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Trecole696

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2008 MLB Playoff Picture

by Trecole696
created October 07, 2008, last edited October 10, 2008
11
Vote

I know this is a Giants blog, but October baseball is still something that should be mentioned on all baseball websites, so I wanted to talk a little playoff baseball in this post. The NLCS is already cleared up and ready to get going with the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies getting ready to take part in what should be one helluva series. Things aren't quite as clear yet in the AL, although if I had to bet, I would say the Tampa Bay Rays will hold off the Chicago White Sox and host the Boston Red Sox to start the ALCS at the end of the week. As I type this, the Rays are up 5-2 on the Sox in the seventh inning, so unless they or the Red Sox suffer a major meltdown, we should have your final four for the 2008 MLB season within 24-48 hours. Here's my take on how the "projected" league championship series' will break down:

NLCS

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Yes, the Phils do have home field advantage, which is always big in the playoffs. They also have potential MVP candidates Chase Utley and Ryan Howard. However, the Dodgers have looked like a different team since the infusion of Manny Ramirez and their young talent (Andre Ethier, Matt Kemp, James Loney and Russell Martin) doesn't look intimidated by October baseball at all. The Dodgers have the clear edge in the pitching department as Chad Billingsley, Derek Lowe, and Hiroki Kuroda are all throwing well and made very quick work of the NL favorite Chicago Cubs. The Dodgers also have Greg Maddux and Clayton Kershaw to call upon if they need to and that bullpen is very good, with or without Takashi Saito. This series has seven games written all over it, and I will have to stick to my pre-season pick as the NL champs and go with the Dodgers in 7. They have the momentum, the pitching, the speed, and offense to give the Phils more than they can handle.

ALCS

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

All signs are pointing towards a battle of the AL East for the AL crown. The Tampa Bay Rays have been the Cinerella Story of baseball this season, but I think their luck will come to an end vs. the seasoned Red Sox. The Rays remind me a lot of the Colorado Rockies from last season, just with a little more pitching and not as much offense. But like the Rockies last season, I have a tough time seeing them go from the bottom of the AL East to world champions, but I've been wrong before when it comes to playoff predictions. I really like the way B.J. Upton, Evan Longoria, and Carlos Pena are playing (even a hobbled Carl Crawford is contributing), but the Red Sox pitching is far superior to the that of the Chicago White Sox. Now, the Red Sox still need to take care of the Angels to get to the CS, but up 2-1 with their "playoff ace", Jon Lester, going tonight, they should close things out. This series, like the NLCS will be a battle, but the Red Sox have experience and pitching on their side. They also have that Fenway Park crowd behind them that will do their best to get into the minds of the young Rays' players. If this ends up indeed being the ALCS match-up, I like Boston in 6.

The Giants Baseball Blog-http://giantsbaseballblog.blogspot.com/

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SSreportersLegend
414 days ago
Score 1+-
I love the fact that the Rays pretty much beat up on the Sawx in the regular season, including winning 2 of 3 at Fenway which really salted away the division, record wise and you still pick Boston in 6.


And even so, the Angels are tied 2-2 right now as I type that comment and I believe the Angels are supposedly the best team in baseball, and if they win at Fenway it will be 2 in a row heading back to LA and the Sawx could very well, as you said, choke their way out of the series.


Maybe it's my liking of the underdog, but I can't see the Rays being stopped in the ALCS, especially with Longoria doing everything right and BJ Upton hitting homers at will.
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SSreportersLegend
414 days ago
Score 0+-
And on cue the Sawx win.


GO RAYS!
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KelsdadAll-Star
414 days ago
Score 0+-
Motherfacker
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Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
414 days ago
Score 1+-
Seven schedules games of bliss headed our way!!! Four Rays victories and 3 extra off days to prepare for the Phillies!
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Sj-hypocycloidAll-American
412 days ago
Score 2+-
I am giving Manny a plus soley for his mention of the Phillies in this comment. I think a Rays/Phils World Series would be a real treat, don't you, Manny? And Jut?
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JuTMSY4Legend
412 days ago
Score 1+-
Honestly, I don't really care as long as the Phils keep going...they could have play the white sox...angels...doesn't matter to me... I am kinda rooting for a Boston/Philly world series because I live in Boston, so it doubles my chances of tickets and, should it present itself, i could be there for a game 7...a true heaven or hell scenario...
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Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
414 days ago
Score 0+-
BTW Trecole - the Rays have home field (where they had the best home record since the '98 Yankees) and the Rays had a better record this season than last year's World Series winner...

Plus the Rays have proven that they aren't afraid of the Sawx and can definitely win games at Fenway.

Time to open the top seats at the Trop!!!
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Trecole696Red-Shirting
414 days ago
Score 0+-
I don't know Manny, none of these Rays players have ever been on this kind of stage and playing at fenway in June with nothing on the line is a helluva lot different than playing there in freezing cold October with the crowd noise off the rictor scales. The Red Sox do not face the same kind of hostility when they go to the Trop which probably won't even be sold out, lol. I like the Rays and I'm polling for them to knock off the Sox, but I just can't see that happening. Then again, I didn't think the Marlins would win the Series back in '04 when they went on that run and the Rays have a very similar team to that one.
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Trecole696Red-Shirting
414 days ago
Score 0+-
above should read 2003 WS champ Marlins, not the '04 squad.
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Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
414 days ago
Score 0+-
What? Now you did it...

1) No experience...? yet here they are. If you think thye're going to "fold under the pressure" then you haven't paid attention to these players at all. The Rays are a TEAM, not a group of talented individuals. They are of one mindset and led by a masterful manager/psychologist that has them thriving on cohesion. Almost HALF of the teams that won a World Series in the last 20 seasons won a World Series on their first trip in the postseason. The game of baseball doesn't change - you still get 27 outs and 3 strikes per out... BTW - the Rays won 2 of 3 IN Fenway IN SEPTEMBER with the AL East title on the line, then took ANOTHER two of three at home a week later to seal the AL East title - a far cry from your June hypothesis...

Not only that but most of these guys have 1) won championships in their respective minor league teams - the Rays have had an outstanding minor league system for several years now 2) played competitive baseball their entire careers at high levels. The game doesn't change when you know how to play it right and as a team.

1b. Do you think playing in the AL East doesn't give a team experience??? Take a look around... The AL Champs will have come from the East 11 of the past 16 seasons including this one. The AL East MAKES champions.

1c. Cliff Floyd and Troy Percival both have rings and have been the primary emotional leaders in the clubhouse for that very reason. This team is too hungry to worry about "Experience". Joe Maddon has a ring from his bench coach days with the Angels. The "experience" argument doesn't hold water.


2) "Not sold out"... There's some mindless regurgitation for you. At least you went for an original angle, right? The Rays sold out their games against the White Sox, but they won't sell out against the Red Sox... ok! And furthermore, who cares if only ten people show up, the games still get played.

BTW - the Rays are now 23-2 in home games with a crowd over 30,000 (the losses were the Season opener against Baltimore and one game against Boston just a few weeks ago)- which they WILL indeed be crowds over 30,000 for the ALCS.

Also BTW - the capacity at Fenway is about 3,500 more than a sellout at the Trop... of course, the Trop is MUCH louder because it's a dome.


3) You keep mentioning how the Rays are like these other teams... No, they aren't. The Rays are built on pitching and defense - just like most championship teams usually are. They rely on forcing the action with athleticism, aggressiveness and team speed. They weren't built to make a one year run, they were built like the 1991 Braves - around three young starters (Glavine, Avery, Smoltz = Kazmir, Shields, Garza) to make a decade and a half run!!!


Still the non-believers ignore the basic facts. The Rays are healthier, have a deeper bench, have a better pitching staff from top to bottom, have had crazy good mojo ALL season long and still no one wants to believe it's really real...
Permalink | Reply
Trecole696Red-Shirting
413 days ago
Score 1+-
First off, I never speculated the Rays' would be "folding under pressure". I did mention having to play at probably one of the top 3 toughest places to go into and play in the postseason and for a very young team, that is something to take into consideration. it would be something to take into consideration for the White Sox too if they would have won. Even if Boston doesn't have the home field advantage, there will still be 3 games played there. And the young Rays may have won in the minor leagues, but this team has never tasted the post-season until now, so yes, they are relatively young and in-experienced as far as that goes. Not saying they aren't going to compete, but to the majority of this Red Sox team has already won 2 championships... at the major league level. Also, the Not Sold out thing was a joke dude, notice how I put the lol after it, don't know how I could have made that any clearer.

Second off, I said the Rays remind me of the '03 Marlins because of that, they were built on pitching and defense with a little bit of offense and speed. That Marlins team wasn't built for a 1 year run either, all the players were dealt away, but most of those guys were home grown prospects that came up and produced, just as the Rays' youngsters have done. So your basically contradicting yourself on that front. I basically only compared them to the Rockies because the Rockies were the Cinderela Story last year like the Rays have been this year.

Third- your making it sound like I am bashing the Rays, I very much believe in them. Do you see me picking the Sox to sweep like most baseball people? Not at all. And I have been watching them and they beat a very mediocre Chicago White Sox team that barely snuck into the postseason. If they were facing the Angels, I would give them more of a shot, but the Red Sox now are like the Yanks were in the late 90's.

Look at what they just did to the best (regular season) team in baseball. They smoked them, 3 games to 1. Goes to show you that regular season success doesn't neccesairly translate into post-season success. I am by no means a Red Sox fan and again, would love nothing more than to see the Rays sweep them, but If I had to bet the farm on it, I would have to take the defending champs. That doesn't make me a "non-believer", it just makes me believe the Sox will beat the Rays in this series. If the Rays can keep this thing together, they are going to be a force for years to come.

And finally, I definitely respect your opinion, and I'm in no way knocking you for taking the Rays. I see where your coming from. They have all the momentum in the world and are playing with nothing to lose. I'm just saying, I'm taking the Sox in 6.
Permalink | Reply
Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
413 days ago
Score 0+-
"picking the Sox to sweep like most baseball people"??? I haven't seen ANYONE predict a sweep yet...
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Trecole696Red-Shirting
410 days ago
Score 0+-
Not that it matters, or that I base my opinions off of theirs, but I believe Steve Phillips picked the Sox in a sweep or maybe 5 games. John Kruk and Harold Reynolds were another couple off the top of the head. And one who I do actually still respect a little, Peter Gammons. All have picked the Sox to win and none have picked it to go 6 or 7 games. Again, even if they were picking the Rays, I still would go with the sox. I just like them in this series.
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Trecole696Red-Shirting
413 days ago
Score 0+-
BTW, Cliff Floyd has a little bit of postseason experience but that's about it as far as the hitters go and he is far from an impact player. And Percival can root and encourage all he wants, but he's not going to be the one out there pithing under pressure.
Permalink | Reply
Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
413 days ago
Score 4+-
Varitek, Ortiz, Youkilis and Wakefield are the ONLY players on the Red Sox left from the 2004 teams. Four guys is not a majority.

Lester, Ellsbury and Pedroia were all rookies last year, did they have experience?

The experience argument is pointless...

The 90's Braves had TONS of "experience"

The '01-'07 Yankees had TONS of experience...

The 2001 Diamondbacks didn't, 2002 Angels didn't, 2003 Marlins didn't, 2005 White Sox didn't...

It's BASEBALL, not basketball... the game doesn't change.
Permalink
JuTMSY4Legend
413 days ago
Score 1+-
you forgot Curt Schilling ; - )
Permalink
Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
413 days ago
Score 3+-
No I didn't - nor did I forget Manny...

Those guys AREN'T with the Sox now...

So Curt (3 rings), Lowell (3 rings) and Manny (2 rings) are all gone yet the Red Sox are relying on their "experience"... Anyone else see a problem with this logic?


Experience doesn't tend to overcome superior depth, youth, aggressiveness, cohesion, focus, execution, team speed, and athletic talent.
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JuTMSY4Legend
413 days ago
Score 0+-
he's on their roster
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KelsdadAll-Star
413 days ago
Score 2+-
No, he's not
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Manny StilesMajor Leaguer
413 days ago
Score 0+-
He definitely ISN'T on the playoff roster!
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Trecole696Red-Shirting
413 days ago
Score 0+-
Too bad we don't live in the same are Many. I'd love to wager with you on this sereis.
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Trecole696Red-Shirting
413 days ago
Score 0+-
*area
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Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Trecole696 | October 7, 2008 | October 2008 | MLB Opinions | Los Angeles Dodgers Opinions | Philadelphia Phillies Opinions | Los Angeles Angels Opinions | Boston Red Sox Opinions | Manny Ramirez Opinions | Ryan Howard Opinions | Jon Lester Opinions | Tampa Bay Rays Opinions | Chicago White Sox Opinions | Greg Maddux Opinions | Chad Billingsley Opinions | B.J. Upton Opinions | Evan Longoria Opinions | Derek Lowe Opinions | Hiroki Kuroda Opinions | Chase Utley Opinions | Clayton Kershaw Opinions | Takashi Saito Opinions | Matt Kemp Opinions | James Loney Opinions | Russell Martin Opinions | Carlos Pena Opinions | Carl Crawford Opinions

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