image:Nflcapsules08_playoffs.jpg

Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
CheezerAll-Star
493 days ago
Score 2+-
Sheesh Davis. It's gonna take hours to read and absorb all this.  :-)

BTW, shouldn't you have waited for Prospectus to come out?
Permalink | Reply
KelsdadAll-Star
493 days ago
Score 3+-
Davis is better than Prospectus.
Permalink | Reply
KelsdadAll-Star
493 days ago
Score 3+-
Amazing shit, Davis. Alot of work, very thorough, and even more impressive, I really don't find anything to disagree with. Your capsules are pretty much dead on. The only real division I disagree with is in the NFC North, Green Bay is going to miss Favre alot more than they realize, or would admit, so I'd flip them with Minny.

And gutsy call on a five seed making it to the NFC Championship game, and beating the one and two seeds to get there.

Awesome.
Permalink | Reply
SSreportersLegend
493 days ago
Score 1+-
Gutsy call? Did the Giants not win the Super Bowl as a #5 seed?
Permalink
KelsdadAll-Star
493 days ago
Score 1+-
Did they beat the #1 and 2? Noooooooooooooooooooo
Permalink
SSreportersLegend
493 days ago
Score 2+-
They beat the #1 (Cowboys), beat the #2 (Packers), beat the undefeated team (Patriots).
Permalink
KelsdadAll-Star
493 days ago
Score 1+-
Forgot about the Pack, thanks, SS. Lightning doesn't strike twice in the same place though. Tough for it to happen twice in a row, then again, anything can happen in football.
Permalink
SSreportersLegend
493 days ago
Score 3+-
Like Chad Pennington throwing the game winning 55 yard hail mary?
Permalink
KelsdadAll-Star
493 days ago
Score 0+-
haha...
Permalink
SSreportersLegend
493 days ago
Score 2+-
I'm seriously going to hit the next person who thinks the Seahawks will lost at Qwest, the last team to do it was the Rams and even that was because Bobby Engram couldn't catch the friggin ball.


Eagles in the Super Bowl? Seriously? Playoff team they will be (unless McNabb gets hurt again, in that case they're dead), but Super Bowl?


Sean Salisbury: Panthers to da Super Bowl!


ESPN: Cardinals to take over da NFC West!


I think the 49ers will improve their record, but as long as their offensive line is garbage then they're dead.


Hate to say it, but the Chargers have the Colts number, and it has shown the last few years. The only way the Colts make it is if they beat the Patriots and not the Chargers.


Darren Sproles is really going to show his true colors as backup to LT now that Michael Turner is gone.


Well done D-Dub!
Permalink | Reply
JuTMSY4Legend
493 days ago
Score 2+-
The Eagles will do it twice this year...

and if you remember, the last time the eagles made the playoffs...they had a backup...

Seriously, the Seahawks have "Hi, We're mediocre but we play in a shitty division, so we'll make the playoffs" written all over them...again
Permalink
SSreportersLegend
493 days ago
Score 0+-
The Patriots play in an equally awful division and they're great.


And didn't the Seahawks already make the Super Bowl playing in that awful division?
Permalink
SSreportersLegend
493 days ago
Score 0+-
AJ Feeley won't lead the Eagles to the playoffs, Jeff Garcia was a starting QB for years. ;-)
Permalink
JuTMSY4Legend
493 days ago
Score 0+-
but the patriots beat everybody...even the team that beat them in the superbowl...
Permalink
SSreportersLegend
493 days ago
Score 0+-
Not last season, I'm talking about the last several seasons.
Permalink
JuTMSY4Legend
493 days ago
Score 0+-
AJ Feeley isn't the backup...
Permalink
JuTMSY4Legend
493 days ago
Score 2+-
and their playoff record during those seasons...what about out of division record? Pats ever make the playoffs with a 9-7 record this decade...how about 10-6?
Permalink
JuTMSY4Legend
493 days ago
Score 2+-
oh, got me...they made the playoffs in 2005 with a 10-6 record...
Permalink
False ProphetAll-Star
493 days ago
Score 0+-
and were one and done. I agree with Justin. The pats might play in the shithole that is the AFC East, but last year they played, and beat, all three AFC Division winners, the Giants, the Cowboys, and the Redskins. They could have played only 2 more playoff teams in the regular season, and they beat one of them in the playoffs. So yes, they got 6 easy wins, but they also faced 5 playoff contenders, including their opponent in the AFC Championship game, the defending champs, and their opponent in the super bowl. Their schedule was anything but a cakewalk. 6 free divisional wins, a free win against cincy, the games against baltimore and philly (which were competitive), then the 5 playoff teams plus the Browns. Beyond that, they played @ Indy, @ Dallas, and @ NYG. The seahawks have nothing similar they have to face
Permalink
SSreportersLegend
493 days ago
Score 0+-
Sorry, if I had my way, the Seahawks would show their true colors and play a very tough schedule. But.....


When the Saints, 49ers, Bears, Bucs, Panthers, etc. are ALL supposed to be "tough opponents" and then end up being absolute stiffs, you take what you get.
Permalink
False ProphetAll-Star
493 days ago
Score 0+-
You're awfully hard on VY Davis. He's got no WRs worth a damn, and his team rewards him for carrying the team on his back last ear by drafting a RB. If anything, the heat should be on the Titans organization, not VY. And I'm not sure how you conclude Cutler is outperforming VY. VY has a pro bowl appearance, Cutler has 0. VY has been in the playoffs, cutler has not. Cutler also has huge health issues to overcome.
Permalink | Reply
SSreportersLegend
493 days ago
Score 2+-
VY made it to the Pro Bowl only because (Brady?) backed out due to an "injury."


However, his WRs are indeed awful and his running backs are just as bad, I mean, every other carry equals a fumble.
Permalink
False ProphetAll-Star
493 days ago
Score 0+-
true, and true. The running game is 3.0 YPC by committee, and the Receivers are a bunch of no namers with little to no upside. Still, a pro bowl appearance is a pro bowl appearance. Even if it is because Brad would rather play in the Pebble Beach Pro Am instead of another game of football
Permalink
SSreportersLegend
493 days ago
Score 2+-
Trent Dilfer made it to the Pro Bowl...


I just squashed your argument. ;-)
Permalink
Davis21wylieMVP
493 days ago
Score 0+-
First of all, he'll overcome the diabetes, plenty of athletes have excelled with that condition. And he has completely outplayed Vince Young so far... Cutler has a career QB rating of 88.2, 7.4 YPA, a 29-19 TD-INT ratio, 62.6 cmp%. Young? 69.0, 6.4 YPA, 21-30, 57.1%. And don't talk about Young's rushing, because it sucked last year, 4.2 ypc and 3 TD for a running QB is terrible (that doesn't include sack yardage, either). The only reason Tennessee made the playoffs last year was a dominating defense, #1 in the league. Young is all hype so far, his Pro Bowl season was totally undeserving, and he needs to play much better this season if he wants to continue to be considered a future star.
Permalink
SSreportersLegend
493 days ago
Score 2+-
Well yeah it's gonna suck when:


A.) Your offensive line is garbage.


B.) You're playing on a bum ankle.


C.) Your running game always produces a turnover.


D.) Your wide receivers are just pathetic. Cutler has Brandon Marshall, Young has Roydell Williams. You do the math.


Come on, the only problem I have with Young is that he overthrows worse than Michael Vick, but he isn't all that bad.....
Permalink
Davis21wylieMVP
493 days ago
Score 0+-
Tennessee's OL isn't garbage... I'll give you the receivers and the injury (I think it was a quad), but the plain truth is that VY is a poor passer who makes bad decisions, has bad mechanics, and isn't going to be effective unless he can be a threat to run. He's very overrated right now, although the hope is that Mike Heimerdinger can help him in that new offense, and that Alge Crumpler can become his security blanket (like he was for Vick).
Permalink
False ProphetAll-Star
493 days ago
Score 0+-
I'd say he makes poor decisions because he has to take risks (ie throwing a deep pass on 1st or 2nd down even though there's solid coverage) because he has to try and make things work when in reality, it's not meant to work. The Offense is very predictable, and it doesn't help that his receivers are worse than their offense. His mechanics have been evaluated over and over again, and their not hindering him.

Back to the offense, did I mention it's predictable? He's either carrying the ball, throwing to the TE, or their rushing to the outside probably 80% of the time. 1 of those plays works, 1 of them kinda works when it's not a staple of the offense, and 1 of them works if it's not your entire run game. there's no variety, and no options for VY. Crumpler won't do much for him. They need an Actual WR to throw to, and/or an actual RB to carry the ball.

Cutler's given the best run game year in and year out in the NFL (it's gonna give him the equivalant of a 1,000 yard rusher pretty much every year), and a WR Corps that is dependable.

You gave the Titans WRs a 6 because your banking on the fact that crumpler is a big asset. If crumpler doesn't work, they're what, a 4? Mediocre would be giving them too much credit.

As for Cutler's diabetes, the kid lost 20 pounds in a year. That's not healthy, and if he can't keep his weight up, his career will not last long.
Permalink
CrackajgDraft Pick
493 days ago
Score 2+-
Article of the year! Article of the year!
Permalink | Reply
CrackajgDraft Pick
493 days ago
Score 5+-
I unvoted, then voted again just so I could vote for it again.
Permalink
Oh No RomoDraft Pick
493 days ago
Score 2+-
Hey Peter, man! Check out channel nine! Check out this chick!
Permalink | Reply
CheezerAll-Star
492 days ago
Score 0+-
I don't get channel 9.
Permalink
False ProphetAll-Star
493 days ago
Score 2+-
I will say, though, that I'm so happy you're not drinking the Troy Williamson Kool-Aid. The guy's got speed, he's just afraid of the football
Permalink | Reply
The PipDiv-I Stud
492 days ago
Score 3+-
I don't think anyone on agm puts into his articles what you do. Well done.
Permalink | Reply
Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
492 days ago
Score 3+-
So wait... the Patriots are going to go 17-1 while the Colts go 19-0??? VERY interesting...
Permalink | Reply
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