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2007 Rugby World Cup - Full Preview

8
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by Alex Holowczak

The 2007 Rugby Union World Cup gets underway in just a week or so. It will be held all over France, with a couple of games held in Britain for some reason. 20 of the best nations in the world, (including the USA!) will take part.

Format

The 20 teams are split into 4 groups of 5. The top 2 from each group advance to the knockout stage.

I shall analyse each team, group by group.

Pool A

  • Flag of England England
  • Flag of South Africa South Africa
  • Flag of Samoa Samoa
  • Flag of the United States United States
  • Flag of Tonga Tonga

England

England are the defending champions from 2003. But since then, they have struggled. They are ranked 7 in the world, and have suffered through the retirements of a lot of their key players from the 2003 squad. Jonny Wilkinson is their talisman from fly-half, he was the best in the world in 2003, but has had to cope with several injuries since then.

England will generally have a strong set of forwards, using them to good effect. Their back line has stars like Josh Lewsey, Mark Cueto and Jason Robinson, but struggled to click against France.

South Africa

South Africa were in England's group in 2003, and were knocked out by New Zealand in the Quarter Finals. In the Tri Nations recently, they came third, but all matches were closely contested. They will fancy their chances of turning England over.

The Springboks have a strong pack, and a World Class Full Back in Percy Montgomery. Bryan Habana is possibly the fastest Winger in the world, so they have the ability to win games with their backs. They beat Scotland convincingly in a recent warm up game.

Samoa

Samoa were third in their 2003 pool, which again involved England. They tend to be the strongest of the Pacific Island nations along with Fiji, although they are well behind the powerhouses of England and South Africa in this group. The Samoans reached the Quarter Finals on two occasions in the 90s.

Several players play in international Leagues however, and Brian Lima is a famed forward. Lome Fa'atau is a strong winger, and could be crucial if they are to cause an upset.

United States

The States have been in all but one World Cup, but have been eliminated at the Pool Stage in every competition. They have lost ground on their natural rivals in Canada, but beat Uruguay strongly to qualify for the tournament.

Their success will depend on the performances of the States' only real stars, Paul Emerick plays in the Center for an English club, and Mike Hercus played in England until recently. He is America's captain, and arguably their best player.

Tonga

Another Pacific nation with rugby tradition. They have qualified for every tournament since 1995, but have never advanced to the knockout stages.

They have several quality players, namely Lesley Vainikolo, a former Rugby League player that has switched codes, and Nili Hatu is a strong influence in the pack. A lot of their squad plays in New Zealand.

Group Verdict

  1. Flag of South Africa South Africa
  2. Flag of England England
  3. Flag of Samoa Samoa
  4. Flag of Tonga Tonga
  5. Flag of the United States United States

Pool B

  • Flag of Australia Australia
  • Flag of Wales Wales
  • Flag of Fiji Fiji
  • Flag of Canada Canada
  • Flag of Japan Japan

Australia

The Aussies were second in 2003, losing in extra-time to England. They were second in the recent tri-nations, a marked improvement from poorer performances since the World Cup in 2003.

There are no weaknesses on paper for the Wallabies. George Gregan is at scrum-half again, for his fourth World Cup. David Lyons and Nathan Sharpe will be strong in the pack, and Lote Taquiri, Stephen Larkham and Sterling Mortlock have huge experience to draw on. The fitness of Chris Latham at Full Back is key. He is the best in that position in the world, and any Australian success will depend on him.

Wales

The Welsh have gone from being dominant in Europe to poor in a short space of time. They have reached the Quarter Finals in all of their World Cup appearances, losing to England in 2003. They finished third in 1987.

Dwayne Peel is a key at scrum half, as is Martyn Williams, possibly the best forward in the world, at flanker. James Hook and Stephen Jones are two excellent fly-half players, one will possibly move to centre to accomodate both of them in the team.

Fiji

Fiji nearly upset Scotland in 2003 to qualify for the Quarter Finals. Fiji are a mainstay of Rugby World Cups, and perennially narrowly miss out on reaching the Knockout Stages.

Their best player is Waisale Serevi, who is a famous Rugby Sevens player. The Fijians are one of the top Sevens' teams in the World, but have struggled to convert that into the 15 a side game.

Canada

Canada has a strong history in the Rugby World Cup, featuring in all of them since their inception. They made the 1991 Quarter Finals.

Now that Al Charron and Gareth Rees have retired, the Canadians need their younger blood to inspire them. They have some professionals playing in Europe, Kevin Tkachuk is a strong player for Edinburgh. Ed Fairhurst also plays for Cardiff. They will need to lead their amateurs if they are to be successful.

Japan

The Japanese are a developing nation in International rugby. They are Number 1 in Asia, and have pushed European sides close occasionally.

They have very few star players, and a lot of them remain amateur. They will struggle to win a match in this World Cup.

Group Verdict

  1. Flag of Australia Australia
  2. Flag of Wales Wales
  3. Flag of Fiji Fiji
  4. Flag of Canada Canada
  5. Flag of Japan Japan

Pool C

  • Flag of New Zealand New Zealand
  • Flag of Scotland Scotland
  • Image:MiniItalyFlag.jpg Italy
  • Flag of Romania Romania
  • Flag of Portugal Portugal

New Zealand

The All Blacks were the first World Cup winners in 1987. They lost in the 2003 Semi Finals to Australia, when many fancied them to challenge England for the title. Since 2003, they have become the undisputed World Number 1, beating every other side in the world with regularity and ease.

Their fly-half, Daniel Carter, is probably the best player in the world. He is a perfect kicker, and has incredible pace and tackling abilities. He will spearhead a team with excellent players throughout. Joe Rokocoko is an excellent player on the left wing too, and is probably the best winger in the world.

Scotland

Scotland lost in the Quarter Final in 2003, but have since fallen to Number 10 in the World Rankings, the lowest in their history.

They do have some good players however, Mike Blair is a good scrum-half, and they have experience in Scott Murray in the pack. Aliaster Hogg is excellent at Number 8, too. Their most exciting layers are the Lamont brothers on each Wing, and Chris Paterson can play anywhere in the backs. He is the most improved kicker in world rugby. Jason White is their best player, and captains the side well from the back row.

Italy

Italy have never advanced beyond the group stage at a World Cup, but since they joined the Six Nations in 2000, their play has improved such that Italy are ranked ahead of them.

They have a good captain in Marco Bortolami, and the Bergamasco brothers are excellent players too. Alessandro Troncon is in his last World Cup at scrum half, having inspired a recent upturn in Italian play.

Romania

Under Communism in the early 1980s, Romania were arguably one of the top sides in the world, often beating British opposition, and coming close against the Southern Hemisphere teams. But they were never encorporated into the Six Nations as Italy were, and since then, their game has never recovered. That said, they have appeared in every World Cup since 1987. They are ranked #7 in Europe.

Romania have several France-based players, and are good against fellow second-tier teams. They ought to be thumped by the All Blacks, however.

Portugal

Portugal are appearing in their first World Cup, having performed well in the second-tier European Nations Cup, a competition for teams not in the Six Nations. Portugal won it for the first time in 2006, beating Romania and Georgia for the title.

They have the odd player of quality, Vasco Uva is a decent Number 8. Although that is all the real quality that they have, currently.

Group Verdict

  1. Flag of New Zealand New Zealand
  2. Image:MiniItalyFlag.jpg Italy
  3. Flag of Scotland Scotland
  4. Flag of Romania Romania
  5. Flag of Portugal Portugal

Pool D

  • Flag of France France
  • Flag of Ireland Ireland
  • Flag of Argentina Argentina
  • Flag of Georgia (country) Georgia
  • Flag of Namibia Namibia

France

France are the leading European nation in the World Rankings. They made the Semi Finals in the 2003 event, losing to England. The French are perennially a very flary team, and have great depth in their squad. They are the hosts in 2007.

France have veterans Fabien Pelous at Lock as well as Serge Betsen in the Back Row, and 35 year old Christopher Dominici on the Wing. The French have problems in the half-backs, with their scrum-half and fly-half positions unsure. Ellisalde and Michelak appear to have been replaced by the Mingoni and Skrela combination, although the latter two are perhaps the more solid options.

Ireland

The Irish were Quarter Finalists, narrowly beating Argentina to qualify in 2003 for the Knockout stage. They are much improved, and will look to go further this time.

The Irish could miss Brian O'Driscoll, the best centre in World Rugby. He is at the heart of a star-studded back line, that can open up any game given the opportunity. Ronan O'Gara is one of the best goalkickers in the world.

Argentina

Argentina are like Romania in the 1980s. They have beaten France, England and Ireland on occasion since 2003, but still they are unprofessional at home due to their geographical distance from the Tri and Six Nations. They reached the Quarter Finals in 1999, and are consistantly drawn in Ireland's group it seems, they beat the Irish in 1999 to make the Quarters but were on the other end in 2003. They come together again in 2007. They are ranked #5 in the world.

The Argentines have a vast amount of players in global Leagues. The Contemponi brothers are strong in the backline. Agustin Pichot is a reliable kicker. Otherwise they are lacking household names, but are dominant in the Americas, and a force to be reckoned with. The Argentine forwards are traditionally the best scrummagers in the world.

Georgia

Georgia have been a useful side in the second-tier European Nations Cup, and have qualified for the World Cup once before, in 2003.

Georgia have some players in French rugby, mainly, the front row is particularly strong and is at the front of a great pack of forwards.

Namibia

Namibia qualified in 2003, but lost 142-0 to Australia. This is their second appearance. They have had mixed success recently, conceding more than 100 points against South Africa, and losing to minnows Uganda.

They have no real star players, and will have to rely on teamwork to save face in this competition. Their most famous player is Ronnie van Vuuren, who is the only person ever to appear in both the cricket and rugby World Cups.

Group Verdict

  • Flag of France France
  • Flag of Argentina Argentina
  • Flag of Ireland Ireland
  • Flag of Georgia (country) Georgia
  • Flag of Namibia Namibia

Knockout Stage Predictions

Quarter Finals Semi Finals Final
Flag of Australia Australia  
Flag of England England  
Flag of England England  
Flag of New Zealand New Zealand  
Flag of New Zealand New Zealand  
Flag of Argentina Argentina  
Flag of New Zealand New Zealand  
Flag of France France  
Flag of South Africa South Africa  
Flag of Wales Wales  
Flag of South Africa South Africa  
Flag of France France  
Flag of France France  


Image:MiniItalyFlag.jpg Italy  

Top 4:

  1. Flag of New Zealand New Zealand
  2. Flag of France France
  3. Flag of South Africa South Africa
  4. Flag of England England

General

Pool D is undoubtedly the "Pool of Death". Three of the top 5 in the world are in it. Furthermore, the Quarter Finalists automatically qualify for 2011, so the aim will be to get in the top 2 in the pool. The problem is Argentina's draw, if they were in Pool C they would probably make it. The rest will have to qualify for 2011, which is no problem for Argentina, but it would be nice to see them advance.

Some pool games will be horrible to watch. There will be blowouts between Australia and Japan, New Zealand and Portugal etc. but it is seen as being key in their development. There is a greater depth to the global game now however, with the third seeded teams in each group in with a genuine chance to advancing to the Knockout stage.

But New Zealand should win this tournament, they are easily Number 1. France will either be excellent, or poor. If they are poor v Ireland or Argentina, they could get an early bath.

Enable Comment Auto-Refresher
Pittsburgh GunnyMajor Leaguer
806 days ago
Score 0+-
I got to watch most of the last World Cup, but sadly it is not available this time around. Even the local pub turned down the opportunity to show the matches based on the exhorbitant cost that Setanta is charging.

Anyways, I expect the All Blacks to win it all and your pick of France in the final is very interesting.

Johnny Wilkinson was amazing last time around.
Permalink | Reply
Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
806 days ago
Score 0+-
France are lucky. They should beat Scotland/Italy in their sleep, and South Africa are a bit overrated in my view. France have brilliant depth, and injuries may take their toll by that stage of the tournament. And France on their day can beat anybody (bar the All Blacks). I think RSA are a tad over-rated. All the Southern Hemisphere teams appear to be, slightly.
Permalink
Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
806 days ago
Score 0+-
Wilkinson was unbelievable in 2003, we need him to be at that level to get to the Semis. He isn't as good as he was, he's been injured for 3 of the 4 years, but we need a fit Wilkinson to get us in ahead of Australia. I reckon an ENG-AUS is a 50-50 call with England at their best.
Permalink
BigPPupMajor Leaguer
806 days ago
Score 0+-
A very good breakdown Alex, but I have to disagree with you on a few points. The Boks still have what it takes to make some solid noise in the cup. They are my sleeper pick to take it all. I am a bit worried about their forward pac but I like what they bring to the table. As an American i of course have problems of your break down or lack their of the USA Eagles. Hercus is the captain and without a doubt the best player on the field. Emerick however is not. Francois Vijoen at fullbac and then our winger is without the fastest man in the cup. The USA played a hell of a game against Munster on Sunday. All beit it was a weak Munster squad who was missing 10 players who were with Ireland. Nonetheless the Eagles were conviencing enough that I believe they could hang tough and upset a Tonga or maybe a Somoa.
Permalink
Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
806 days ago
Score 0+-
You will know more than me about the USA! There was very limited coverage on wikipedia (my source). Their squad had very uninspiring red links...
Permalink
BigPPupMajor Leaguer
806 days ago
Score 0+-
Yeah, not too many American Ruggers are on Wiki I must admit, and with the majority of the team being amatur players its hard for them to get many links on there. I wish they had one more warm up match against another Irish Provincial team. I wont lie I was really supsrised/impressed by the Munster match yesterday.
Permalink
Alex HolowczakHall of Famer
806 days ago
Score 0+-
I think they got unlucky with their group to be honest. I could see them beating a few of the teams in this World Cup, Namibia, Georgia, Japan and Portugal for instance. They were unlucky at being drawn in the group with Samoa and Tonga.
Permalink
BigPPupMajor Leaguer
806 days ago
Score 0+-
I agree 100%. There is no way the USA can beat SA or England. Somoa and Tonga are going to be tuff and phsyical but they are beatable if the USA forwards play tough. However all the groups are pretty stacked and solid. I wouldnt want the USA is a group with Argentina, France and Ireland either. Whate killed the Eagles on Sunday was lineouts. Blake Burdette was horrible throwing the ball in during lineouts and went 8/14. When they brought Owen Lentz in at about the 65th minute the line outs sured up a lot and things did look better.
Permalink
BigPPupMajor Leaguer
806 days ago
Score 0+-
England has come on strong in the past few weeks, and they are playing typical 10 man rugby. That will be the key if they want to beat either the Boks, Wallibies or All Blacks.
Permalink | Reply
Anonymous Fanatic #1
799 days ago
Score 0+-
dangerous to write the Aussies off as 'only' quarter finalists. It will be at your peril. They are there to win it, they play well in big tourneys and NZ, England and the Boks all have a tendency to choke. Having said all that however, NZ should win.
Permalink | Reply
Anonymous Fanatic #2
798 days ago
Score 0+-
hey Alex do you really know rugby bro because if you did you wouldn't be saying what you are saying.
Permalink | Reply
RohandevganAll-American
791 days ago
Score 0+-
England won't get past Australia in the quarter finals All Blacks Vs Springboks in the finals.
Permalink | Reply
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Retrieved from "http://armchairgm.wikia.com/2007_Rugby_World_Cup_-_Full_Preview"

This page was last modified 12:32, 27 August 2007. Content is available under the GFDL.

Categories: Opinions | Opinions by User Alex Holowczak | August 27, 2007 | Rugby Union Opinions | Rugby Opinions

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