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3LW -- Week 1, 2006

18
Vote

three.little.words.


a fantasy football fanatic's take on the week that was

by DNL


3LW is my new fantasy football column, where I quickly offer three points of advice on fantasy football, using the week that was as fodder for examples. We'll see how it goes. For this week, I'm ignoring the two MNF games. Don't ask. --DNL


Not. So. Fast.
Fast Willie Parker had a great game on Thursday, running off 115 yards on 29 carries. A fantasy stud? Hardly.

With Jerome Bettis calling it a career, it looked like Parker was going to get the goal-line carries. Heck, Bill Cowher even said as much. Fast forward to last Thursday's game. When push came to shove, and the Steelers found themselves on the Miami 1, Parker was on the sidelines, and Verron Haynes was behind when Charlie Botched fumbled.

Now, Parker's short-yardage role is even more in doubt, as the Steelers signed the Closet Pooper, Najeh Davenport. Davenport is listed at 6'1", 247 pounds. Parker? 5'10", 209.

Najeh could spend as much time sitting in a laundry basket as he wanted, and he'd still be a better goal-line option than Fast Willie. That's the risk you take when you take a guy whose expanding role is the result of the process of elimination.

 
Blocking. Blocking. Blocking.
Maybe the "Larry Johnson, Fantasy Stud" tag came a wee bit too early. No, I'm not ready to call LJ a bust, and I'm certainly not blaming him. But the Chiefs blocking looks too porous to allow the non-Grandmama LJ to hang with the elite. Willie Roaf has retired; Tony Richardson is now a Viking. The results?
  1. Seven sacks given up -- to a Cincinnati Bengals team that had 28 total in 2005.
  2. Of the 23 completions, 17 went to either Tony Gonzalez (the tight end) or LJ -- that is, to outlet receivers, suggesting either quick throws or really great downfield coverage.
  3. A 10 yard per completion rate -- suggesting quick throws.
  4. A 65.7% completion rate -- suggesting that it isn't the pass coverage that's causing the problem.

So, lessee. A team that doesn't get a lot of sacks suddenly does, but the victimized team is otherwise successful in completing passes, albeit in the short-game. Seems like a blocking problem to me, and I can't overemphasize the importance of good blocking for your fantasy RB's season. With good blocking, LJ rocks. Without it, the Chiefs will face a lot of third-and-longs and 10 point deficits -- that's what sacks do! -- and a lot of passing where last year, they'd be running. Yikes.

 
Ted. Is. Better.
Last year, the New York Jets comically wasted a second-round draft pick on Mike Nugent, standout placekicker for the OSU. This year, while going to a New York Mets game, I spied on a 7 train a guy with a t-shirt that said "Nugent for Heisman", which both shocked and horrified me. He's a kicker, people! A kicker! He's not a real football player! Are you all mad!?

Anyway.

If you, like the Jets, thought that a kicker was worthy of a high draft pick, look no further than the non-Ted Noog to see how terribly wrong you are. Mike's line:

FG: 1/3, longest 18, missed from 30 and 34.
XP: 2/3.

That's right, he left seven points on the field. A touchdown, lost, because Mike Nugent sucks.

And you wonder why real men don't draft kickers. And why I almost named this 3LW "Dime. A. Dozen." But I'll save that for another time.

Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
Davis21wylieMVP
1175 days ago
Score 1+-
LJ. Killed. Me.
Permalink | Reply
Awrigh01All-Star
1175 days ago
Score 0+-
Alexander didn't do too hot either.
Permalink | Reply
Patrickburke1980All-American
1175 days ago
Score 0+-
great job.
Permalink | Reply
DNLLegend
1175 days ago
Score 0+-
Better than Mike Nugent, at least!
Permalink
BigPPupMajor Leaguer
1175 days ago
Score 0+-
Alexandrer killed me this past weekend, whats up with that.
Permalink | Reply
MetsJetsDevilsDraft Pick
1175 days ago
Score 0+-
The KC stats suggest only 1 thing...the Herm Edwards ERA in KC has begun!
Permalink | Reply
CoreyisarealboyMajor Leaguer
1174 days ago
Score 0+-
I don't understand why Parker isn't a goal line option for the Steelers. He's as much of an option as Mike Bell in Denver and Shanahan had no qualms about sticking him in on the goal line for a touchdown yesterday. I think they do this just to mess with fantasy owners.
Permalink | Reply
DNLLegend
1174 days ago
Score 0+-
He's not a goal-line option because the wear and tear would be bad, and the risk for injury significant. Could Parker get it in the end zone? Sure; not with the success rate of a Bettis-type, but often enough. But that would mean he's less valuable when playing toward his strength.
Permalink
Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
1174 days ago
Score 1+-
102 points on my Fantasy Team (third highest of the week) and I still lost... :(
Permalink | Reply
Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
1174 days ago
Score 0+-
At least the Jets still won - even if they missed out on a TD. Missing your second ever NFL XP can hardly be great.
Permalink | Reply
DNLLegend
1174 days ago
Score 0+-
Wasn't his second. He was on the Jets last year, and they weren't that bad!
Permalink
I am a cpcpMajor Leaguer
1174 days ago
Score -3+-
Dude, you seriously have no idea how important Nugent was to Ohio State the past few years, kicker or not. I like the column, though. It. Is. Good. or Way. To. Go. or Please. Pass. Pie.
Permalink | Reply
Davis21wylieMVP
1174 days ago
Score 0+-
Dude, you seriously have no idea how stupid it is for NFL teams to take kickers with high draft picks (or any draft pick, for that matter), since the odds of getting a top-notch one are the same for undrafted guys as they are for those that are highly-touted. Remember, for instance, the 3rd-rounder Tampa wasted on Martin Gramatica in 1999? Or the 4th-round pick Arizona blew on his brother two years later? Neither are in the NFL nowadays. Meanwhile, many of the league's better kickers -- names like Vinatieri, Vanderjagt, Akers, Wilkins, Nedney, Graham, and Feely all came into the league as undrafted free agents. The plain truth is that 99% of kickers are fungible, and that kicking performance fluctuates wildly from year to year -- making any big investment in one (whether inking a high-priced FA or spending a high draft pick) a foolish proposition at best.
Permalink
I am a cpcpMajor Leaguer
1174 days ago
Score 0+-
Where did I say anything about it being a good idea to use a high draft pick on a kicker? I was referring the the "Nugent for Heisman" shirt. OSU relied on his leg a lot and Buckeye fans recognized that. Jeez, can the rants for something more relevant.
Permalink
Davis21wylieMVP
1173 days ago
Score 0+-
Sorry, Nugent's misses just pissed me off the other day, so any suggestion that he had any worth as a human being was bound to set me off.
Permalink
UfgatorsDiv-I Stud
1174 days ago
Score 0+-
what is up. with. this. period. usage. after. every. word.?
Permalink | Reply
DNLLegend
1172 days ago
Score 0+-
It's a long story.
Permalink
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